Spezia vs Calcio Padova Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Oct 2025
Serie B Betting Preview: Spezia vs Calcio Padova
Spezia host Calcio Padova in this Italian Serie B meeting at Stadio Alberto Picco, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Wednesday 29 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Are Spezia Value for This Game?
Spezia look like an attractive bet at -123 and we think they can beat Calcio Padova. We’ll place this Full-Time Result wager with confidence and there’s plenty of juice in the available price.
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2-0 Victory for Calcio Padova in Pair’s Last Battle
Spezia have suffered three home losses on the spin. Their last game was a 4-0 away victory against Avellino at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. Aquilotti managed seven shots on target and had 52% possession, while Giuseppe Aurelio, Vanja Vlahovic, Luca Vignali and Giuseppe Di Serio each scored one goal.
Calcio Padova drew 2-2 in their previous game. This was at home against Juve Stabia at Stadio Euganeo. Matteo Andreoletti's side were 50% in the possession stakes and managed two shots on goal, with Mattia Bortolussi finding the net twice.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The two teams last clashed at Stadio Alberto Picco, with Calcio Padova recording the away victory. Overcoming Spezia by a 2-0 scoreline.
| Serie B | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Calcio Padova |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 18 | Spezia |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9:13 | 6 |
1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 6.1 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. Spezia have had 49.4% possession and 4.7 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 7.5 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.2 corners.
Top goalscorers Luca Vignali and Gianluca Lapadula have found the net 2 times, with Giuseppe Aurelio scoring 1. Salvatore Esposito is the leading assists maker with 3.
Calcio Padova – Last 9 League GamesCalcio Padova have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.1 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 47.3% possession, 4.1 corners taken and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts.
Mattia Bortolussi is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, while Marco Perrotta, Filippo Sgarbi, Cristian Buonaiuto and Kevin Varas have 1. Alessandro Capelli and Kevin Varas have managed 2 assists in the last 9 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Spezia predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mouhamadou Sarr (GK), Ales Matějů, Petko Hristov, Fellipe Jack, Luca Vignali, Ádám Nagy, Salvatore Esposito, Francesco Cassata, Giuseppe Aurelio, Edoardo Soleri, Gianluca Lapadula.
Calcio Padova predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mattia Fortin (GK), Carlo Faedo, Filippo Sgarbi, Marco Perrotta, Alessandro Capelli, Pietro Fusi, Lorenzo Crisetig, Kevin Varas, Paolo Ghiglione, Mattia Bortolussi, Cristian Buonaiuto.
Spezia vs Calcio Padova Prediction & Betting Tips
Be fully equipped for Spezia vs Calcio Padova with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, the best corners play and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
We really like Spezia at odds of -123 to win this Serie B game, with this bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Serie B stats.
Key Spezia vs Calcio Padova league stats:
Spezia to Win Probability
According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 55.2% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
There are lots of ways to get with Spezia beyond the match winner market. This includes backing them to be leading at half-time and full-time and on the Asian Handicap.
Before you dive in, check our guide for the newest betting promotions and generous sign-up bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s go for Spezia to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +350. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Corners Prediction
It has now been three consecutive Spezia games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered, while three Calcio Padova away matches on the bounce have had the same outcome. The Total Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -125.
Spezia
Calcio Padova
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Bet Builder Tips
Try out our same-game multi picks which include Spezia to win, one or both teams drawing a blank along with Over 9.5 corners.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Spezia vs Calcio Padova Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Bookies Think Spezia Most Likely to Win
With a 55% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Spezia are favourites to prosper in this Serie B encounter and they’re available at -123 with the bookies. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +325 for Calcio Padova.
You can choose between Spezia -0.5 at -127 or Calcio Padova +0.5 at -106 if you’re looking to bet on the Asian Handicap. The former is the same as the 1x2 market, while the latter means you also get a payout if it’s a draw.
A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -154 about Both Teams to Score No.
The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Serie B games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.
Spezia Home Form Not Convincing
Spezia have suffered a three match losing run at Stadio Alberto Picco. Aquilotti have six defeats, three wins and one draw in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.70.
Calcio Padova have secured two victories, two defeats and one draw in the previous 5 away games, netting an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Calcio Padova won 2-0 when they last played Spezia at Stadio Alberto Picco.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spezia Home Stats |
3-1-6 | 3.10 | 1.40 | 1.70 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
Calcio Padova Away Stats |
2-1-2 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Spezia League Stats
Calcio Padova League Stats
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 9 matches
- 2 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 5 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.11 goals scored and 1.22 conceded in the previous 9 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 5 away matches
- An average of 2.33 goals per game in the previous 9 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 5 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 9 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 5 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 9 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 5 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.11 corners awarded and 5.33 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 6.40 corners against in the last 5 away matches
- An average of 9.44 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 5 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 9 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 4 of the last 5 away matches
- An average of 49.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 47.33% possession in the last 9 matches
- An average of 44.80% possession in the last 5 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 9 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 5 away matches
- Top Scorers for Spezia this season are Gianluca Lapadula (2), Edoardo Soleri (1), Giuseppe Aurelio (1)
- Top Assistors for Spezia this season are Salvatore Esposito (2), Adam Nagy (1), Giuseppe Aurelio (1)
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Spezia vs Calcio Padova Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Spezia vs Calcio Padova team news beforehand. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Serie B lineups and the latest on injuries.
Spezia Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Calcio Padova Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Spezia Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Calcio Padova Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Previous Spezia Lineups
Previous Calcio Padova Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Calcio Padova | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 16 | Bari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 17 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 7 |
| 18 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:15 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Modena | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Monza | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Venezia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Entella | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Palermo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 6 | Reggiana | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 7 | Carrarese | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 8 |
| 9 | Bari | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 10 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 11 | Empoli | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Avellino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Pescara | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 6 |
| 14 | Sudtirol | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 16 | Calcio Padova | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 18 | Mantova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 19 | Cesena | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 20 | Spezia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 1 |
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