Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Islanders

The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the New York Islanders at UBS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, December 13.

The Lightning look excellent value on the Moneyline and our prediction is that the road team will get the better of the Islanders. We’re happy to take the -133 that they win.

Tampa Bay Lightning have won two on the spin, triumphing 8-4 in their previous game. This was on the road against New Jersey Devils at Prudential Center. Nikita Kucherov racked up 4 points, all of them were assists.

New York Islanders won their last game 5-2, making it four home wins on the bounce. This was recorded at UBS Arena against Anaheim Ducks. Anders Lee scored two goals, with Ryan Pulock, Travis Mitchell and Simon Holmstroem also scoring. Goalie David Rittich made 31 saves (.939).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Islanders have claimed victories in the last two encounters against the Lightning. At UBS Arena, the scoreline was 2-1 and then we saw 2-0 at Benchmark International Arena. Both teams have five wins on the board when we look at the 10-game H2H record.

Starting Goalies

Jonas Johansson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-9-2	3.2	.886	0
23/24	12-7-5	3.37	.890	2

Ilya Sorokin (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	28-20-2	2.6	.910	7
23/24	25-19-12	3.01	.908	2

6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 29.7 shots on goal, with a 13.9% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.0 goals from 26.4 shots, averaging 3.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.5%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 18 points, 3 goals and 15 assists, with Darren Raddysh recording 13 points, 4 goals and 9 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Jonas Johansson have a 2.05 goal against average with a .919 save percentage.

The Islanders have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.5 goals from 31.0 shots on goal, with a 19.4% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.4 goals from 27.4 shots, averaging 2.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.3%.

The top points scorer is Anders Lee with 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, while Mathew Barzal is next in line after registering 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Ilya Sorokin have a 2.18 GAA with a .923 SV%, including one shutout.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction & Picks

Make the most of Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

For this NHL encounter, we are going to bet against the home team with our pick. One way of doing this is by siding with Tampa Bay Lightning and we really like the -133 about the visitors winning on the Moneyline.

Team news plays a key role in our hockey predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the NHL form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Lightning vs Islanders stats:

• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Lightning have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Lightning have won 2 consecutive games.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

According to the top betting sites, there’s a 57.1% chance of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this hockey bet.

There’s the opportunity to get bigger win odds for Tampa Bay by combining this with the number of goals that are scored. Match Winner & Total Goals is a popular betting option.

Before placing your bet, tap into the latest welcome bonuses. Our detailed guide shows you where to get the best value.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ -133 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 12, 19:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikita Kucherov Over 0.5 Assists -200

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning) has recorded at least one assist in 7 of the past 9 games. We’re sweet on him covering the Player Assists line, especially with the odds of -200 available that this happens.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 4 - 2 Islanders

The Lightning are available at +1500 when it comes to them winning 4-2. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Islanders

1-0

Lightning

+4500

Islanders

+5000

2-0

Lightning

+4000

Islanders

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1300

Islanders

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+2800

Islanders

+3300

3-1

Lightning

+1700

Islanders

+1900

3-2

Lightning

+800

Islanders

+850

4-0

Lightning

+3500

Islanders

+4500

4-1

Lightning

+1400

Islanders

+1700

4-2

Lightning

+1500

Islanders

+1700

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Islanders

+1100

5-0

Lightning

+6000

Islanders

+8000

5-1

Lightning

+2200

Islanders

+3000

5-2

Lightning

+1600

Islanders

+1900

5-3

Lightning

+2200

Islanders

+2500

5-4

Lightning

+2000

Islanders

+2200

6-0

Lightning

+9000

Islanders

+12500

6-1

Lightning

+5000

Islanders

+7000

6-2

Lightning

+3000

Islanders

+4000

6-3

Lightning

+2900

Islanders

+3500

6-4

Lightning

+5000

Islanders

+5500

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Islanders

+5500

7-1

Lightning

+9000

Islanders

+12000

7-2

Lightning

+7500

Islanders

+10000

7-3

Lightning

+5500

Islanders

+7000

7-4

Lightning

+6600

Islanders

+8000

7-5

Lightning

+11000

Islanders

+12000

7-6

Lightning

+12500

Islanders

+13000

8-4

Lightning

+12000

Islanders

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Tampa Bay Lightning at -130 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 56% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. For those wanting to back New York Islanders, you will find +108 about the underdogs.

The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Over 5.5, then the odds are -118.

Whether you’re wagering pre-game or in-game, the best NHL betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. With practically endless options, it’s great to have so many alternatives to match your view of the encounter.

Moneyline

Lightning

-130

Islanders

+108

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+120

Tie

+320

Islanders

+175

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+186

Islanders +1.5

-233

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-104

Over 5.5

-118

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Blocked Shots, Goaltender Saves or Shutouts while there are lots of other options.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on the NHL and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

New York Islanders Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.10 pts and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.50 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.2
• Blocks: 16
• Faceoff Wins : 24.3
• Hits: 17
• Giveaways: 14.1
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 27.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 12.8
• Blocks: 14.7
• Faceoff Wins : 24.6
• Hits: 17.9
• Giveaways: 13.8
• Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 31
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 4.6
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 27.4
• Hits: 20.1
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 4.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 32.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 4
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 28.5
• Hits: 19.1
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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