Samsunspor vs Karagumruk Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Sep 2025

Super Lig Betting Preview: Samsunspor vs Karagumruk

Samsunspor host Karagumruk in this Turkish Super Lig meeting at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 21 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Not Expecting the Goal Tally to Exceed Two

There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count when Samsunspor go up against Karagumruk. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -111 about Under 2.5 when it comes to the Total Goals market.

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Karagumruk 3-1 Winners in Most Recent H2H

Samsunspor had a 0-0 draw in their last game. This was at home to Kasimpasa at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu. The Samsun side boasted 60% possession and recorded three shots on target.

Fatih Karagumruk suffered a second straight league defeat when losing 2-0 in their previous Super Lig game. This was at home to Istanbul Basaksehir at Vefa Stadium. The Black and Red recorded 47% possession and managed two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Karagumruk beat Samsun in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 3-1 home win at Ataturk Olympic Stadium.

Super Lig		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Samsunspor	11	5	5	1	17	11	6	17:11	20
18	Karagumruk	11	1	1	9	10	23	-13	10:23	4

View Full Table

Samsun have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. The Samsun side have averaged 53.6% possession and 6.0 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.8 goals from 3.1 shots on goal, 8.3 attempts and 4.6 corners.

Marius Mouandilmadji and Landry Dimata lead the way with 4 goals, while Carlo Holse has 2. Leading assistor is Emre Kilinc with 6.

Karagumruk have won 1 and lost 4, with an average of 2.6 shots on goal, 6.4 attempts and 0.4 goals. The Black and Red average 48.4% possession, 4.0 corners awarded and 6.2 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 9.2 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Anil Yigit Cinar and Daniel Johnson have found the net 1 times. Daniel Johnson and Atakan Cankaya have both managed 1 assists in the previous 5 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Samsunspor confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Okan Kocuk (GK), Zeki Yavru, Lubomir Satka, Rick van Drongelen, Logi Tomasson, Yunus Emre Cift, Anthony Musaba, Carlo Holse, Olivier Ntcham, Tanguy Coulibaly, Cherif Ndiaye.

Karagumruk confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ivo Grbic (GK), Ricardo Esgaio, Atakan Cankaya, Anil Yigit Cinar, Jure Balkovec, Daniel Johnson, Marius Tresor Doh, Tiago Cukur, Berkay Ozcan, Serginho, Andre Gray.

Samsunspor vs Karagumruk Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down Samsunspor vs Karagumruk from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick, player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

We hope you agree with our verdict of a low-scoring encounter, with an opportunity to back the -111 for the Under 2.5 Goals selection. We are not anticipating this Super Lig clash to yield goals.

It's essential to know the players who are missing for the next clash along with the form for each of the two sides. If you’re looking for the best Super Lig stats, we will showcase them and they provide the foundation for our football picks.

Key Samsunspor vs Karagumruk league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Samsunspor games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Karagumruk games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Karagumruk games.

Under 2.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.6% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s an opportunity to add Under 2.5 Goals to a Bet Builder in the search for larger odds. Adding different selections will boost the price which means a bigger potential return.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -111 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Samsunspor 0 - 3 Karagumruk

Karagumruk are available at +3300 to secure a 3-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tiago Cukur To Score +340

Tiago Cukur (Karagumruk) can be wagered at +340 to find the net. He looks like a value bet to find the net and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer pick.

Latest Tiago Cukur Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+750

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -150

Each of the previous three Samsunspor matches have featured under 9.5 corners. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too high, go for odds of -150 that the teams go under.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Samsunspor

Total

10.60 6.00 4.60

Home

8.10 4.60 3.50

Away

9.80 4.20 5.60

Karagumruk

Total

10.20 4.00 6.20

Home

9.00 4.33 4.67

Away

12.00 3.50 8.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-152

Under 8.5

+106

Samsunspor Corners

Over 5.5

+107

Under 5.5

-152

Karagumruk Corners

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-116

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+600

2

+200

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Samsunspor vs Karagumruk Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Samsun Made Favourites by the Bookies

For this Super Lig encounter, the bookmakers have Samsunspor as the -147 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 60% chance of triumphing. If you want to back the outsider, Fatih Karagumruk are available at +370.

There’s an alternative Asian Handicap angle where you back Samsun -0.75 against Karagumruk at -115. A 2+ goal win means a full return, although you get a payout on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

If you want to bet on the number of goals, you can get a similar price on Over or Under 2.5 Goals. For those anticipating both sides finding the net, then BTTS Yes might prove attractive. Alternatively, you can wager BTTS No.

The best football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Super Lig game, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-147

X

+270

2

+370

Half-Time Result

1

+130

X

+125

2

+375

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-435

X2

-100

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+230

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-115

2 Hcp +0.75

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-123

Over 2.5

-110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-123

Cherif Ndiaye Favourite to Find the Net First

You will find favourite Cherif Ndiaye at +400 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +180 that he finds the net any time.

Cherif Ndiaye (Samsunspor)

First

+180

Anytime

+400

Marius Mouandilmadji (Samsunspor)

First

+185

Anytime

+400

Tanguy Coulibaly (Samsunspor)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Carlo Holse (Samsunspor)

First

+285

Anytime

+650

Andre Gray (Karagumruk)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Celil Yüksel (Samsunspor)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Tiago Cukur (Karagumruk)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Olivier Ntcham (Samsunspor)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Sérgio Antonio da Luiz Junior (Karagumruk)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Anthony Musaba (Samsunspor)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

João Camacho (Karagumruk)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Sam Larsson (Karagumruk)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Joe Mendes (Samsunspor)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Logi Tomasson (Samsunspor)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Baris Jakob Kalayci (Karagumruk)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Antoine Makoumbou (Samsunspor)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Alper Demirol (Karagumruk)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Omer Faruk Gumus (Karagumruk)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Tuğbey Akgün (Karagumruk)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Rick van Drongelen (Samsunspor)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Toni Borevkovic (Samsunspor)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Soner Gönül (Samsunspor)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Marius Tresor Doh (Karagumruk)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Çagtay Kurukalip (Karagumruk)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Samsun Struggling to Find Home Wins

Samsunspor have not won at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu in the past three matches. The Red Lightning have five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Karagumruk have racked up one win and one defeat in the last 2 away matches, recording an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

In the last meeting at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun defeated Karagumruk by a 1-0 scoreline.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Samsunspor Home Stats		5-2-3	2.20	1.20	1.00	5	5	4	6
Karagumruk Away Stats		1-0-1	3.00	1.00	2.00	2	0	1	1

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Samsunspor vs Karagumruk Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Samsunspor vs Karagumruk without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Super Lig, along with current injury news.

Samsunspor Team Page Karagumruk Team Page