LSU vs Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: LSU vs Alabama

LSU square off against Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, November 8. Our betting preview features expert NCAAF predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Bama Look the Best Bet

Alabama should be taken against the spread at -9.5 with our prediction being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory in their meeting with LSU. Back them at the odds of -120 that are available.

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42-13 Bama Triumph in Previous Head-to-Head

LSU Tigers have suffered back-to-back defeats, recently being beaten at home by Texas A&M Aggies 49-25 at Tiger Stadium.

Alabama Crimson Tide have triumphed in their last seven games. The latest of these was on the road where South Carolina Gamecocks were beaten 29-22 at Williams-Brice Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Alabama have won the last two meetings against LSU. They triumphed 42-28 at Bryant-Denny Stadium and then 42-13 at Tiger Stadium. In the past 6 games between the teams, Alabama have won four.

Quarterbacks

Garrett Nussmeier

231.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Ty Simpson

272.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

LSU vs Alabama Prediction & Picks

Get ready for LSU vs Alabama with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s great to see Alabama given a -9.5 line on the spread at -120 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory in this college football matchup.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate CFB picks.

Key LSU vs Alabama stats:

• The -9.5 line has been covered by Alabama in 7 consecutive games at home.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Alabama in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Alabama in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Alabama in 2 consecutive games against LSU.

Bama -9.5 Probability

If you go by the top betting apps, there’s a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you want a viable alternative to backing Bama on the spread, then the Winning Margin lines could be up your street. Choose from a wide range of options.

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Best Bet

Alabama -9.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Garrett Nussmeier Under 231.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Garrett Nussmeier (LSU) at -114 to have less than 231.5 passing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Garrett Nussmeier Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 231.5

-114

Under 231.5

-114

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Harlem Berry Under 45.5 Rushing Yards -114

The odds for Harlem Berry (LSU) to have less than 45.5 rushing yards stand at -114. We’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Rushing Yards line, as the total looks too high.

Latest Harlem Berry Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

LSU 14 - 31 Alabama

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Crimson Tide to achieve a 31-14 victory at massive odds.

LSU vs Alabama Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Bama Big Favorites to Win

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Alabama as -370 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 79% likely to win. LSU are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +295.

The spread is 9.5 and the total points line is currently 49.5. A wager on the Totals allows football bettors to use the latest data to good effect. Those that want to back Under 49.5 can find odds of -110 available.

There's a great variety of team props and game lines when it comes to college football wagering and we recommend visiting the top sportsbooks to find the selection that matches your view on the matchup.

Moneyline

LSU

+295

Alabama

-370

Point Spread

LSU +9.5

-102

Alabama -9.5

-120

Total Points

Under 49.5

-110

Over 49.5

-110

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Ryan Williams (Alabama)

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

Germie Bernard (Alabama)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Trey'Dez Green (LSU)

Over 43.5

-114

Under 43.5

-114

Aaron Anderson (LSU)

Over 35.5

-114

Under 35.5

-114

Barion Brown (LSU)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Josh Cuevas (Alabama)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Jam Miller (Alabama)

Over 52.5

-114

Under 52.5

-114

Harlem Berry (LSU)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Passing Yards

Ty Simpson (Alabama)

Over 272.5

-114

Under 272.5

-114

Garrett Nussmeier (LSU)

Over 231.5

-114

Under 231.5

-114

Can Alabama Stay Hot at Home?

Alabama own a 10-0 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 40.20 points on offense and surrendering 14.40 on defense.

LSU own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 29.50 points on average and giving up 30.90.

When the teams last met at Bryant-Denny Stadium, Alabama beat LSU 42-28. In 3 recent head-to-head matchups at Bryant-Denny Stadium, Alabama have notched two victories, while LSU have recorded one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O49.5	U49.5
Alabama Home Stats		10-0	54.60	40.20	14.40	7	3
LSU Away Stats		4-6	60.40	29.50	30.90	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
• U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

LSU Tigers Stats

Alabama Crimson Tide Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 60.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.50 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 29.50 pts and allowed 30.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.60 pts and allowed 17.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 40.20 pts and allowed 14.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Texas A&M	8	0	302	189	113	5-0	3-0	8W
Ole Miss	8	1	326	198	128	6-0	2-1	2W
Alabama	7	1	275	146	129	4-0	3-1	7W
Georgia	7	1	260	157	103	4-1	3-0	4W
Texas	7	2	266	148	118	5-0	2-2	4W
Oklahoma	7	2	260	127	133	4-1	3-1	1W
Vanderbilt	7	2	338	184	154	5-0	2-2	1L
Missouri	6	2	283	134	149	5-1	1-1	1L
Tennessee	6	3	392	280	112	4-2	2-1	1L
LSU	5	3	204	151	53	4-1	1-2	2L
Mississippi State	5	4	299	222	77	3-2	2-2	1W
Auburn	4	5	201	159	42	2-3	2-2	1L
Florida	3	5	177	164	13	3-2	0-3	1L
Kentucky	3	5	179	214	-35	2-3	1-2	1W
South Carolina	3	6	177	199	-22	3-3	0-3	4L
Arkansas	2	7	319	300	19	2-4	0-3	7L