Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Panthers

The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the Florida Panthers at Amerant Bank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, December 27.

There is a strong case that the Lightning will end up winning and that means wagering them on the Moneyline. You can get a value -106 that they overcome the Panthers.

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Tampa Bay Lightning made it back-to-back wins after a 4-1 home success over St Louis Blues at Benchmark International Arena. Darren Raddysh was on target along with three of his teammates. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy was red hot in the net, stopping 23 shots (.958).

Florida Panthers won last time out by a 5-2 scoreline. It was on the road against Carolina Hurricanes at Lenovo Center. There were five different goalscorers including Anton Lundell.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Panthers who came out on top when they last played the Lightning. At Benchmark International Arena, a 5-2 win was recorded. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen six Panthers wins.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-7-2	2.3	.913	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Sergei Bobrovsky (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	16-8-1	2.8	.889	3
23/24	36-17-3	2.37	.915	6

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.2 goals from 30.3 shots on goal, with a 16.0% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.7 goals from 24.6 shots, averaging 4.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 79.6%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 13 points, 2 goals and 11 assists, with Darren Raddysh racking up 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Jonas Johansson have a 2.59 goal against average with a .899 save percentage.

The Panthers have 8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 3.9 goals from 29.9 shots on goal, with a 16.7% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.1 goals from 27.6 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.7%.

Sam Reinhart and Brad Marchand have scored the most points on 14, with each player managing 5 goals and 9 assists. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky have a 2.62 GAA with a .895 SV%, including one shutout.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction & Picks

Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

The pick is that Tampa Bay Lightning will come out on top in this NHL encounter, with odds of -106 currently available that they beat the home team. That looks a price worth taking on this value selection.

We track all injuries that could impact each franchise before making our hockey predictions. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the NHL action.

Key Lightning vs Panthers stats:

• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Lightning have won 12 of their last 20 games.
• Lightning have won 2 consecutive games.
• Panthers have lost 6 of their last 10 games at home.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

The top betting apps make it a 51.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

We’d recommend taking a look at betting selections for the Match Winner & Total Goals, 3-Way Moneyline and Puck Line if you’re interested in siding with Tampa Bay but want a bigger price.

Don’t miss the chance to claim free bets using our exclusive betting promo codes —check our bonus guide before placing your bets.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ -106 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brayden Point Over 1.5 Shots -189

Brayden Point (Lightning) has finished with Over 1.5 shots on goal in 8 straight games. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Goal, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -189.

Latest Brayden Point Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+210

First

+1300

Assists

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-189

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

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Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 5 - 2 Panthers

There are betting odds of +1800 that the Lightning land a 5-2 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Panthers

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Panthers

+5000

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Panthers

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Panthers

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+3300

Panthers

+3300

3-1

Lightning

+1900

Panthers

+1800

3-2

Lightning

+850

Panthers

+850

4-0

Lightning

+4500

Panthers

+4000

4-1

Lightning

+1700

Panthers

+1600

4-2

Lightning

+1600

Panthers

+1500

4-3

Lightning

+1050

Panthers

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+8000

Panthers

+7000

5-1

Lightning

+2800

Panthers

+2500

5-2

Lightning

+1800

Panthers

+1700

5-3

Lightning

+2400

Panthers

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+2000

Panthers

+2000

6-0

Lightning

+12000

Panthers

+11000

6-1

Lightning

+6600

Panthers

+5500

6-2

Lightning

+3500

Panthers

+3000

6-3

Lightning

+3300

Panthers

+2900

6-4

Lightning

+5000

Panthers

+4500

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Panthers

+5000

7-1

Lightning

+11000

Panthers

+10000

7-2

Lightning

+9000

Panthers

+8000

7-3

Lightning

+6600

Panthers

+5500

7-4

Lightning

+7000

Panthers

+6600

7-5

Lightning

+11000

Panthers

+10000

7-6

Lightning

+12000

Panthers

+11000

8-2

Lightning

+12000

Panthers

+13000

8-3

Lightning

+12000

Panthers

+13000

8-4

Lightning

+12500

Panthers

+12000

8-5

Lightning

+12500

Panthers

+14000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The betting odds about Florida Panthers winning is -114, with Tampa Bay Lightning priced up at -106 to achieve victory. The sportsbooks give the home team a 53% chance of winning this game.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 5.5. A Totals bet relates to the number of goals that will be scored overall. If you're keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -132.

