Arkansas vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Arkansas vs Florida

The Arkansas Razorbacks square off against the Florida Gators, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Saturday, February 28.

Let’s shoot for a total bet between Arkansas and Florida, with Under 169.5 points available at odds of -110. This betting prediction has plenty of juice in the price.

Arkansas Razorbacks won their previous game which was at home. It was a 99-84 triumph against Texas A&M Aggies.

Florida Gators won their last game 84-71. This was a road victory against Texas Longhorns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Florida have claimed victory in the last two matchups against Arkansas. They won 90-68 at home and 71-63 on the road. The past 10 games between the teams have seen Florida win six times.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	22-6	2416	1994	422	15-2	7-4	8W
Arkansas	21-7	2527	2199	328	16-3	5-4	2W

View Full Standings

Arkansas vs Florida Prediction & Picks

We cover the key Arkansas vs Florida betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, correct score selection and a bet builder tailored for the best value.

Game Prediction

The -110 for Under 169.5 points to be scored by the two teams looks like really good value in this college contest. Our prediction is that the teams might not collectively reach this total.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making basketball predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter college hoops picks.

Key Arkansas vs Florida stats:

• The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Arkansas games on the road.
• The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Arkansas games on the road.
• The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in 18 of the last 20 Florida games at home.
• The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Florida games.
• The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Florida games.
• The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 10 games between these teams.

Under 169.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you’re going Under with your bet, then you can take the option to include this selection in a Bet Builder and get potentially bigger odds. Combine it with other picks.

Make your bet count—our comprehensive bonus guide highlights the latest free bets and betting promo codes worth grabbing.

Our Game Prediction

Under 169.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 28, 01:04). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas 78 - 85 Florida

There are lots of different ways to back the Gators on the correct score betting and something like 85-78 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.

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Arkansas vs Florida Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Moneyline betting odds give Florida Gators a 85% chance of winning this college game which means they’re overwhelming -588 favorites with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +430 about Arkansas.

9.5 is the spread and 169.5 is the total points line. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those who wager Under 169.5 can get -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a wide range of team props and game lines at the top basketball sportsbooks. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.

Moneyline

Arkansas

+430

Florida

-588

Point Spread

Arkansas +9.5

-105

Florida -9.5

-115

Total Points

Under 169.5

-110

Over 169.5

-110

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas Stats

Florida Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 170.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 169.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 91.30 pts and allowed 80.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 86.20 pts and allowed 83.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 169.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 68.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.30 pts and allowed 69.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	22-6	2416	1994	422	15-2	7-4	8W
Vanderbilt	22-6	2443	2070	373	14-3	8-3	1W
Arkansas	21-7	2527	2199	328	16-3	5-4	2W
Alabama	21-7	2601	2340	261	14-5	7-2	7W
Tennessee	20-8	2253	1936	317	15-3	5-5	1L
Texas A&M	19-9	2484	2211	273	13-3	6-6	1L
Missouri	19-9	2241	2101	140	15-2	4-7	1W
Georgia	19-9	2515	2205	310	13-5	6-4	1L
Kentucky	18-10	2265	2028	237	14-5	4-5	1W
Texas	17-11	2369	2119	250	13-5	4-6	2L
Auburn	15-13	2338	2232	106	12-5	3-8	1L
LSU	15-13	2292	2160	132	10-7	5-6	1W
Oklahoma	14-14	2314	2186	128	11-5	3-9	1W
Mississippi State	13-15	2189	2241	-52	9-8	4-7	2L
South Carolina	12-16	2133	2135	-2	11-7	1-9	1L
Ole Miss	11-17	2102	2122	-20	9-7	2-10	10L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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