Vitória vs Porto Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Jan 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Vitória vs Porto
Vitória host Porto at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Sunday 18 January.
We’re keen on Porto in their meeting with Vitória. They’re on offer at -1 on the Asian Handicap and we’re happy to take -133 that the away team win by two or more goals, with the stake back if they win by one.
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Vitória de Guimarães were winners last time out. It was a 2-1 home win against Nacional at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. The Conquerors enjoyed 57% possession and managed four shots on target, with Noah Saviolo and Rodrigo Abascal scoring one goal each.
Porto have won their previous nine games. A 1-0 victory recently occurred away at Estadio do Sao Miguel when playing Santa Clara. Francesco Farioli's side enjoyed 57% possession and managed five shots on goal, with Samuel Aghehowa on target with the winner early in the second half.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Porto haven’t lost to Vitória in their past three games. Their last encounter was at Estadio do Dragao, with Porto claiming a 3-0 home win. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved eight Porto wins, a single draw and one Vitória victory.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 4 | 32 | 36:4 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitória |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 18:22 | 25 |
Vitória have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. Luis Pinto's team have averaged 49.7% possession, 365.0 passes and 4.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.1 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 11.3 attempts and 4.1 corners.
Top goalscorer Oumar Camara has found the net 3 times, with Rodrigo Abascal, Noah Saviolo, Telmo Arcanjo and Nelson Oliveira scoring 1 each. Tony Strata, Noah Saviolo and Diogo Sousa are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Juan Diego Castillo managing 5 clean sheets.
Porto have won 9 and drawn 1, averaging 13.6 attempts, 5.2 shots on goal and 1.7 goals. The Dragons average 57.1% possession, 477.7 passes, 4.4 corners awarded and 2.2 corners against them, while 0.3 goals have been conceded from 1.6 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts.
The leading goalscorers have been Samuel Aghehowa on 6, Borja Sainz with 3 and William Gomes 2. Francisco Moura has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Diogo Costa has 6 clean sheets to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Juan Castillo (GK), Miguel Maga, Miguel Nóbrega, Rodrigo Abascal, Orest Lebedenko, Goncalo Nogueira, Beni Mukendi, Telmo Arcanjo, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Alioune Ndoye.
Porto predicted lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Thiago Silva, Alberto Costa, Jakub Kiwior, Dominik Prpic, Gabriel Veiga, Alan Varela, Victor Froholdt, Pepê, Samu Omorodion Aghehowa, William Gomes.
Vitória vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips
Join us as we dissect the best Vitória vs Porto betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
Porto -1 on the Asian Handicap looks like an attractive proposition. The available odds of -133 can be taken with plenty of confidence when it comes to this Primeira Liga encounter.
The Primeira Liga form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide expert football betting tips, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.
Key Vitória vs Porto league stats:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 57.1% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.
Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s go for Porto to win 2-0, a bet which is available at +410. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
William Santos Gomes (Porto) has scored two goals in his past seven Primeira Liga matches on the road. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +300 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
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Corners Prediction
It’s been three consecutive Vitória games where the 8.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. There’s the opportunity to go under the Total Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of +106 on offer.
Vitória
Porto
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Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can provide entertainment and we’ve got Porto with the -1 Asian Handicap, no more than two goals in total and also under 8.5 corners to be awarded.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Vitória vs Porto Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Porto are available at -222 to come away with a triumph in this Primeira Liga clash, meaning a 69% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Vitória de Guimarães are the +600 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Vitória are +575 here and the draw is +128, with Porto on offer at -100.
The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -182.
The best football betting sites cover Primeira Liga games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Samu Omorodion at +240. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.
Vitória have collected four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
Porto have landed ten straight away wins.
The previous Estadio D. Afonso Henriques encounter involved a 3-0 Porto win against Vitória. In the past 6 H2H games at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, Porto have won all of them.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vitória Home Stats |
4-3-3 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
Porto Away Stats |
10-0-0 | 2.50 | 2.20 | 0.30 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Primeira Liga: 11/08 2025 Porto 3 Vitória 0
- Primeira Liga: 24/02 2025 Porto 1 Vitória 1
- Primeira Liga: 21/09 2024 Vitória 0 Porto 3
- Primeira Liga: 07/04 2024 Porto 1 Vitória 2
- Primeira Liga: 11/11 2023 Vitória 1 Porto 2
- Primeira Liga: 27/05 2023 Porto 3 Vitória 0
- Primeira Liga: 21/01 2023 Vitória 0 Porto 1
- Primeira Liga: 10/04 2022 Vitória 0 Porto 1
- Primeira Liga: 28/11 2021 Porto 2 Vitória 1
- Primeira Liga: 22/04 2021 Porto 1 Vitória 0
Vitória League Stats
Porto League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 10 wins have been recorded in the previous 10 away matches.
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 2.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 2.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 57.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Vitória this season are Nelson Oliveira (3), Oumar Camara (3), Alioune Ndoye (2)
- Top Assistors for Vitória this season are Noah Saviolo (2), Rodrigo Abascal (2), Diogo Sousa (1)
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Vitória vs Porto Lineups & Team News
The Vitória vs Porto team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Vitória Lineups
Previous Porto Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Luis Pinto
Porto Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 17 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 36:4 | 49 |
| 2 | Sporting | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50:9 | 45 |
| 3 | Benfica | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 36:11 | 39 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:12 | 28 |
| 5 | Braga | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31:18 | 27 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Vitória | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | 25 |
| 8 | Famalicão | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 9 | Estoril | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 28:29 | 20 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 22:29 | 20 |
| 11 | Alverca | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:27 | 20 |
| 12 | Estrela | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 23:27 | 19 |
| 13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21:26 | 17 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:35 | 14 |
| 16 | Arouca | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18:42 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12:29 | 12 |
| 18 | AVS | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11:43 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:2 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 5 | Estoril | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 6 | Vitória | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 9 | Alverca | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Famalicão | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 10 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 15 | Nacional | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 18 | AVS | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7:18 | 3 |
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