Porto vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Aug 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Porto vs Vitória

Porto host Vitória in this Portuguese Primeira Liga match at Estadio do Dragao, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Monday 11 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We Predict a Tight Affair

For the Vitória +1 Asian Handicap bet to secure a return at -132, we need a win or draw against Porto. There’s the insurance of getting our stake returned if there’s a one goal defeat.

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8 Porto Wins in Previous 10 H2H Encounters

Porto won their last Primeira Liga game, beating Nacional at home. It was a 3-0 victory at Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons enjoyed 60% possession and had four shots on target, while Francisco Moura, Samuel Aghehowa and Rodrigo Mora each scored one goal.

In their previous showing, Porto drew 4-4 against Al Ahly in the Club World Cup at MetLife Stadium, New Jersey.

Vitória de Guimarães were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Sporting CP claimed a 2-0 victory. The Guimarães club enjoyed 47% of possession but failed to have a shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estadio do Dragao played host to the last head-to-head where Porto were at home to Vitória. The clash ended in a 1-1 draw. The previous 10 H2H games have involved eight Porto triumphs, one Vitória win and one draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Porto	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Vitória	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts. Porto have had 61.1% possession, 515.6 passes and 4.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts, while being awarded 4.1 corners.

Top goalscorer is Rodrigo Mora on 7 goals, while Samuel Aghehowa has bagged 5 and Francisco Moura 2. Leading assistor is Francisco Moura with 5, while goalkeeper Diogo Costa has 3 clean sheets.

Vitória have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 4.1 shots on goal, 12.3 attempts and 1.5 goals. The Conquerors average 57.6% possession, 471.5 passes, 6.7 corners awarded and 3.3 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 10.2 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Telmo Arcanjo has recorded 4 goals, Gustavo Silva 3, with Tiago Silva and Joao Mendes both managing 2. Joao Mendes has clocked up 2 assists, with Bruno Varela keeping 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Porto predicted lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Nehuen Perez, Martim Fernandes, Victor Froholdt, Alan Varela, Gabriel Veiga, Borja Sainz, Samuel Aghehowa, Pepe.

Vitória predicted lineup (3-4-3): Charles (GK), Toni Borevkovic, Rodrigo Abascal, Miguel Nobrega, Vando Felix, Tomas Handel, Tiago Silva, Joao Mendes, Nuno Santos, Nelson Oliveira, Oumar Camara.

Porto vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

Take in the full Porto vs Vitória betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to sharp corners advice, player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We’ve found some value by selecting Vitória +1 at odds of -132 for this Primeira Liga game. This bet looks really appealing based on the numbers and we’re happy to take this price with confidence.

Our team of experts monitor the current Primeira Liga injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Porto vs Vitória league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Vitória in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1 line has been covered by Vitória in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 8 of their last 10 games against Vitória.

Vitória +1 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 56.8% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

In the quest to secure larger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

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Our Match Prediction

Vitória Asian Hcp +1 @ -132 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Porto 1 - 1 Vitória

An exciting wager could be the game to end in a 1-1 draw at odds of +600. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Telmo Arcanjo To Score +900

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória) is available at +900 to find the net. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Telmo Arcanjo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+900

First

+2000

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners +102

It has now been five straight Vitória away matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while we’ve seen an average of 8.90 corners in the last ten Porto games. The Total Corners line looks to be too high given the stats and +102 is available to wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Porto

Total

8.90 4.80 4.10

Home

9.60 5.50 4.10

Away

8.50 5.40 3.10

Vitória

Total

10.00 6.70 3.30

Home

11.40 8.40 3.00

Away

9.00 5.40 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+102

Porto Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-110

Vitória Corners

Over 3.5

-163

Under 3.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-204

X

+750

2

+235

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Porto vs Vitória Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make Porto Favourites to Win

For this Primeira Liga encounter, the bookmakers have Porto as the -185 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 65% chance of triumphing. If you’re interested in wagering Vitória de Guimarães, you can get +440 for the underdog.

Porto can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting +118. However, Vitória are +420 and the draw is +130 if you want to take a different option.

If you’re wagering on Total Goals, the market is far from clear over whether Unders or Overs happens. For those anticipating both sides finding the net, then BTTS Yes might prove attractive. Alternatively, you can wager BTTS No.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-185

X

+310

2

+440

Half-Time Result

1

+118

X

+130

2

+420

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-417

X2

+135

Draw No Bet

1

-476

2

+280

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-109

2 Hcp +1

-132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-108

Over 2.5

-123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-125

Samu Omorodion is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Favourite Samu Omorodion is available at +280 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Samu Omorodion (Porto)

First

-100

Anytime

+280

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

First

+240

Anytime

+525

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Gabriel Veiga (Porto)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Danny Namaso (Porto)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Nuno Santos (Vitória)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Alan Varela (Porto)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Stephen Eustaquio (Porto)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Tiago Rafael Silva (Vitória)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Porto Home Form Looking Rock Solid

Porto have clocked up three straight wins at Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons have racked up four victories, four draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Vitória have five draws, three wins and two losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

The past meeting at Estadio do Dragao saw Porto draw 1-1 with Vitória. The previous 6 H2H games at Estadio do Dragao have involved four Porto wins, a single draw and one Vitória victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Porto Home Stats		4-4-2	2.60	1.50	1.10	4	6	7	3
Vitória Away Stats		3-5-2	2.40	1.20	1.20	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Porto vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

Always review the Porto vs Vitória team news before locking in your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus current injury reports.

FC Porto Team Page Vitória de Guimarães Team Page