Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Capitals vs Stars

The Washington Capitals go up against the Dallas Stars in this NHL matchup at American Airlines Center, with face-off scheduled for 19:30 on Tuesday, October 28. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

Our prediction is that the Capitals and opponents Stars can go Over 5.5. We’re especially keen to take advantage of the -132 available.

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Washington Capitals have won their previous three road outings. In their most recent game, they were turned over 7-1 at home to Ottawa Senators at Capital One Arena. Trevor van Riemsdyk found the net from 13 Caps shots.

Dallas Stars made it back-to-back wins in their last game. It was a 3-2 road triumph at Bridgestone Arena when meeting Nashville Predators. Mikko Rantanen, Wyatt Johnston and Oskar Baeck each scored one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 3-1 win for the Stars at American Airlines Center when they last played the Caps. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Stars have won seven.

Starting Goalies

Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-6-3	2	.926	1
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

Jake Oettinger (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	14-5-2	2.5	.908	2
23/24	35-14-2	2.72	.905	3

6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 28.6 shots on goal, with a 16.7% powerplay efficiency. The Caps have given up 2.4 goals from 26.0 shots, averaging 3.3 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 75.8%.

Tom Wilson is the top points scorer with 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, with Dylan Strome racking up 10 points, 2 goals and 8 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 1.58 goal against average with a .933 save percentage.

The Stars have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.0 goals from 26.6 shots on goal, with a 29.0% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.6 goals from 28.3 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 71.4%.

The top points scorer is Wyatt Johnston with 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists, while Mikko Rantanen is next in line after registering 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Jake Oettinger have a 3.21 GAA with a .890 SV%.

Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Picks

We’ve broken down Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Game Prediction

Our confident pick is that the teams will combine to go over the total goals line. The -132 that this outcome happens looks really attractive for this NHL encounter.

Our hockey picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant NHL stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Capitals vs Stars stats:

• The 5.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Capitals games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Capitals games on the road.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Capitals games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Stars games at home.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Stars games.

Over 5.5 Probability

The best betting sites are estimating that there is a 56.8% likelihood of this pick winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want to get larger odds on your Over wager, there’s a smart way of doing this. The sportsbooks will allow you to move the line when it comes to betting on the Total.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 5.5 Goals @ -132 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Wyatt Johnston Over 2.5 Shots -130

Wyatt Johnston (Stars) has finished with Over 2.5 shots on goal in 5 straight games. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the -130 when it comes to this Shots on Goal wager.

Correct Score Prediction

Capitals 5 - 3 Stars

A 5-3 win in favor of the Capitals is available at odds of +2500. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Capitals

Stars

1-0

Capitals

+5000

Stars

+5000

2-0

Capitals

+4500

Stars

+4500

2-1

Capitals

+1400

Stars

+1300

3-0

Capitals

+3300

Stars

+2900

3-1

Capitals

+1800

Stars

+1700

3-2

Capitals

+850

Stars

+800

4-0

Capitals

+4000

Stars

+3500

4-1

Capitals

+1700

Stars

+1400

4-2

Capitals

+1600

Stars

+1500

4-3

Capitals

+1100

Stars

+1050

5-0

Capitals

+8000

Stars

+6600

5-1

Capitals

+2900

Stars

+2400

5-2

Capitals

+1900

Stars

+1600

5-3

Capitals

+2500

Stars

+2400

5-4

Capitals

+2200

Stars

+2200

6-0

Capitals

+12000

Stars

+10000

6-1

Capitals

+7000

Stars

+5500

6-2

Capitals

+3500

Stars

+3000

6-3

Capitals

+3500

Stars

+3000

6-4

Capitals

+5500

Stars

+5000

6-5

Capitals

+5500

Stars

+5500

7-0

Capitals

+5500

Stars

+14000

7-1

Capitals

+12000

Stars

+9000

7-2

Capitals

+10000

Stars

+8000

7-3

Capitals

+7000

Stars

+6000

7-4

Capitals

+7500

Stars

+7000

7-5

Capitals

+12000

Stars

+11000

7-6

Capitals

+13000

Stars

+12500

8-1

Capitals

+13000

Stars

+14000

8-2

Capitals

+13000

Stars

+13000

8-3

Capitals

+13000

Stars

+14000

8-4

Capitals

+14000

Stars

+12000

8-5

Capitals

+14000

Stars

+15000

View More

Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Dallas Stars are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -120 about them triumphing means a 55% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Washington Capitals are the underdogs at -100 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 5.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to back Over 5.5, it’s -128.

There’s no shortage of betting options, with a wide range of game lines and team props offered for every matchup. Explore the top NHL sportsbooks to find the picks that deliver the best value.

Moneyline

Capitals

-100

Stars

-120

3-Way Moneyline

Capitals

+165

Tie

+320

Stars

+128

Puck Line

Capitals +1.5

-263

Stars -1.5

+205

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+104

Over 5.5

-128

If you have a view on Goalscorers, Assists, Shots on Goal, Powerplay Points, Blocked Shots or Saves, then the goalie and player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

There are lots of exciting NHL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are next goalscorer, next team to find the net and whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Capitals Stats

Dallas Stars Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.50 pts and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.9
• Blocks: 18.3
• Faceoff Wins : 25.6
• Hits: 26.9
• Giveaways: 15.9
• Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 24.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 13.6
• Blocks: 18.5
• Faceoff Wins : 28.9
• Hits: 25.6
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1.1
• Shots: 26.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.6
• Blocks: 10.7
• Faceoff Wins : 30.2
• Hits: 23.8
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 3.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1.5
• Shots: 25.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.1
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 31
• Hits: 26.6
• Giveaways: 16.2
• Takeaways: 4

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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