Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Mar 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Sunderland vs Brighton
Sunderland welcome Brighton to Stadium of Light, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Saturday 14 March.
Sunderland and Brighton might play out a low-scoring contest, with Under 2.5 looking like the best pick. We can head to the Total Goals market and secure odds of -130 for this selection.
Sunderland have been handed two Premier League home defeats in a row. In their last league outing, they beat Leeds United on the road by a 1-0 scoreline at Elland Road. The Wearside team ended up with just 30% possession and one shot on target, with Habib Diarra scoring the winning goal in the 70th minute.
On Sunday, Sunderland were beaten 1-0 when facing Port Vale away in the FA Cup.
Brighton were beaten in their previous game, losing 1-0 at home to Arsenal at American Express Stadium. The Seagulls had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 59% possession and three shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
When the teams last went head-to-head, we saw Sunderland draw 0-0 away to Brighton at American Express Stadium.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sunderland |
29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 30:34 | 40 |
| 14 | Brighton |
29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38:36 | 37 |
Sunderland have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 9.4 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal. The Black Cats have averaged 47.1% possession, 372.2 passes and 3.2 corners per game, conceding 1.6 goals and 5.5 corners from 14.2 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.
Brian Brobbey is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Habib Diarra and Enzo Le Fee each have 2. Nordi Mukiele has the most assists with 2, while goalies Robin Roefs and Melker Ellborg collectively have 2 clean sheets.
Brighton have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 4.1 shots on goal, 11.4 attempts and 1.0 goals. Fabian Hurzeler's side average 54.2% possession, 486.8 passes, 4.8 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 11.3 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.
We’ve seen Danny Welbeck, Diego Gomez and Yasin Ayari score 2 goals each. Yasin Ayari has had 2 assists, with Bart Verbruggen notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Sunderland predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Melker Ellborg (GK), Luke O'Nien, Daniel Ballard, Omar Alderete, Trai Hume, Lutsharel Geertruida, Noah Sadiki, Nilson Angulo, Habib Diarra, Enzo Le Fee, Eliezer Mayenda.
Brighton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Olivier Boscagli, Ferdi Kadioglu, Carlos Baleba, Pascal Gross, Diego Gomez, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Georginio Rutter.
Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips
Get set for Sunderland vs Brighton with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
There are reasons to side with Under 2.5 Goals for this Premier League match. The two sides could fall short of the line and we really like the odds of -130 that are available for this pick.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Premier League stats and present the key numbers to our readers.
Key Sunderland vs Brighton league stats:
If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 56.5% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
It’s possible to combine Under 2.5 Goals with other picks in order to land a larger price. A Bet Builder is an ideal way of making this happen, with bettors needing all the various legs to win.
Our quick-access guide helps you unlock the best betting offers, generous promos, and the freshest free bets today.
Correct Score Prediction
Brighton are available to back at +600 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Player Prop Picks
Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton) has had over 1.5 shots in four consecutive Premier League games. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Player Shots line which is on offer at odds of -156.
Georginio Rutter (Brighton) can be backed to score at +330. He looks like a value bet to find the net and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer pick.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
All of the past four Sunderland matches has seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with three consecutive Brighton away games having the same outcome. The Total Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -115.
Sunderland
Brighton
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a same-game multi and our picks are two or less goals in total, Brighton to win accompanied by Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton) to cover the 1.5 Player Shots line.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Sunderland vs Brighton Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Brighton as +120 favourites for this Premier League encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 45% likely to triumph. Sunderland are the outsiders at +235 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.
There are various ways to back Brighton and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s -114 currently available that they beat Sunderland and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.
For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -133.
There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Premier League game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
Danny Welbeck is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +390 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +160.
Sunderland have collected four wins, four draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.10.
Brighton have five defeats, three draws and two wins in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.40.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sunderland Home Stats |
4-4-2 | 2.50 | 1.40 | 1.10 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
Brighton Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.50 | 1.10 | 1.40 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Sunderland League Stats
Brighton League Stats
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Sunderland this season are Brian Brobbey (5), Enzo Le Fee (4), Wilson Isidor (4)
- Top Assistors for Sunderland this season are Granit Xhaka (5), Enzo Le Fee (4), Nordi Mukiele (3)
Sunderland vs Brighton Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Sunderland vs Brighton without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League along with up-to-date injury news.
Sunderland Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Brighton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sunderland Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Brighton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Sunderland Lineups
Previous Brighton Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Sunderland Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Regis Le Bris
Brighton Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 67 |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 59:27 | 60 |
| 3 | Man United | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 51:40 | 51 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 39:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:34 | 48 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 48:39 | 48 |
| 7 | Brentford | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 44:40 | 44 |
| 8 | Everton | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 34:33 | 43 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 10 | Fulham | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 40:43 | 40 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 30:34 | 40 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 42:43 | 39 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | 38 |
| 14 | Brighton | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 38:36 | 37 |
| 15 | Leeds | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37:48 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28:43 | 28 |
| 18 | West Ham | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 35:54 | 28 |
| 19 | Burnley | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:58 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22:52 | 16 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 36:11 | 36 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33:9 | 35 |
| 3 | Man United | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:16 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 29 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:16 | 27 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:13 | 26 |
| 7 | Fulham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 9 | Brentford | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 25 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21:15 | 25 |
| 11 | Brighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | 24 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:16 | 23 |
| 13 | Leeds | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:20 | 22 |
| 14 | Everton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:19 | 19 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:19 | 13 |
| 17 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 18 | Wolverhampton | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17:31 | 12 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18:25 | 10 |
| 20 | Burnley | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:23 | 10 |
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