LSU vs Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Nov 2025
College Football Betting Preview: LSU vs Alabama
LSU square off against Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, November 8. Our betting preview features expert NCAAF predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Alabama should be taken against the spread at -9.5 with our prediction being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory in their meeting with LSU. Back them at the odds of -120 that are available.
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LSU Tigers have suffered back-to-back defeats, recently being beaten at home by Texas A&M Aggies 49-25 at Tiger Stadium.
Alabama Crimson Tide have triumphed in their last seven games. The latest of these was on the road where South Carolina Gamecocks were beaten 29-22 at Williams-Brice Stadium.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Alabama have won the last two meetings against LSU. They triumphed 42-28 at Bryant-Denny Stadium and then 42-13 at Tiger Stadium. In the past 6 games between the teams, Alabama have won four.
Quarterbacks
Garrett Nussmeier
Ty Simpson
LSU vs Alabama Prediction & Picks
Get ready for LSU vs Alabama with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom bet builder.
Game Prediction
It’s great to see Alabama given a -9.5 line on the spread at -120 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory in this college football matchup.
We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate CFB picks.
Key LSU vs Alabama stats:
Bama -9.5 Probability
If you go by the top betting apps, there’s a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you want a viable alternative to backing Bama on the spread, then the Winning Margin lines could be up your street. Choose from a wide range of options.
Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.
Player Prop Picks
You can back Garrett Nussmeier (LSU) at -114 to have less than 231.5 passing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.
The odds for Harlem Berry (LSU) to have less than 45.5 rushing yards stand at -114. We’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Rushing Yards line, as the total looks too high.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Alabama -9.5 on the spread, Under 49.5 and Garrett Nussmeier (LSU) to go Under 231.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay is a fantastic option for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single football game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
14
-
31
Alabama
Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Crimson Tide to achieve a 31-14 victory at massive odds.
LSU vs Alabama Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Alabama as -204 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 67% likely to win. LSU are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +170.
The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 54.5. A wager on the Totals allows football bettors to use the latest data to good effect. Those that want to back Under 54.5 can find odds of -110 available.
There's a great variety of team props and game lines when it comes to college football wagering and we recommend visiting the top sportsbooks to find the selection that matches your view on the matchup.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Can Alabama Stay Hot at Home?
Alabama own a 10-0 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 40.20 points on offense and surrendering 14.40 on defense.
LSU own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 29.50 points on average and giving up 30.90.
When the teams last met at Bryant-Denny Stadium, Alabama beat LSU 42-28. In 3 recent head-to-head matchups at Bryant-Denny Stadium, Alabama have notched two victories, while LSU have recorded one.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O49.5 | U49.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alabama Home Stats |
10-0 | 54.60 | 40.20 | 14.40 | 7 | 3 | |
 LSU Away Stats |
4-6 | 60.40 | 29.50 | 30.90 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
- U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
LSU Tigers Stats
Alabama Crimson Tide Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 48.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 60.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.50 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 29.50 pts and allowed 30.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 49.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.60 pts and allowed 17.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 40.20 pts and allowed 14.40 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
12 | 1 | 415 | 207 | 208 | 6-1 | 6-0 | 9W |
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
|
Alabama
|
10 | 3 | 406 | 226 | 180 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
|
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
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