Vitória vs Famalicão Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Mar 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Vitória vs Famalicão

Vitória clash with Famalicão at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Saturday 14 March.

Vitória and Famalicão might not combine to reach the three-goal mark and that leads us to wager Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We’ll happily take the -137 when it comes to a low-scoring contest.

Vitória de Guimarães lost away from home in their last game. Santa Clara won 2-0 at Estadio do Sao Miguel. The Conquerors had most of the ball recording 59% possession and six shots on target.

Famalicão won their previous game which was at home. It was a 1-0 victory against Arouca at Municipal 22 de Junho. The Vila Nova de Famalicão side managed six shots on goal and enjoyed 54% possession, with Rodrigo Pinheiro striking late with the winner.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Famalicão land a 2-0 home victory over Vitória at Municipal 22 de Junho. The previous 10 H2H meetings have seen Vitória win six times, one draw and three Famalicão triumphs.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Famalicão	25	11	6	8	30	21	9	30:21	39
9	Vitória	25	9	5	11	28	37	-9	28:37	32

View Full Table

Vitória have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. The Guimarães outfit have averaged 52.2% possession, 402.1 passes and 3.9 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.6 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 9.1 attempts and 3.1 corners.

Samu is the top goalscorer with 3, Noah Saviolo has 2, with Gustavo Silva and two other players on 1. Noah Saviolo is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalies Charles and Juan Diego Castillo collectively keeping 2 clean sheets.

Fama have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, averaging 3.8 shots on goal, 11.5 attempts and 1.2 goals. Hugo Oliveira's team average 53.8% possession, 422.0 passes, 4.4 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 11.0 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Antoine Joujou, Mathias De Amorim and Sorriso, with 2 goals apiece. Gil Dias has had 3 assists, with Lazar Carevic notching 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Charles Marcelo (GK), Tony Strata, Thiago Balieiro, Rodrigo Abascal, João Mendes, Beni Mukendi, Diogo Sousa, Telmo Arcanjo, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Alioune Ndoye.

Famalicão predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lazar Carevic (GK), Rodrigo Pinheiro, Ibrahima Ba, Justin De Haas, Rafa Soares, Marcos Peña, Pedro Santos, Gil Dias, Gustavo Sa, Antoine Joujou, Simon Elisor.

Vitória vs Famalicão Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Vitória vs Famalicão betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

The best bet for this Primeira Liga game could involve going low on the number of goals. We think that Under 2.5 is crying out to be backed based on the available stats and the odds of -137 look value.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Primeira Liga verdict is reached.

Key Vitória vs Famalicão league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Vitória games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Vitória games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Vitória games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Famalicão games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Famalicão games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Famalicão games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 57.8% chance of landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There’s the chance to bet on the Result & Total Goals market if you’re looking for larger odds. With this wager, you are able to combine Under 2.5 with the team you think will win.

Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -137 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 12, 17:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 0 Famalicão

You can secure odds of +540 that Vitória are able to land a 1-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Telmo Arcanjo To Score +400

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +400. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer selection.

Latest Telmo Arcanjo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+850

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Famalicão Under 4.5 Corners -149

We’ve seen an average of 2.60 Famalicão corners in the past 5 away games, while the previous 10 Vitória matches have seen them concede an average of 3.10 corners. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -149 for this Famalicão Team Corners bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

7.00 3.90 3.10

Home

9.40 5.10 4.30

Away

6.50 3.70 2.80

Famalicão

Total

9.60 4.40 5.20

Home

10.60 5.60 5.00

Away

9.90 4.30 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

-108

Vitória Corners

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-147

Famalicão Corners

Over 4.5

+104

Under 4.5

-149

Most Corners

1

-141

X

+650

2

+143

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vitória vs Famalicão Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Famalicão are available at betting odds of +188 to beat Vitória de Guimarães, with their opponents trading at +138 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +220 for this Primeira Liga encounter.

There are different ways to bet on Vitória winning and that includes the -102 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. It also means that if they draw with Famalicão, you get half stakes refunded.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -137.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Primeira Liga game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

+138

X

+220

2

+188

Half-Time Result

1

+195

X

+118

2

+245

Double Chance

1X

-286

12

-345

X2

-200

Draw No Bet

1

-147

2

+102

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-102

2 Hcp +0.25

-141

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-137

Over 2.5

-103

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

-103

There’s the chance to back Simon Elisor at +450 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Simon Elisor (Famalicão)

First

+200

Anytime

+450

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+220

Anytime

+500

Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura "Sorriso" (Famalicão)

First

+275

Anytime

+600

Gil Dias (Famalicão)

First

+295

Anytime

+700

Oscar Aranda (Famalicão)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Rochinha (Famalicão)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Antoine Joujou (Famalicão)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Pedro Santos (Famalicão)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Gustavo Sá (Famalicão)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Otar Mamageishvili (Famalicão)

First

+510

Anytime

+1050

Justin de Haas (Famalicão)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Tom van de Looi (Famalicão)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Gustavo García dos Santos (Famalicão)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Óscar Rivas (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Tony Strata (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Léo Realpe (Famalicão)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Miguel Nobrega (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Rodrigo Abascal (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Miguel Angelo Magalhaes (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Vitória are unbeaten over their previous three games at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. The Conquerors have recorded five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Famalicão are winless in the last three away games. The Vila Nova de Famalicão side have racked up four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.60 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

When the sides last met at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, Vitória beat Famalicão 2-1. The previous 6 H2H meetings at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques have involved four Vitória triumphs, one Famalicão win and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Vitória Home Stats		5-2-3	2.50	1.30	1.20	6	4	5	5
Famalicão Away Stats		2-4-4	1.80	0.60	1.20	2	8	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Vitória vs Famalicão Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Vitória vs Famalicão team news. Get the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Vitória de Guimarães Team Page Famalicão Team Page

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