Toluca vs San Luis Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Apr 2026

Liga MX Betting Preview: Toluca vs San Luis

Toluca meet San Luis at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Sunday 12 April.

Toluca could have the upper hand against San Luis. We think the favourites will win by two goals or more, so we’ll play the -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at tempting betting odds of -108.

Deportivo Toluca were beaten in their last game. Away from home at Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro claimed a 1-0 win. Antonio Mohamed's team enjoyed 60% possession and managed two shots on target.

Atlético San Luis got the win in their previous game. A 2-1 triumph occurred away from home at Estadio BBVA when playing Monterrey. Los Atléticos had 41% possession and managed seven shots on goal, with Joao Pedro and David Rodriguez on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It has been six wins on the bounce for Toluca when playing San Luis. In their last clash, visitors Toluca secured a 3-1 victory at Estadio Alfonso Lastras. The previous 10 H2H games have included seven wins for Toluca, two triumphs for San Luis and a single draw.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Toluca	13	7	5	1	19	8	11	19:8	26
14	San Luis	13	4	2	7	20	22	-2	20:22	14

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. Deportivo Toluca have had 58.9% possession and 6.7 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.7 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts, while being awarded 3.4 corners.

Paulinho leads the way with 6 goals, Jesus Angulo has 2, with Franco Romero and two others on 1. Paulinho, Francisco Cordova and Marcel Ruiz have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

San Luis have won 3, lost 6 and drawn 1, averaging 7.4 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. Guillermo Abascal's men average 50.2% possession, 4.0 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against them, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 6.3 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts.

Joao Pedro got 9 goals, Sebastien Lamonge notched 2, while David Rodriguez and two other players scored 1. Sebastien Lamonge, Jesus Medina and Santiago Munoz have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Santiago Simón, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Jesús Gallardo, Nicolas Castro, Franco Romero, Helinho, Sebastián Córdova, Jesús Angulo, Paulinho.

San Luis predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Andrés Sánchez (GK), Román Torres, Eduardo Águila, Juanpe, Aldo Cruz, Óscar Macías, Roberto Meraz, Jesús Medina, Sébastien Salles Lamonge, Anderson Duarte, João Pedro Galvão.

Toluca vs San Luis Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Toluca vs San Luis with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Rather than back Toluca to win, we’re going to take the -108 that the favourites overcome -1.5 on the Asian Handicap for this Liga MX match. They could prove too strong over ninety minutes.

We’re always focused on the Liga MX form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

Key Toluca vs San Luis league stats:

• The -1.5 line has been covered by Toluca in 11 of their last 20 games at home.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 51.8% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There are different options to wager on Toluca, with Winning Margin a great alternative. Select the fixed interval and get paid out if you’re correct.

Thinking of betting? Browse our detailed guide for the best current offers, including free bets and the latest bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca Asian Hcp -1.5 @ -108 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 11, 03:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 3 - 0 San Luis

There could be merit in backing Toluca to win 3-0. Odds of +650 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Helinho to Score +195

Helinho (Toluca) has racked up five goals in his past eight Liga MX home matches. We’ll take a chance at +195 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Helinho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+195

First

+600

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -108

It has been five straight Toluca games involving the 9.5 Total Corners line being covered, with two consecutive San Luis away matches seeing the same thing happen. If you concur with our viewpoint that the Total Corners line can be covered, then you can secure odds of -108 that this outcome happens.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

10.10 6.70 3.40

Home

9.00 5.70 3.30

Away

10.10 6.40 3.70

San Luis

Total

7.70 4.00 3.70

Home

8.10 5.00 3.10

Away

7.10 3.90 3.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-137

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

-156

Under 5.5

-100

San Luis Corners

Over 2.5

-179

Under 2.5

+112

Most Corners

1

-357

X

+750

2

+325

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toluca vs San Luis Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You might not get rich backing Deportivo Toluca at -313 to win this Liga MX clash although these betting odds imply a 76% chance that the favourites end up winning. Atlético San Luis are the +700 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Toluca available at -137 and San Luis at +525. The third option is the draw which is priced at +170.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -141.

If you’re betting on Liga MX games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-313

X

+420

2

+700

Half-Time Result

1

-137

X

+170

2

+525

Double Chance

1X

-1667

12

-769

X2

+200

Draw No Bet

1

-1250

2

+450

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-108

2 Hcp +1.5

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+150

Over 2.5

-213

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-141

No

-105

João Paulo Paulinho is available at -147 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +240 to find the net first.

João Paulo Paulinho (Toluca)

First

-147

Anytime

+240

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+140

Anytime

+400

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+195

Anytime

+600

Helinho (Toluca)

First

+195

Anytime

+600

João Galvão (San Luis)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+270

Anytime

+850

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+290

Anytime

+900

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+360

Anytime

+1050

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+360

Anytime

+1100

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+390

Anytime

+1200

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Sebastian Cordova (Toluca)

First

+430

Anytime

+1200

Fidel Barajas (San Luis)

First

+440

Anytime

+1400

Santiago Muñoz (San Luis)

First

+475

Anytime

+1400

Jesús Medina (San Luis)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

David Rodríguez (San Luis)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1700

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Bruno Méndez (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Benjamín Galdames (San Luis)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Antonio Briseño (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Toluca are unbeaten in the last ten games at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Antonio Mohamed's team have managed eight victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.40 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

San Luis have finished with six defeats, three wins and one draw in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

The last Estadio Nemesio Diez meeting saw Toluca beat San Luis 2-1. Toluca have landed victory in five of the previous 6 H2H games at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with San Luis winning once.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		8-2-0	3.30	2.40	0.90	6	4	7	3
San Luis Away Stats		3-1-6	3.10	1.20	1.90	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Toluca vs San Luis Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Toluca vs San Luis team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups plus current injury reports.

Toluca Team Page San Luis Team Page

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