Vitória vs Alverca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Vitória vs Alverca

Vitória take on Alverca at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Saturday 28 February.

There’s a strong case for siding with Vitória when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think the favourites could prove too strong for Alverca and odds of -132 are attractive.

Vitória de Guimarães have secured back-to-back Primeira Liga home victories. Their last league encounter was away and a 3-2 loss occurred against Braga at Estadio Municipal de Braga. Luis Pinto's team boasted 54% possession and had four shots on target, while Adrian Leon Barisic (own goal) and Gustavo Silva each scored one goal.

Alverca hosted Santa Clara at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. The Villains recorded 44% possession and had one shot on goal, while Marko Milovanovic was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Alverca beat Vitória in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 2-0 home win at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Vitória	23	9	4	10	27	34	-7	27:34	31
11	Alverca	23	7	5	11	23	38	-15	23:38	26

View Full Table

Vitória have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. The Guimarães outfit have averaged 50.8% possession, 390.7 passes and 4.3 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 9.2 attempts and 2.9 corners.

The three top scorers are Oumar Camara, Noah Saviolo and Samu, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Noah Saviolo has the most assists with 2, while goalies Juan Diego Castillo and Charles collectively have 3 clean sheets.

Alverca have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.8 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. Custodio's side have averaged 40.4% possession, 339.2 passes, 4.3 corners taken and 4.7 corners against, while conceding 1.9 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts.

Marko Milovanovic has scored 2 goals, followed by Lucas Figueiredo, Fabricio Garcia, Sandro Lima and Nabili Touaizi on 1. Nabili Touaizi has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Andre Gomes has one clean sheet to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Charles Marcelo (GK), Tony Strata, Thiago Balieiro, Miguel Nóbrega, João Mendes, Beni Mukendi, Diogo Sousa, Gustavo Silva, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Nélson Oliveira.

Alverca predicted lineup (3-4-3): André Gomes (GK), Kauan, Sergi Gomez, Steven Baseya, Diogo Spencer, Vasco Moreira, Lincoln, Isaac James, Lucas Figueiredo, Marko Milovanovic, Chiquinho.

Vitória vs Alverca Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover the top Vitória vs Alverca betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

It could be beneficial to back Vitória for this Primeira Liga clash. There’s loads of value in the -132 that the home team get the job done and we think a victory could be on the cards.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the Primeira Liga action.

Key Vitória vs Alverca league stats:

• Vitória have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Vitória have won 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• Vitória have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Alverca have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Alverca have lost 7 of their last 11 games on the road.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 56.8% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

The Match Result & Total market provides bettors with a great alternative at bigger odds. It gives you the chance to back Vitória along with a certain number of goals being scored.

Get extra value on your next wager with our list of betting offers—featuring welcome bonuses, free bets, and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Vitória To Win @ -132 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 26, 21:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 2 - 0 Alverca

Our correct score prediction is a 2-0 win for Vitória which is available at odds of +525. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tony Strata To Score +650

Tony Strata (Vitória) can be backed to find the net at +650. There are attractive odds available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for him to find the net.

Latest Tony Strata Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1300

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -108

We’ve seen an average 11.20 corners in the past five Alverca away matches, while the previous two Vitória home games have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered. The number of corners could be bigger than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -108.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

7.20 4.30 2.90

Home

9.10 5.40 3.70

Away

6.90 4.00 2.90

Alverca

Total

9.00 4.30 4.70

Home

7.20 4.30 2.90

Away

9.60 2.90 6.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-133

Vitória Corners

Over 5.5

-137

Under 5.5

-104

Alverca Corners

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-156

Most Corners

1

-294

X

+700

2

+275

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vitória vs Alverca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Vitória de Guimarães at -132 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 57% chance of winning this Primeira Liga clash based on the betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Alverca are available at +340.

There’s an alternative Asian Handicap angle where you back Vitória -0.75 against Alverca at -103. A 2+ goal win means a full return, although you get a payout on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. If you’re looking to wager on Both Teams to Score, there’s not a lot of difference between Yes and No.

You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to bet on the Primeira Liga coupon and we advise heading to the top sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.

Full-Time Result

1

-132

X

+245

2

+340

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+116

2

+375

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-400

X2

-109

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+215

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-103

2 Hcp +0.75

-135

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-149

Over 2.5

+105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-125

Gustavo da Silva Cunha is the market leader at +450 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+215

Anytime

+450

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Leonardo Alves Chú Franco (Alverca)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Stephane Diarra (Alverca)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Nabil Touaizi (Alverca)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Chiquinho (Alverca)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Lucas Figueiredo (Alverca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Óscar Rivas (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Lincoln Henrique (Alverca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Tony Strata (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes (Vitória)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Miguel Nobrega (Vitória)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Tomás Mendes (Alverca)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Rhaldney Gomes (Alverca)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Rodrigo Abascal (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Miguel Angelo Magalhaes (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Sabit Abdulai (Alverca)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Vitória have recorded five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Alverca have not won in the past five away matches. The Villains have finished with six defeats, two wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Vitória Home Stats		5-2-3	2.50	1.30	1.20	6	4	5	5
Alverca Away Stats		2-2-6	3.10	1.10	2.00	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Vitória vs Alverca Lineups & Team News

The latest Vitória vs Alverca team news could impact your bets — review it first. Receive the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Vitória de Guimarães Team Page Alverca Team Page

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