Vitória vs Farense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 May 2025

Farense Should Compete Favourably

We’re siding with survival-chasing Farense on the Asian Handicap +1 at -118, with a confident feeling that they can win or draw when going up against Vitória. There’s the bonus of a one-goal defeat meaning our stake is refunded.

2-2 Draw in Last H2H Clash

Vitória de Guimarães have won two on the spin, triumphing 2-1 in their previous game. This was away from home against Nacional at Estadio da Madeira. Luis Freire's side enjoyed 54% possession and managed four shots on target, with Tiago Silva and Jesus Ramirez scoring one goal each.

Farense claimed a 2-1 home win over Famalicão at Estadio Sao Luis in their previous game. The Lions of Faro were 49% in the possession stakes and recorded six shots on goal, while Filipe Soares and Dario Poveda were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Vitória have not lost any of the past five games against Farense, with the last clash seeing a 2-2 draw played out at Estadio Sao Luis. The previous 5 H2H games have featured four draws and one Vitória victory.

Vitória have 7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts. The Guimarães outfit have averaged 56.7% possession, 464.1 passes and 6.4 corners per match, conceding 0.8 goals and 3.1 corners from 3.1 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.

Top scorer Telmo Arcanjo has found the net 4 times, with Tiago Silva, Joao Mendes, Gustavo Silva and Gustavo Silva getting 2 goals each. Nuno Santos is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Bruno Varela managing 5 clean sheets.

Farense have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 13.0 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 0.9 goals. Toze Marreco's team average 43.9% possession, 300.8 passes, 6.4 corners in their favour and 4.4 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.

Rui Costa is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Filipe Soares, Dario Poveda, Rony Lopes and Tomas Ribeiro have 1. Claudio Falcao and Derick Poloni have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Ricardo Velho has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bruno Varela (GK), Maga, Toni Borevkovic, Filipe Relvas, Joao Mendes, Beni, Tomas Handel, Nuno Santos, Joao Mendes, Gustavo Silva, Jesus Ramirez.

Farense confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Kaique (GK), Paulo Victor, Marco Moreno, Lucas Africo, Pastor, Angelo Neto, Claudio Falcao, Samuel Justo, Rony Lopes, Rui Costa, Marco Matias.

Vitória vs Farense Prediction & Betting Tips

Farense look a great betting option on the Asian Handicap with a +1 goal advantage at -118. We think that the scoreline will be competitive in this Primeira Liga match, with the underdogs set for a draw or win.

Team news plays a valuable role and we’re always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Vitória vs Farense league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Farense in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1 line has been covered by Farense in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 9 of their last 19 games at home.
• The +1 line has been covered by Farense in 2 consecutive games against Vitória.

Farense +1 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Bettors can choose between buying or selling goals depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.

Our Match Prediction

Farense Asian Hcp +1 @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 1 Farense

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +575 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rui Costa to Score +310

Rui Costa (Farense) has registered two goals in his past five Primeira Liga games away from home. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +310 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Rui Costa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+650

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Corners Prediction

Vitória Over 6.5 Corners -120

Vitória have had over 6.5 corners in eight straight home matches. The number of Vitória corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

9.50 6.40 3.10

Home

10.30 7.50 2.80

Away

9.70 6.20 3.50

Farense

Total

10.80 6.40 4.40

Home

11.50 7.60 3.90

Away

10.20 3.80 6.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+110

Under 10.5

-150

Vitória Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-138

Farense Corners

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-333

X

+700

2

+280

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Vitória vs Farense Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Vitória Have the Shortest Odds to Win

With a 65% chance of winning, Vitória de Guimarães are favourites to win this Primeira Liga match and they’re available at betting odds of -188 with the bookies. Farense are the +500 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals.

The leading football betting sites allow customers to place a Bet Builder when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. Simply pick out the selections that you fancy and then combine them together on your bet slip.

Full-Time Result

1

-188

X

+310

2

+500

Half-Time Result

1

+105

X

+130

2

+550

Double Chance

1X

-800

12

-450

X2

+137.5

Draw No Bet

1

-500

2

+333.3

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-105

2 Hcp +1

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-118

Over 2.5

-105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-133

Úmaro Embaló Heads First Goalscorer Market

Úmaro Embaló is the market leader at +410 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Úmaro Embaló (Vitória)

First

+180

Anytime

+410

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Vitória)

First

+190

Anytime

+390

Rui Costa (Farense)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Nuno (1999) Santos (Vitória)

First

+335

Anytime

+650

Álex Bermejo (Farense)

First

+380

Anytime

+750

André Candeias (Farense)

First

+380

Anytime

+750

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

João Mendes (Vitória)

First

+410

Anytime

+800

Dario Poveda (Farense)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Mikel Villanueva (Vitória)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Marco Matias (Farense)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Elves Baldé (Farense)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Tiago Rafael Silva (Vitória)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Marco Sousa Cruz (Vitória)

First

+510

Anytime

+1050

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Tomas Handel (Vitória)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Hevertton Ciriaco Santos (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Toni Borevkovic (Vitória)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Óscar Rivas (Vitória)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Miguel Angelo Magalhaes (Vitória)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Claudio Falcão Santos (Farense)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Vitória vs Farense Lineups & Team News

Our Vitória vs Farense team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

We’ve got details of the Primeira Liga squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Vitória de Guimarães Team Page Farense Team Page