Vitória vs Tondela Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Apr 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Vitória vs Tondela

Vitória go head-to-head with Tondela at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Friday 3 April.

We have a strong reason to back Tondela on the Asian Handicap, with the outsiders being given a +0.75 start at odds of -122 against Vitória. With the stake divided between +0.5 and +1.0, we’re confident of a payout.

Vitória de Guimarães lost on the road in their last game, making it three straight defeats. Benfica won 3-0 at Estadio da Luz. The Conquerors enjoyed 51% possession and two shots on target.

Tondela drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Estadio Joao Cardoso ended 0-0 against AVS. Cristiano Bacci's team enjoyed 60% possession and managed three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Vitória are unbeaten when it comes to the past three meetings against Tondela. In their last clash, Vitória claimed a 1-0 away victory at Estadio Joao Cardoso. The past 7 H2H games have involved five Vitória victories, a single draw and one Tondela win.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Vitória	27	9	5	13	29	42	-13	29:42	32
17	Tondela	26	4	8	14	19	39	-20	19:39	20

View Full Table

2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. Vitória have had 50.4% possession, 408.6 passes and 4.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 2.0 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts, while being awarded 4.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Samu has found the net 4 times, with Gustavo Silva, Diogo Sousa, Thiago Balieiro and Oumar Camara scoring 1 each. Noah Saviolo is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Charles managing one clean sheet.

Tondela have won 1, lost 4 and drawn 5, averaging 8.5 attempts, 2.8 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. The Gold and Green average 41.5% possession, 329.4 passes, 4.0 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.9 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts.

Pedro Henryque has recorded 3 goals, Bebeto 2, with Rodrigo Conceicao and Joao Silva both managing 1. Joe Hodge, Brayan Medina and Cicero are top assists providers with 1, while Bernardo Fontes has recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Charles Marcelo (GK), Tony Strata, Thiago Balieiro, Óscar Rivas, João Mendes, Goncalo Nogueira, Beni Mukendi, Miguel Nogueira, Samu, Oumar Camara, Nélson Oliveira.

Tondela predicted lineup (5-4-1): Bernardo (GK), Bebeto, Brayan Medina, Christian Marques, João Silva, Rodrigo Conceicao, Pedro Maranhão, Helder Tavares, Joe Hodge, Makan Aïko, Benjamin Kimpioka.

Vitória vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Vitória vs Tondela betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our corners angle, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Match Prediction

Tondela should be highly competitive in this Primeira Liga match. On this basis, we’ll take them at -122 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 feeling optimistic that the underdogs will land a payout.

The latest Primeira Liga injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Vitória vs Tondela league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Tondela in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Tondela in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Tondela in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 5 consecutive games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 13 of their last 20 games.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 54.9% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Tondela Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -122 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 1, 19:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 1 Tondela

There are attractive odds of +480 when it comes to a 1-1 draw being played out. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Benedito Mukendi To Score +370

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória) can be wagered at +370 to find the net. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Benedito Mukendi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+850

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Vitória Under 5.5 Corners +107

The past 5 Vitória matches have involved them having an average of 3.40 corners, with Tondela conceding under 5.5 corners in their last five away games. Let’s stick with this betting trend and back Vitória to go under the Team Corners line at a price of +107.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

8.60 4.50 4.10

Home

9.60 4.50 5.10

Away

7.20 4.30 2.90

Tondela

Total

9.50 4.00 5.50

Home

9.90 4.10 5.80

Away

9.70 4.60 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-103

Vitória Corners

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+107

Tondela Corners

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-128

Most Corners

1

-278

X

+750

2

+260

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vitória vs Tondela Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Some will want to go ahead and back Vitória de Guimarães at -143 to win this Primeira Liga encounter. After all, this betting price suggests a 59% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. The market suggests that Tondela are least likely to win at +360.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Tondela are +380 here and the draw is +128, with Vitória on offer at +123.

Under and Over 2.5 Goals backers are able to get similar odds on the Total Goals market. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -128.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Primeira Liga game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+265

2

+360

Half-Time Result

1

+123

X

+128

2

+380

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-435

X2

-100

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+230

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-116

2 Hcp +0.75

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-120

Over 2.5

-118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-111

There is +165 available that Gustavo da Silva Cunha finds the net, while he is available at +390 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+165

Anytime

+390

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos (Tondela)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Jordan Siebatcheu (Tondela)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Arjen Van der Heide (Tondela)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Makan Aïko (Tondela)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Xabier Huarte Armendáriz (Tondela)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Tony Strata (Vitória)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Óscar Rivas (Vitória)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes (Vitória)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Miguel Nobrega (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Rodrigo Abascal (Vitória)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Miguel Angelo Magalhaes (Vitória)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Joe Hodge (Tondela)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Tiago Manso (Tondela)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

João Afonso (Tondela)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Vitória have collected four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Tondela have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Vitória won 5-2 when they last played Tondela at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. In the past 3 H2H games at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, we’ve seen two Vitória wins and one Tondela triumph.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Vitória Home Stats		4-2-4	2.50	1.20	1.30	6	4	5	5
Tondela Away Stats		3-2-5	2.60	1.00	1.60	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Vitória vs Tondela Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Vitória vs Tondela without reviewing the latest team news. Expect the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with timely injury updates.

Vitória de Guimarães Team Page Tondela Team Page

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