Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Jan 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Alabama vs Mississippi State
The Alabama Crimson Tide go up against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Tuesday, January 13.
Under 173.5 points could be on the money for this Alabama vs Mississippi State game. Our prediction is based on a low-scoring contest and the odds of -110 looks like a value bet.
Alabama Crimson Tide lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Texas Longhorns 92-88.
Mississippi State Bulldogs were beaten last game and this was on the road. Kentucky Wildcats claimed a 92-68 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Alabama won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 111-73 triumph when facing Mississippi State. Alabama have eight straight victories against Mississippi State. They have won 9 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama
|
23-9 | 2935 | 2671 | 264 | 15-6 | 8-3 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks
Get ahead of the game with our Alabama vs Mississippi State betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.
Game Prediction
Let’s shoot for a total bet for this college matchup, with Under 173.5 points available at odds of -110. This betting pick looks to have plenty of juice in the price.
Sportsgambler.com brings strong college hoops expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our basketball picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.
Key Alabama vs Mississippi State stats:
Under 173.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re going Under with your bet, then you can take the option to include this selection in a Bet Builder and get potentially bigger odds. Combine it with other picks.
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Player Prop Picks
Labaron Philon Jr. (Alabama) can be wagered to register Under 20.5 points at -110. Should you agree with our verdict that he doesn’t reach this total, you can go under the line.
Latest Labaron Philon Jr. Player Prop Odds
Jayden Epps (Mississippi State) can be wagered to total Under 16.5 points at -120. According to our experts, the Players Points total looks too high and we think he will fall short.
Latest Jayden Epps Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Under 172.5, Mississippi State +6.5 and Labaron Philon Jr. (Alabama) to score Under 20.5 points.
A same game parlay allows bettors to place a multiple wager on the same basketball game. You can go through the available betting lines and select the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each pick are then combined together.
Correct Score Prediction
86
-
84
MS State
A close game could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Crimson Tide to secure a 86-84 win at huge odds and this correct score selection should hopefully be a fun one.
Alabama vs Mississippi State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Alabama are regarded as having a 67% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -204. For those wanting to back Mississippi State, you will find +168 about the underdogs.
The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 171.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. If you fancy Under 171.5, then the odds are -115.
Whether you’re betting in-game or pre-game, the best betting apps serve up a wide range of game lines and team props to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s awesome to have so much variety.
Josh Hubbard is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can get +118 that he scores Over 24.5 points or -154 that he goes Under.
Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.
- NCAAB: 26/02 2025 Mississippi State 73 Alabama 111
- NCAAB: 30/01 2025 Alabama 88 Mississippi State 84
- NCAAB: 04/02 2024 Mississippi State 67 Alabama 99
- NCAAB: 14/01 2024 Alabama 82 Mississippi State 74
- NCAAB: 10/03 2023 Mississippi State 49 Alabama 72
- NCAAB: 26/01 2023 Mississippi State 63 Alabama 66
- NCAAB: 29/12 2022 Alabama 78 Mississippi State 67
- NCAAB: 17/02 2022 Mississippi State 75 Alabama 80
- NCAAB: 16/01 2022 Alabama 76 Mississippi State 78
- NCAAB: 12/03 2021 Mississippi State 48 Alabama 85
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Alabama Stats
Mississippi State Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 175.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 179.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 173.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 173.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 93.20 pts and allowed 82.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 88.50 pts and allowed 90.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 155.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 173.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
- Over 173.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.30 pts and allowed 74.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.50 pts and allowed 72.60 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Southeastern | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida
|
26-7 | 2864 | 2376 | 488 | 18-3 | 8-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
26-8 | 3058 | 2723 | 335 | 20-3 | 6-5 | 5W |
Vanderbilt
|
26-8 | 2936 | 2557 | 379 | 15-3 | 11-5 | 1L |
|
Alabama
|
23-9 | 2935 | 2671 | 264 | 15-6 | 8-3 | 1L |
Georgia
|
22-10 | 2874 | 2533 | 341 | 15-6 | 7-4 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
22-11 | 2622 | 2289 | 333 | 16-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
Texas A&M
|
21-11 | 2807 | 2546 | 261 | 14-5 | 7-6 | 1L |
Missouri
|
20-12 | 2549 | 2411 | 138 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 3L |
Kentucky
|
21-13 | 2746 | 2510 | 236 | 16-6 | 5-7 | 1L |
Texas
|
18-14 | 2681 | 2458 | 223 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 3L |
Oklahoma
|
19-15 | 2813 | 2621 | 192 | 13-5 | 6-10 | 1L |
Auburn
|
17-16 | 2730 | 2620 | 110 | 14-6 | 3-10 | 1L |
LSU
|
15-17 | 2606 | 2512 | 94 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 4L |
Ole Miss
|
15-20 | 2656 | 2664 | -8 | 9-9 | 6-11 | 1L |
|
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
South Carolina
|
13-19 | 2398 | 2447 | -49 | 11-8 | 2-11 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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