Toluca vs Juárez Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Mar 2026

Liga MX Betting Preview: Toluca vs Juárez

Toluca go head-to-head with Juárez at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Sunday 8 March.

Juárez +1.5 look like a worthwhile selection on the basis that you can get Asian Handicap odds of -119 against Toluca. It allows for a payout if the visitors win, draw or lose by a single goal which seems like value.

Deportivo Toluca have triumphed in their last four games. The latest of these was on the road where Pumas UNAM were beaten 3-2 at Olimpico Universitario. Los Diablos Rojos enjoyed 61% possession and managed eight shots on target, while Jesus Angulo, Diego Barbosa and Paulinho scored one goal each.

Juárez have won back-to-back the Liga MX games. The latest was on their travels where Club América were beaten 2-1 at Estadio Banorte. Pedro Caixinha's side had just 33% possession and recorded four shots on goal, with Jairo Torres and Guilherme Castilho finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have gone unbeaten in their past six games against Juárez, with the last encounter ending 0-0 at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Toluca wins, four draws and one Juárez success.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	9	6	3	0	14	4	10	14:4	21
12	Juárez	8	3	1	4	13	14	-1	13:14	10

View Full Table

7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals from 11.8 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal. Deportivo Toluca have had 58.1% possession and 6.8 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 6.7 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 2.5 corners.

Paulinho is the top goalscorer with 6, Helinho has 3, with Jesus Angulo and two other players on 1. The top assist makers are Helinho, Jesus Gallardo and Jorge Diaz, all of whom have 2 on the board.

Bravos de Juárez have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, averaging 7.9 attempts, 3.4 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. They average 49.7% possession, 3.7 corners in their favour and 5.3 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.

We’ve seen Guilherme Castilho, Jose Luis Rodriguez, Denzell Garcia and Oscar Estupinan score 2 goals each. Jose Luis Rodriguez has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Luan, Pavel Uriel Pérez, Jesús Angulo, Jorge Díaz Price, Paulinho.

Juárez predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Sebastián Jurado (GK), Francisco Nevarez, Jesús Murillo, Moisés Mosquera, Manuel Alejandro Mayorga, Homer Martínez, Ían Jairo Torres, Denzell García, Monchu, José Luis Rodríguez, Oscar Estupiñán.

Toluca vs Juárez Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Toluca vs Juárez bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

Juárez +1.5 looks a great option on the Asian Handicap at a price of -119. We’re expecting to get a payout from this Liga MX match and expect the outsiders to keep the scoreline close.

The Liga MX tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.

Key Toluca vs Juárez league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by Juárez in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Juárez in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Juárez in 3 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 2 consecutive games against Juárez.

The top betting apps make it a 54.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

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Our Match Prediction

Juárez Asian Hcp +1.5 @ -119 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 7, 02:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 2 - 1 Juárez

Toluca are available to back at +600 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jesús Gallardo to Score +410

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) has scored two goals in his past ten Liga MX matches on home soil. We’ll throw a dart at +410 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Jesús Gallardo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+410

First

+1100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Juárez Over 2.5 Corners -152

The 2.5 corners line has been covered by Juárez in their past six games, with the corner count against Toluca going over 2.5 in their last two home matches. We recommend backing the -152 that Juárez are able to cover the line, with this Team Corners bet landing a handsome potential return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.30 6.80 2.50

Home

8.60 5.20 3.40

Away

10.30 6.90 3.40

Juárez

Total

9.00 3.70 5.30

Home

9.40 3.70 5.70

Away

8.30 4.00 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-109

Toluca Corners

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-120

Juárez Corners

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-103

Most Corners

1

-526

X

+850

2

+440

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toluca vs Juárez Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Full-Time Result odds give Deportivo Toluca a 76% chance of triumphing which means that they’re overwhelming -313 favourites to win this Liga MX clash. Juárez are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +750.

The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. Toluca are -135, while Juárez are alternatively priced at +575 and the draw is +155.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. On the Both Teams to Score market, there isn’t much between the BTTS Yes and No options in terms of price.

There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Liga MX game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-313

X

+400

2

+750

Half-Time Result

1

-135

X

+155

2

+575

Double Chance

1X

-3333

12

-833

X2

+200

Draw No Bet

1

-1429

2

+500

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-109

2 Hcp +1.5

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+125

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-116

No

-122

Favourite João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" is priced at +235 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of -135.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

-135

Anytime

+235

Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro "Helinho" (Toluca)

First

+200

Anytime

+600

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+290

Anytime

+850

Óscar Estupiñán (Juárez)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Ettson Ayon (Juárez)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1700

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Madson (Juárez)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Israel Larios (Juárez)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Bruno Méndez (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Antonio Briseño (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Ricardinho (Juárez)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Toluca have swerved defeat at Estadio Nemesio Diez in the previous ten matches. Los Diablos Rojos have managed seven wins and three draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Juárez have finished with five defeats, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

Toluca drew 0-0 with Juárez when they last met at Estadio Nemesio Diez. We’ve seen the past 7 H2H meetings at Estadio Nemesio Diez involve three Juárez wins. There have also been two draws and two Toluca victories.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		7-3-0	2.70	2.00	0.70	5	5	5	5
Juárez Away Stats		3-2-5	3.40	1.40	2.00	8	2	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Toluca vs Juárez Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Toluca vs Bravos team news before you bet. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Toluca Team Page Juárez Team Page

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