São Paulo vs Chapecoense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Mar 2026
Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Chapecoense
São Paulo meet Chapecoense, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Thursday 12 March.
Chapecoense +1.25 at odds of -112 allows us to split our money between +1 and +1.5. A win or draw against São Paulo will result in a payout on the Asian Handicap, with a one goal defeat still seeing a return.
São Paulo have got the win in back-to-back Série A games. A 1-0 triumph recently occurred when playing Coritiba away. Tricolor Paulista enjoyed 58% possession and managed five shots on target, with the winning goal scored by Cauly Oliveira Souza in the 57th minute.
Chapecoense played out a 3-3 draw against Coritiba in their previous game, with this being at home. The Chapecó side were 51% in the possession stakes and managed eight shots on goal, while Walter Clar, Eduardo Domachowski and Rubens Ricoldi were all on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
São Paulo have not lost any of the past four games against Chape, with the last clash being a 1-1 draw. The past 4 H2H meetings have featured two São Paulo wins and two draws.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  São Paulo |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Chapecoense |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8:6 | 5 |
5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 6.3 attempts. São Paulo have had 49.7% possession and 3.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.4 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.8 corners.
Jonathan Calleri and Luciano Neves are the leading goalscorers with 2, while Cauly Oliveira Souza has 1. Luciano Neves, Lucas Moura and Enzo Hernan Diaz have racked up the most assists with 1 each.
Chape have won 1 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.7 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 39.3% possession, 2.3 corners awarded and 11.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 7.7 shots on goal and 17.7 attempts.
Walter Clar and Jean have top scored with 2 goals, while Eduardo Domachowski is next on 1. Jean has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 3 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
São Paulo predicted lineup (3-4-1-2): Rafael (GK), Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, Rafael Toloi, Maik, Pablo Maia, Marcos Antônio, Enzo Díaz, Luciano, Aldemir Ferreira, Jonathan Calleri.
Chapecoense predicted lineup (3-4-1-2): Léo Vieira (GK), Victor Caetano, Bruno Leonardo, Doma, Everton, Carvalheira, Camilo, Walter Clar, Giovanni Augusto, Italo, Marcinho.
São Paulo vs Chapecoense Prediction & Betting Tips
Explore our top São Paulo vs Chapecoense betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
Chapecoense with a +1.25 goal start look really appealing when it comes to this Série A clash. We’re expecting a fine performance from the visitors, with odds of -112 looking attractive.
We’re always focused on the Série A form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.
Key São Paulo vs Chapecoense league stats:
According to the top bookies, our pick has a 52.9% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.
Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Chapecoense
There are odds of +600 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Player Prop Picks
Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo) has racked up two goals in his past four Série A games. We’ll throw a dart at +160 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can provide entertainment and we’ve got Chapecoense to cover the +1.25 Asian Handicap, BTTS Yes and Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo) to score at any time.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
São Paulo vs Chapecoense Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With an estimated 71% chance of winning, the bookies are taking few chances with their -250 betting odds about São Paulo triumphing in this Série A clash. Chapecoense are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +650.
São Paulo can be backed at -112 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Chape can be chanced at +575 and the draw is +145.
Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. A different wager could be betting BTTS No where you can land -135 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Série A matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
Luciano da Rocha can be backed to find the net anytime at +140, with +370 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
São Paulo League Stats
Chapecoense League Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 2.33 corners awarded and 11.00 corners conceded in the last 3 matches
- An average of 0 corners awarded and 0 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 13.33 corners awarded in the last 3 matches
- An average of 0 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 2 of the last 3 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 39.33% possession in the last 3 matches
- An average of 0% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 3 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for São Paulo this season are Jonathan Calleri (2), Cauly Oliveira Souza (1), Danielzinho (1)
- Top Assistors for São Paulo this season are Enzo Hernan Diaz (1), Lucas Moura (1), Luciano Neves (1)
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São Paulo vs Chapecoense Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for São Paulo vs Chape before making your bets. Expect the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with timely injury updates.
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 3-4-1-2
Chapecoense Predicted Lineup 3-4-1-2
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 3-4-1-2
Chapecoense Predicted Lineup 3-4-1-2
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Previous Chapecoense Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
São Paulo Player Stats & Squad
Manager:
Chapecoense Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 10 |
| 2 | São Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Grêmio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 10 | Chapecoense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 5 |
| 11 | Santos | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 12 | Flamengo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitória | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 17 | Atlético MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco da Gama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Grêmio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 3 | São Paulo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Chapecoense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Santos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 9 | Botafogo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Vitória | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Athletico PR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlético MG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 2 |
| 14 | Remo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 15 | Bahia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 16 | Flamengo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 19 | Coritiba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Internacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
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