Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Missouri vs Mississippi State

The Missouri Tigers square off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 13:00 on Saturday, February 28.

We’re really sweet on the chances of Missouri away to Mississippi State, with odds of -115 available on our betting prediction. Bet on the road team.

Missouri Tigers previous game saw them claim a 73-69 home win over Tennessee Volunteers.

Mississippi State Bulldogs lost on the road in their last game. Alabama Crimson Tide won 100-75.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Missouri won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 84-79 triumph when facing Mississippi State. Missouri have landed three straight wins over Mississippi State. However, the head-to-head record illustrates that they’ve lost 6 of the past 10.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Missouri	20-12	2549	2411	138	15-4	5-8	3L
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L

View Full Standings

Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Our Missouri vs Mississippi State betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

We are eager to back Missouri to triumph in this college contest and that leads us to the Moneyline for our pick. It’s very difficult to turn down the -115 that they claim the win.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert basketball predictions, our handicappers also analyze the latest college hoops stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Missouri vs Mississippi State stats:

• Missouri have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Missouri have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• MS State have lost 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• MS State have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
• MS State have lost their last 2 games.
• MS State have lost their last 3 games against Missouri.

Mizzou Moneyline Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re wanting bigger odds about Mizzou, then there are a number of alternatives including the Spread, Double Result and the Result & Both Teams to Score.

Before you place your next wager, browse our guide for top betting offers including the latest free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Missouri Moneyline @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 19:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mark Mitchell Over 19.5 Points -105

Mark Mitchell (Missouri) is available at -105 to record Over 19.5 points. We’ve found an opportunity to bet on Player Points where we’re able to back him to cover the line.

Latest Mark Mitchell Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Assists

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-149

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Jayden Stone Over 11.5 Points -110

Jayden Stone (Missouri) can be backed to record Over 11.5 points at -110. We are going to choose a Player Points prop bet which will hopefully see him cover the line.

Latest Jayden Stone Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-115

Assists

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-105

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-105

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Missouri 81 - 78 MS State

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on the Tigers enjoying a 81-78 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

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Missouri vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

We’re seeing Mississippi State priced up at +106 for a victory, with Missouri trading at -128. According to the sportsbooks, the probability of the road team winning this college game is 56%.

The spread is 1.5 and the total points line is currently 155.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. The Over 155.5 selection is available to back at -110.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Missouri

-128

MS State

+106

Point Spread

Missouri -1.5

-112

MS State +1.5

-108

Total Points

Under 155.5

-110

Over 155.5

-110

The favorite to score most points is Josh Hubbard. You can get -103 that he scores Over 21.5 points or -125 that he goes Under.

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 21.5

-103

Under 21.5

-125

Mark Mitchell (Missouri)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 14.5

-127

Under 14.5

-102

Jayden Stone (Missouri)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-115

Achor Achor (MS State)

Over 8.5

-108

Under 8.5

-120

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-120

Mark Mitchell (Missouri)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-100

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Jayden Stone (Missouri)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-105

Achor Achor (MS State)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-149

Achor Achor (MS State)

Over 6.5

-118

Under 6.5

-110

Mark Mitchell (Missouri)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-149

Jayden Stone (Missouri)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-105

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 3.5

+139

Under 3.5

-182

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-167

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Missouri Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 158.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 155.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 155.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.00 pts and allowed 80.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 70.50 pts and allowed 79.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 150.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 155.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 155.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.00 pts and allowed 84.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.20 pts and allowed 75.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	26-7	2864	2376	488	18-3	8-4	1L
Arkansas	26-8	3058	2723	335	20-3	6-5	5W
Vanderbilt	26-8	2936	2557	379	15-3	11-5	1L
Alabama	23-9	2935	2671	264	15-6	8-3	1L
Georgia	22-10	2874	2533	341	15-6	7-4	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L
Texas A&M	21-11	2807	2546	261	14-5	7-6	1L
Missouri	20-12	2549	2411	138	15-4	5-8	3L
Kentucky	21-13	2746	2510	236	16-6	5-7	1L
Texas	18-14	2681	2458	223	13-7	5-7	3L
Oklahoma	19-15	2813	2621	192	13-5	6-10	1L
Auburn	17-16	2730	2620	110	14-6	3-10	1L
LSU	15-17	2606	2512	94	10-9	5-8	4L
Ole Miss	15-20	2656	2664	-8	9-9	6-11	1L
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L
South Carolina	13-19	2398	2447	-49	11-8	2-11	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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