Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Alabama vs Mississippi State

The Alabama Crimson Tide go up against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Tuesday, January 13.

Under 173.5 points could be on the money for this Alabama vs Mississippi State game. Our prediction is based on a low-scoring contest and the odds of -110 looks like a value bet.

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Alabama Crimson Tide lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Texas Longhorns 92-88.

Mississippi State Bulldogs were beaten last game and this was on the road. Kentucky Wildcats claimed a 92-68 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Alabama won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 111-73 triumph when facing Mississippi State. Alabama have eight straight victories against Mississippi State. They have won 9 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Alabama	11-5	1496	1323	173	9-4	2-1	2L
Mississippi State	10-6	1280	1229	51	8-3	2-3	1L

View Full Standings

Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Alabama vs Mississippi State betting tips: our expert match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Let’s shoot for a total bet for this college matchup, with Under 173.5 points available at odds of -110. This betting pick looks to have plenty of juice in the price.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong college hoops expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our basketball picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key Alabama vs Mississippi State stats:

• The 173.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 9 MS State games at home.
• The 173.5 line hasn’t been covered in 19 of the last 20 MS State games at home.

Under 173.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re going Under with your bet, then you can take the option to include this selection in a Bet Builder and get potentially bigger odds. Combine it with other picks.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 173.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Alabama 86 - 84 MS State

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Crimson Tide to secure a 86-84 win at huge odds and this correct score selection should hopefully be a fun one.

Alabama vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Alabama are regarded as having a 74% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -286. For those wanting to back Mississippi State, you will find +230 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 6.5 and the total points line is 172.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. If you fancy Under 172.5, then the odds are -110.

Whether you’re betting in-game or pre-game, the best betting apps serve up a wide range of game lines and team props to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s awesome to have so much variety.

Moneyline

Alabama

-286

MS State

+230

Point Spread

Alabama -6.5

-102

MS State +6.5

-120

Total Points

Under 172.5

-110

Over 172.5

-110

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Alabama Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 175.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 179.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 173.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 173.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 93.20 pts and allowed 82.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 88.50 pts and allowed 90.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 173.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 173.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.30 pts and allowed 74.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.50 pts and allowed 72.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	16-0	1488	1153	335	10-0	6-0	16W
Georgia	14-2	1543	1198	345	11-1	3-1	1W
Texas A&M	13-3	1499	1239	260	10-1	3-2	6W
Arkansas	12-4	1430	1230	200	10-2	2-2	1L
Missouri	12-4	1307	1147	160	10-0	2-4	1L
LSU	12-4	1370	1160	210	9-2	3-2	3L
Florida	11-5	1363	1135	228	11-1	0-4	2W
Tennessee	11-5	1318	1076	242	10-2	1-3	1L
Oklahoma	11-5	1351	1166	185	9-0	2-5	2L
Alabama	11-5	1496	1323	173	9-4	2-1	2L
Mississippi State	10-6	1280	1229	51	8-3	2-3	1L
Kentucky	10-6	1338	1111	227	10-4	0-2	1W
Texas	10-6	1404	1201	203	8-3	2-3	1W
South Carolina	10-6	1272	1113	159	9-3	1-3	1L
Auburn	10-6	1400	1265	135	9-3	1-3	1W
Ole Miss	9-7	1203	1113	90	9-2	0-5	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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