Spezia vs Palermo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

Serie B Betting Preview: Spezia vs Palermo

Spezia host Palermo in this Italian Serie B meeting at Stadio Alberto Picco, with kick-off set for 11:15 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Palermo Look Value for This Clash

Palermo look a nice wager to topple Spezia and we can take them at -143 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.

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2-2 Draw in Previous H2H Clash

Spezia played Reggiana on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Stadio Mapei. Luca D'Angelo's team managed one shot on target and had 53% possession, while Gianluca Lapadula scored the goal.

Palermo played Venezia at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at Stadio Renzo Barbera. The Sicily club finished with just 39% possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Stadio Alberto Picco hosted the last head-to-head when home side Spezia drew 2-2 with Palermo. The previous 5 H2H games have ended in three draws along with a victory for Spezia and Palermo.

Serie B		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Palermo	6	3	3	0	7	2	5	7:2	12
18	Spezia	6	0	3	3	3	9	-6	3:9	3

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 5.3 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. Spezia have had 46.2% possession and 4.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 7.2 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal, while earning 3.3 corners.

Francesco Pio Esposito is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Gianluca Lapadula, Edoardo Soleri, Salvatore Esposito and Luca Vignali each have 1. Rachid Kouda and Salvatore Esposito have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Palermo have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 11.5 attempts, 5.5 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Filippo Inzaghi's side average 50.5% possession, 5.0 corners in their favour and 3.8 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 2.8 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts.

Joel Pohjanpalo has top scored with 3, while Jeremy Le Douaron, Niccolo Pierozzi and Matteo Brunori are next on 2. Tommaso Augello, Joel Pohjanpalo and Antonio Palumbo have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Spezia predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mouhamadou Sarr (GK), Przemyslaw Wisniewski, Fellipe Jack, Ales Matějů, Antonio Candela, Ádám Nagy, Salvatore Esposito, Rachid Kouda, Giuseppe Aurelio, Edoardo Soleri, Gianluca Lapadula.

Palermo predicted lineup (3-5-2): Jesse Joronen (GK), Niccolò Pierozzi, Mattia Bani, Patryk Peda, Salim Diakite, Jacopo Segre, Alexis Blin, Samuel Giovane, Tommaso Augello, Joel Pohjanpalo, Matteo Brunori.

Spezia vs Palermo Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Spezia vs Palermo betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, corners recommendation and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

Palermo have a good chance of winning this Serie B clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at -143 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Serie B data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key Spezia vs Palermo league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Palermo in 6 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Palermo in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Palermo in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Spezia in 8 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Spezia in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Spezia in 2 consecutive games against Palermo.

Palermo +0.25 Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 58.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Bettors have the flexibility of being able to buy or sell goals depending on whether they want a safer or a riskier wager, with the odds moving according to the line.

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Our Match Prediction

Palermo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Spezia 0 - 1 Palermo

Palermo are available at +410 when it comes to them winning 1-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -102

We’ve not seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered in five straight Spezia matches. If you concur with our viewpoint that the Total Corners line is too big, go for a price of -102 that the sides go under.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Spezia

Total

7.30 4.00 3.30

Home

9.50 5.40 4.10

Away

8.90 5.00 3.90

Palermo

Total

8.80 5.00 3.80

Home

9.60 5.80 3.80

Away

9.70 3.40 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-122

Spezia Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Palermo Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-119

X

+600

2

+125

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Spezia vs Palermo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Close Encounter Likely According to the Betting Sites

The bookmakers have priced up the Full-Time Result odds and Spezia are +160 to come out on top, while Palermo are +165. The draw is available at +205 if you expect the clash to finish level.

There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Spezia at -122 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Palermo at -118.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. The Both Teams to Score No option is -149 if you think at least one side will fail to score.

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Full-Time Result

1

+160

X

+205

2

+165

Half-Time Result

1

+235

X

+102

2

+240

Double Chance

1X

-250

12

-333

X2

-238

Draw No Bet

1

-122

2

-118

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+120

2 Hcp +0.25

-164

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-200

Over 2.5

+138

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+105

No

-149

Spezia Struggling to Get Home Wins on the Board

Spezia haven’t triumphed in four straight games at Stadio Alberto Picco. Luca D'Angelo's team have five defeats, four victories and one draw in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Palermo have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

The last meeting at Stadio Alberto Picco saw Spezia and Palermo draw 2-2.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Spezia Home Stats		4-1-5	2.80	1.40	1.40	5	5	5	5
Palermo Away Stats		4-3-3	2.70	1.60	1.10	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Spezia vs Palermo Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Spezia vs Palermo team news before you bet. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Serie B lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Spezia Team Page Palermo Team Page