Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Apr 2025

Washington Capitals (51-22-9, 25-13-3 Away) play Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11, 23-12-6 at Home) in this Stanley Cup Playoffs first round matchup at Bell Centre. The Caps lead the series 2-0.

The Canadiens are available at +104 when it comes to the Moneyline. Our prediction is that they’ll outscore the Capitals and there’s value available when it comes to these odds.

Washington Capitals and Montreal Canadiens clashed two nights ago and it was the Caps who claimed a 3-1 win at Capital One Arena.

The Caps had 25 shots on goal. Connor McMichael bagged two goals and Dylan Strome had the other. Goalie Logan Thompson had a great game and ended up with 25 saves (.962). The Habs racked up 26 shots on goal. Christian Dvorak was the only player to find the net, with Sam Montembeault stopping 29 shots (.935).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The past 10 H2H games have seen the Caps land six wins.

Starting Goalies

Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	28-21-6	2.5	.910	2
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

Sam Montembeault (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	10-8-4	3.5	.872	0
23/24	16-15-9	3.14	.903	0

5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 2.3 goals from 28.0 shots on goal, with a 19.2% powerplay efficiency. The Caps have been giving up 3.6 goals from 29.0 shots, averaging 5.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.0%.

Dylan Strome is the top points scorer with 14 points, 6 goals and 8 assists, with Alexander Ovechkin recording 11 points, 8 goals and 3 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Charlie Lindgren have a 3.13 goal against average with a .882 save percentage.

The Habs have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 23.7 shots on goal, with a 5.9% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.2 goals from 30.3 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.7%.

The top points scorer is Nick Suzuki with 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, while Cole Caufield is next best after registering 7 points, 4 goals and 3 assists. Goalie Sam Montembeault have a 2.23 GAA with a .921 SV%.

Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

The +104 about Montreal Canadiens look very attractive when it comes to the Moneyline. We think the visitors can be beaten in this NHL clash, so this is our pick.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our NHL handicappers have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the action.

Key Capitals vs Canadiens stats:

• Canadiens have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Canadiens have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Capitals have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Capitals have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.

Canadiens Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 49% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want bigger odds with your Moneyline bet, then you can combine this pick with other selections as part of a Bet Builder until you’re happy with the price.

Our Game Prediction

Canadiens Moneyline @ +104 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 24, 21:43). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Juraj Slafkovsky Over 1.5 Shots -156

Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens) has covered the 1.5 shots on goal total in 5 straight games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for him to cover the Shots on Goal line at odds of -156.

Latest Juraj Slafkovsky Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+265

First

+1400

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

+132

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Capitals 1 - 5 Canadiens

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Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Washington Capitals as -120 favorites for this game, implying that they are 55% likely to win. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get -100 about Montreal Canadiens.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 5.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest NHL data to good effect. If you want to back Over 5.5, it’s -130.

The good news is that you can access a huge selection of game lines and team props for most National Hockey League encounters. The betting sites have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Capitals

-120

Canadiens

-100

3-Way Moneyline

Capitals

+132

Tie

+325

Canadiens

+160

Puck Line

Capitals -1.5

+205

Canadiens +1.5

-263

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+106

Over 5.5

-130

Alex Ovechkin is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +750. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +128.

Player Goals

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

First

+128

Anytime

+750

Cole Caufield (Canadiens)

First

+175

Anytime

+1000

Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)

First

+195

Anytime

+1050

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

First

+245

Anytime

+1300

Patrik Laine (Canadiens)

First

+250

Anytime

+1300

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

First

+260

Anytime

+1300

Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens)

First

+265

Anytime

+1400

Alexei Protas (Capitals)

First

+275

Anytime

+1400

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

First

+295

Anytime

+1500

Pierre-Luc Dubois (Capitals)

First

+320

Anytime

+1600

Brendan Gallagher (Canadiens)

First

+340

Anytime

+1700

Anthony Beauvillier (Capitals)

First

+340

Anytime

+1700

Ivan Demidov (Canadiens)

First

+390

Anytime

+1900

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

First

+400

Anytime

+1900

Alex Newhook (Canadiens)

First

+425

Anytime

+2000

Andrew Mangiapane (Capitals)

First

+430

Anytime

+2000

Ryan Leonard (Capitals)

First

+430

Anytime

+2000

Josh Anderson (Canadiens)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Christian Dvorak (Canadiens)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-105

Cole Caufield (Canadiens)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+115

Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Patrik Laine (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

+116

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+135

Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

+132

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Brendan Gallagher (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-111

Among the various options for wagering on the NHL, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Capitals Stats

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.00 pts and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 29.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 9.6
• Blocks: 16
• Faceoff Wins : 27.5
• Hits: 21.4
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 5.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 12.6
• Blocks: 14.3
• Faceoff Wins : 29.2
• Hits: 17.6
• Giveaways: 13.6
• Takeaways: 4.4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 26.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.5
• Blocks: 15
• Faceoff Wins : 31.5
• Hits: 22.4
• Giveaways: 12.9
• Takeaways: 5.2

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.2
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 24.4
• Hits: 22.5
• Giveaways: 12.1
• Takeaways: 5.1

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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