Pumas vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Mar 2026

Liga MX Betting Preview: Pumas vs Toluca

Pumas go head-to-head with Toluca at Olimpico Universitario, with kick-off set for 22:10 on Tuesday 3 March.

We can get the draw on our side when betting Pumas +0.5 at Asian Handicap odds of -109. The home team should be able to avoid defeat against Toluca and this bet has the stats to back up a positive outcome.

Pumas UNAM played Club Tijuana away in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Caliente. The Mexico City club enjoyed 71% possession and had five shots on target, with Juninho scoring the goal.

Deportivo Toluca claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-0 triumph against Guadalajara at Estadio Nemesio Diez made it three consecutive victories. Antonio Mohamed's side enjoyed 50% possession and had six shots on goal, with Jesus Gallardo and Jorge Diaz finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

There has been three consecutive draws between Pumas and Toluca, with the last clash finishing 1-1 at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The previous 10 H2H matches include three Pumas victories, two Toluca wins along with five draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	8	5	3	0	11	2	9	11:2	18
4	Pumas	8	4	4	0	15	7	8	15:7	16

View Full Table

Pumas UNAM have 5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 7.1 attempts. Efrain Juarez's team have averaged 46.2% possession and 3.2 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.2 goals from 4.7 shots on goal, 10.8 attempts and 5.4 corners.

Top goalscorer Juninho has found the net 4 times, Alvaro Angulo 3, with Robert Morales and two other players on 2. Alan Medina has recorded the most assists with 3.

Deportivo Toluca have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 10.6 attempts, 5.4 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 56.9% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 3.1 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 6.4 attempts.

Paulinho has landed 5 goals, Helinho 3, with Jesus Gallardo and two others scoring 1. Jorge Diaz has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Pumas predicted lineup (4-4-2): Keylor Navas (GK), Rodrigo Lopez, Nathan Silva, Ángel Azuaje, Alvaro Angulo, Alan Medina, Adalberto Carrasquilla, Pedro Vite, Jordan Carrillo, Robert Morales, Juninho.

Toluca predicted lineup (4-3-3): Luis García (GK), Diego Barbosa, Federico Pereira, Bruno Méndez, Jesús Gallardo, Jorge Díaz Price, Franco Romero, Santiago Simón, Jesús Angulo, Paulinho, Marcel Ruíz.

Pumas vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Pumas vs Toluca, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll take Pumas on the Asian Handicap in this Liga MX encounter, with odds of -109 available that they win with a +0.5 goal start. We’re confident the home team will keep the opposition at bay.

The form guide is always considered and it’s great to also use the Liga MX team news as it filters through ahead of kick-off. In our quest for the best possible football predictions, the latest stats are scrutinised so that we have the best data.

Key Pumas vs Toluca league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Pumas in 8 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Pumas in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Pumas in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Pumas in 3 consecutive games against Toluca.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 52.1% chance of landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

We suggest a Bet Builder for anyone looking to back Pumas to cover the line along with other selections. This option gives you the chance to secure bigger odds by adding a number of picks on the same game.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Match Prediction

Pumas Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -109 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 2, 04:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Pumas 1 - 1 Toluca

The teams can be backed at +500 to play out a 1-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jordan Carrillo to Score +450

Jordan Carrillo (Pumas) has registered two goals in his past four Liga MX matches on home soil. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +450.

Latest Jordan Carrillo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Pumas Under 3.5 Corners +105

Pumas have been awarded an average of 2.20 corners in the past 5 games, while the corner count against Toluca has been less than 3.5 in the last four away matches. On this basis, we can take a price of +105 that this Pumas Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Pumas

Total

8.60 3.20 5.40

Home

8.70 4.40 4.30

Away

8.80 3.50 5.30

Toluca

Total

8.50 5.40 3.10

Home

8.60 5.20 3.40

Away

9.40 5.70 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-156

Under 8.5

+104

Pumas Corners

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

-100

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

+145

X

+600

2

-139

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Pumas vs Toluca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites are 54% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Deportivo Toluca being priced at -118 to come away with a victory in this Liga MX encounter. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +285 about Pumas UNAM.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Pumas are +300 here and the draw is +125, with Toluca on offer at +140.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -159.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Liga MX match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+285

X

+265

2

-118

Half-Time Result

1

+300

X

+125

2

+140

Double Chance

1X

-122

12

-435

X2

-500

Draw No Bet

1

+175

2

-278

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-109

2 Hcp -0.5

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+110

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" can be backed to find the net anytime at +107, with +300 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+107

Anytime

+300

Guillermo Martinez (Pumas)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro "Helinho" (Toluca)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Robert Morales (Pumas)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Jordan Carrillo (Pumas)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Pedro Vite (Pumas)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+510

Anytime

+1400

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Rodrigo Lopez (Pumas)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Adalberto Carrasquilla (Pumas)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Bruno Méndez (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Álvaro Angulo (Pumas)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Pumas have racked up three consecutive victories at Olimpico Universitario. The Mexico City club have secured five wins, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 0.70.

Toluca have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous four matches. Antonio Mohamed's side have clocked up four wins, four draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 0.50.

The most recent Olimpico Universitario meeting saw Pumas draw 1-1 with Toluca. We’ve seen four of 7 H2H meetings at Olimpico Universitario go the way of Pumas, with three draws also taking place.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Pumas Home Stats		5-3-2	2.30	1.60	0.70	3	7	5	5
Toluca Away Stats		4-4-2	1.50	1.00	0.50	3	7	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Pumas vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Pumas vs Toluca team news before you bet. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX, along with current injury news.

Pumas Team Page Toluca Team Page

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