If you’re planning to wager on a National Hockey League matchup, visit the best sportsbooks and check out the hundreds of team props and game lines. Find the odds and betting lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Lightning

-106

Panthers

-114

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+155

Tie

+320

Panthers

+138

Puck Line

Lightning +1.5

-278

Panthers -1.5

+220

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+108

Over 5.5

-132

Sam Bennett is the market leader at +1100 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Player Goals

Sam Bennett (Panthers)

First

+170

Anytime

+1100

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+175

Anytime

+1100

Sam Reinhart (Panthers)

First

+175

Anytime

+1200

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+180

Anytime

+1100

Brad Marchand (Panthers)

First

+195

Anytime

+1200

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+210

Anytime

+1300

Carter Verhaeghe (Panthers)

First

+250

Anytime

+1500

Anton Lundell (Panthers)

First

+310

Anytime

+1700

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+350

Anytime

+2200

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+360

Anytime

+2000

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Eetu Luostarinen (Panthers)

First

+450

Anytime

+2000

Nicholas Paul (Lightning)

First

+475

Anytime

+2500

Evan Rodrigues (Panthers)

First

+475

Anytime

+2500

Mackie Samoskevich (Panthers)

First

+475

Anytime

+2200

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

Jesper Boqvist (Panthers)

First

+625

Anytime

+3000

A.J. Greer (Panthers)

First

+700

Anytime

+3300

Dominic James (Lightning)

First

+725

Anytime

+3500

Seth Jones (Panthers)

First

+750

Anytime

+3500

Aaron Ekblad (Panthers)

First

+875

Anytime

+4500

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+900

Anytime

+4000

Zemgus Girgensons (Lightning)

First

+900

Anytime

+4000

Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Lightning)

First

+900

Anytime

+4500

Jack Studnicka (Panthers)

First

+950

Anytime

+4500

Jack Finley (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Noah Gregor (Panthers)

First

+1200

Anytime

+5000

J.J. Moser (Lightning)

First

+1400

Anytime

+8000

Ryan McDonagh (Lightning)

First

+1600

Anytime

+8000

Player Assists

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

+125

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-161

Brad Marchand (Panthers)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-161

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-161

Sam Reinhart (Panthers)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-164

Carter Verhaeghe (Panthers)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

Sam Bennett (Panthers)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-189

Seth Jones (Panthers)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-200

Anton Lundell (Panthers)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-250

Aaron Ekblad (Panthers)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-278

Eetu Luostarinen (Panthers)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-294

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-345

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-345

Evan Rodrigues (Panthers)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-400

Player Shots

Sam Bennett (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-145

Under 2.5

+105

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+115

Sam Reinhart (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-135

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-141

Brad Marchand (Panthers)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-115

Carter Verhaeghe (Panthers)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-149

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

Anton Lundell (Panthers)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+125

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-118

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-141

Evan Rodrigues (Panthers)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+135

Seth Jones (Panthers)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+120

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NHL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Florida Panthers Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.10 pts and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 30.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.6
• Blocks: 17.1
• Faceoff Wins : 28.5
• Hits: 19.6
• Giveaways: 12.1
• Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 28.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 12.3
• Blocks: 15.2
• Faceoff Wins : 25.1
• Hits: 18.3
• Giveaways: 13.2
• Takeaways: 4.2

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 29.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.6
• Blocks: 14.7
• Faceoff Wins : 29.5
• Hits: 25.2
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 33.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 8
• Blocks: 17
• Faceoff Wins : 29.2
• Hits: 26.4
• Giveaways: 13.7
• Takeaways: 4.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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