Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Senators vs Capitals

The Ottawa Senators meet the Washington Capitals in this NHL matchup at Capital One Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, October 25. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

We Can’t Resist Backing Caps to Win

The Capitals should be able to come out on top against the Senators. Our betting prediction is to back them on the Moneyline where an attractive -128 can be landed.

Feeling confident in Caps? Start with our review of BetMGM, then use the latest promo code to make your bet go further.

Shootout Caps Victory in Last H2H

Ottawa Senators have lost their previous two on the road. Their most recent game was at home at Canadian Tire Centre where they recorded a 2-1 victory over Philadelphia Flyers. Michael Amadio and Olle Lycksell scored one goal apiece. Goalie Linus Ullmark had an awesome game, keeping out 22 shots (.957).

Washington Capitals made it back-to-back wins in their last game. It was a 5-1 road triumph at Nationwide Arena when meeting Columbus Blue Jackets. John Carlson was among the goalscorers where five different players found the net. Goalie Logan Thompson played a starring role, stopping 34 shots (.971).

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 5-4 win for the Caps at Capital One Arena when they last played the Sens. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Sens victories.

Starting Goalies

Linus Ullmark (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	3-3-1	3.4	.867	0
23/24	22-10-5	2.57	.915	2

Charlie Lindgren (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-1-0	2.1	.932	1
23/24	25-16-7	2.67	.911	6

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.9 goals from 28.2 shots on goal, with a 15.0% powerplay efficiency. The Sens have been giving up 3.8 goals from 26.1 shots, averaging 4.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 70.0%.

Shane Pinto is the top points scorer with 8 points, 7 goals and 1 assist, with Tim Stutzle racking up 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Linus Ullmark have a 2.99 goal against average with a .883 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Caps have 6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 2.9 goals from 29.4 shots on goal, with a 20.0% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.2 goals from 26.4 shots, averaging 2.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.8%.

The top points scorer is Tom Wilson with 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, while Dylan Strome is next best after registering 11 points, 2 goals and 9 assists. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 1.88 GAA with a .926 SV%.

Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Head into Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, best correct score pick and a value-driven bet builder. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

We’re heading to the Moneyline and our pick is for the home team to win this NHL encounter. They have a strong chance of landing a victory and the -128 makes plenty of appeal.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert hockey picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate NHL predictions possible.

Key Senators vs Capitals stats:

• Capitals have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Capitals have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Capitals have won 2 consecutive games.
• Senators have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Senators have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Senators have lost their last 2 games on the road.

Caps Moneyline Probability

The top betting apps make it a 56.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey bet.

Sometimes it’s worth going in search of bigger odds and a Bet Builder allows you to make a Moneyline pick along with a number of other same-game selections.

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Best Bet

Capitals Moneyline @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Senators 3 - 4 Capitals

One bet that has caught our eye is the Capitals to claim a 4-3 correct score win. This selection is available at +1050 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Senators

Capitals

1-0

Senators

+4500

Capitals

+4500

2-0

Senators

+4500

Capitals

+4000

2-1

Senators

+1300

Capitals

+1300

3-0

Senators

+3000

Capitals

+2500

3-1

Senators

+1800

Capitals

+1600

3-2

Senators

+900

Capitals

+800

4-0

Senators

+4000

Capitals

+3000

4-1

Senators

+1700

Capitals

+1300

4-2

Senators

+1700

Capitals

+1500

4-3

Senators

+1150

Capitals

+1050

5-0

Senators

+8000

Capitals

+5500

5-1

Senators

+2900

Capitals

+2200

5-2

Senators

+2000

Capitals

+1600

5-3

Senators

+2800

Capitals

+2400

5-4

Senators

+2400

Capitals

+2200

6-0

Senators

+12000

Capitals

+9000

6-1

Senators

+7000

Capitals

+5000

6-2

Senators

+4000

Capitals

+2900

6-3

Senators

+3500

Capitals

+3000

6-4

Senators

+6000

Capitals

+5000

6-5

Senators

+6000

Capitals

+5500

7-0

Senators

+6000

Capitals

+13000

7-1

Senators

+12000

Capitals

+8000

7-2

Senators

+10000

Capitals

+7500

7-3

Senators

+7500

Capitals

+6000

7-4

Senators

+8000

Capitals

+7000

7-5

Senators

+13000

Capitals

+12000

7-6

Senators

+14000

Capitals

+14000

8-1

Senators

+14000

Capitals

+14000

8-2

Senators

+14000

Capitals

+12500

8-3

Senators

+14000

Capitals

+13000

8-4

Senators

+14000

Capitals

+12500

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Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Have Caps as Favorites

Washington Capitals have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 58% probability due to their -137 Moneyline betting odds. Ottawa Senators are the underdogs at +114 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 5.5. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re wanting to back Over 5.5, the odds are -123.

