Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Apr 2025

Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 20-19-2 Away) play Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8, 29-8-4 at Home) in this Stanley Cup Playoffs first round matchup at Amalie Arena. The Panthers lead the series 3-1.

Take the Lightning at -114 on the Moneyline to get the better of the Panthers. We believe that they have a strong chance of claiming an outright victory.

When Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning faced off on Monday night, the Panthers managed a 4-2 victory at Amerant Bank Arena.

The Panthers had 25 shots on goal. Aaron Ekblad was among the goalscorers where four different players found the net. The Lightning fired 20 shots on goal, with Erik Cernak and Mitchell Chaffee each scoring one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Panthers have won six.

Starting Goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	12-8-1	3	.882	2
23/24	36-17-3	2.37	.915	6

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-6-2	2.3	.916	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 28.6 shots on goal, with a 13.2% powerplay efficiency. The Panthers have given up 2.5 goals from 23.2 shots, averaging 4.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.8%.

Carter Verhaeghe is the top points scorer with 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, with Aleksander Barkov racking up 8 points, 1 goal and 7 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky have a 2.15 goal against average with a .899 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Lightning have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 24.4 shots on goal, with a 18.2% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.1 goals from 26.4 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.9%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 13 points, 4 goals and 9 assists, while Jake Guentzel is next best after registering 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.61 GAA with a .902 SV%.

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning should have the edge over their opponents and our pick is to side with them on the Moneyline. There is a tempting -114 for the home team to win this NHL encounter.

The hockey predictions are created after keeping tabs on the latest team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest player and goalie stats which can provide a barometer for how the NHL action might play out.

Key Panthers vs Lightning stats:

• Lightning have won 18 of their last 25 games at home this season.
• Lightning have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Panthers have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Panthers have lost 12 of their last 20 games on the road.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This hockey wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you can correctly predict that Tampa Bay will win along with the number of goals, then you are able to combine the two picks by going down the Match Winner & Total Goals route.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ -114 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sam Bennett Over 2.5 Shots +115

Sam Bennett (Panthers) has had Over 2.5 shots on goal in 3 straight games. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Goal, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of +115.

Latest Sam Bennett Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+275

First

+1400

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-125

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Correct Score Prediction

Panthers 2 - 5 Lightning

The Lightning are available at +1800 to win by a 5-2 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Panthers

Lightning

1-0

Panthers

+4000

Lightning

+4500

2-0

Panthers

+4000

Lightning

+4000

2-1

Panthers

+1200

Lightning

+1200

3-0

Panthers

+2800

Lightning

+2800

3-1

Panthers

+1600

Lightning

+1700

3-2

Panthers

+800

Lightning

+800

4-0

Panthers

+3500

Lightning

+3500

4-1

Panthers

+1500

Lightning

+1500

4-2

Panthers

+1600

Lightning

+1600

4-3

Panthers

+1100

Lightning

+1100

5-0

Panthers

+7000

Lightning

+7000

5-1

Panthers

+2500

Lightning

+2500

5-2

Panthers

+1800

Lightning

+1800

5-3

Panthers

+2500

Lightning

+2500

5-4

Panthers

+2400

Lightning

+2400

6-0

Panthers

+11000

Lightning

+11000

6-1

Panthers

+6600

Lightning

+6000

6-2

Panthers

+3500

Lightning

+3500

6-3

Panthers

+3500

Lightning

+3400

6-4

Panthers

+6000

Lightning

+5500

6-5

Panthers

+6000

Lightning

+6000

7-1

Panthers

+11000

Lightning

+11000

7-2

Panthers

+10000

Lightning

+9000

7-3

Panthers

+7000

Lightning

+6600

7-4

Panthers

+8000

Lightning

+8000

7-5

Panthers

+13000

Lightning

+12500

7-6

Panthers

+14000

Lightning

+14000

8-4

Panthers

+14000

Lightning

+14000

View More

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

You can choose Tampa Bay Lightning at -102 or alternatively Florida Panthers who have betting odds of -118. The hosts have a 51% chance of victory in the eyes of the most popular sportsbooks.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 5.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to back Over 5.5, it’s -105.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the National Hockey League, you can feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have lots of options.

Moneyline

Panthers

-118

Lightning

-102

3-Way Moneyline

Panthers

+148

Tie

+310

Lightning

+148

Puck Line

Panthers -1.5

+210

Lightning +1.5

-263

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-115

Over 5.5

-105

There’s the chance to back Nikita Kucherov at +850 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+155

Anytime

+850

Sam Reinhart (Panthers)

First

+155

Anytime

+850

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+155

Anytime

+850

Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers)

First

+165

Anytime

+900

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+190

Anytime

+1000

Carter Verhaeghe (Panthers)

First

+230

Anytime

+1200

Aleksander Barkov (Panthers)

First

+230

Anytime

+1200

Sam Bennett (Panthers)

First

+275

Anytime

+1400

Mackie Samoskevich (Panthers)

First

+295

Anytime

+1500

Brad Marchand (Panthers)

First

+310

Anytime

+1500

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+335

Anytime

+1600

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+360

Anytime

+1700

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+360

Anytime

+1700

Anton Lundell (Panthers)

First

+390

Anytime

+1800

Evan Rodrigues (Panthers)

First

+390

Anytime

+1800

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2000

Eetu Luostarinen (Panthers)

First

+460

Anytime

+2000

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

Sam Reinhart (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-123

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

+105

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Carter Verhaeghe (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-122

Sam Bennett (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-125

Aleksander Barkov (Panthers)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

+145

Brad Marchand (Panthers)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

+130

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-143

Nick Paul (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-118

Anton Lundell (Panthers)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-103

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then NHL micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to bet on the Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and what will happen within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Florida Panthers Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 4.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.00 pts and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.10 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 28.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 14.5
• Blocks: 14.2
• Faceoff Wins : 28.1
• Hits: 39.1
• Giveaways: 13.4
• Takeaways: 4.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 28.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 12.2
• Blocks: 14.6
• Faceoff Wins : 26.7
• Hits: 37
• Giveaways: 17
• Takeaways: 4.7

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 24.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.9
• Blocks: 16.1
• Faceoff Wins : 25.9
• Hits: 21.5
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 24.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.4
• Blocks: 15.1
• Faceoff Wins : 26.5
• Hits: 20.2
• Giveaways: 16.3
• Takeaways: 4.5

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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