Whether you're placing bets before the puck drops or during the live action, the top betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props to explore. The sheer variety means there's no shortage of options to match your strategy.

Moneyline

Senators

+114

Capitals

-137

3-Way Moneyline

Senators

+175

Tie

+335

Capitals

+117

Puck Line

Senators +1.5

-222

Capitals -1.5

+176

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+102

Over 5.5

-123

Player Props & Micro Betting

There is regularly value to be found from wagering on the goalie and player props with the best gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NHL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Ottawa Senators Stats

Washington Capitals Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.70 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 4.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 1.90 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.8
• Blocks: 15.9
• Faceoff Wins : 31.8
• Hits: 28
• Giveaways: 14.9
• Takeaways: 4.1

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 30.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 5.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 12.1
• Blocks: 15.7
• Faceoff Wins : 31.1
• Hits: 32.1
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 4.4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 29.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.1
• Blocks: 18.3
• Faceoff Wins : 27
• Hits: 28
• Giveaways: 16.2
• Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 28.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 6.1
• Blocks: 22.7
• Faceoff Wins : 26.9
• Hits: 28.5
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 4.4

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Team News

Ottawa Senators Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
12	Shane Pinto	8	19.05	7	1	8	1
24	Dylan Cozens	8	17.19	4	2	6	-8
28	Claude Giroux	8	15.83	1	4	5	2

85	Jake Sanderson	8	23.93	1	4	5	-3
18	Tim Stutzle	8	20.55	2	3	5	-2
2	Artyom Zub	8	18.76	1	3	4	-1
72	Thomas Chabot	8	22.51	1	3	4	-1
19	Drake Batherson	5	17.04	0	4	4	-2
10	Jordan Spence	4	18.45	0	4	4	1
7	Brady Tkachuk	3	16.63	0	3	3	1
71	Ridly Greig	8	17.05	1	2	3	-2
57	David Perron	8	14.04	2	1	3	-6
89	Lars Eller	8	13.59	1	2	3	-1
3	Nick Jensen	8	18.34	0	2	2	-2
22	Michael Amadio	8	14.6	1	0	1	-2
20	Fabian Zetterlund	8	13.79	0	1	1	-3
21	Nick Cousins	8	11	0	1	1	-1
34	Arthur Kaliyev	2	10.6	0	1	1	0
15	Olle Lycksell	4	10.13	1	0	1	1
37	Donovan Sebrango	2	15.25	0	0	0	-1
23	Kurtis MacDermid	2	4.5	0	0	0	0
33	Nikolas Matinpalo	4	13.48	0	0	0	-1
43	Tyler Kleven	6	15.47	0	0	0	-1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
1	Leevi Merilaeinen	1	7.23	0.731
35	Linus Ullmark	7	3.4	0.867
40	Mads Soegaard	-	-	-

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Washington Capitals Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
43	Tom Wilson	8	20.03	5	6	11	3
17	Dylan Strome	8	17.93	2	8	10	5
21	Alexei Protas	8	18.55	4	5	9	6

8	Alexander Ovechkin	8	17.66	2	5	7	6
74	John Carlson	8	23.5	2	5	7	2
6	Jakob Chychrun	8	22.73	3	3	6	8
9	Ryan Leonard	8	12.38	3	1	4	3
42	Martin Fehervary	8	19.18	1	3	4	2
24	Connor McMichael	8	15.28	1	2	3	0
26	Nic Dowd	8	14.78	1	1	2	0
72	Anthony Beauvillier	8	13.64	1	1	2	6
38	Rasmus Sandin	7	19.4	0	2	2	3
29	Hendrix Lapierre	7	10.49	0	2	2	1
34	Justin Sourdif	8	11.61	1	0	1	2
22	Brandon Duhaime	8	13.18	0	1	1	-1
47	Declan Chisholm	3	14.9	0	1	1	2
53	Ethen Frank	2	12.25	0	1	1	0
3	Matt Roy	8	18.66	0	0	0	2
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	6	14.43	0	0	0	2
15	Sonny Milano	4	11.13	0	0	0	0
80	Pierre-Luc Dubois	3	17.37	0	0	0	1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
48	Logan Thompson	6	1.5	0.938
79	Charlie Lindgren	2	2.04	0.932

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.