Baylor vs UCF Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Baylor vs UCF

The Baylor Bears go up against the UCF Knights, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday, February 28.

Baylor and UCF are unlikely to reach the 160.5 points line in our opinion. Therefore, chance an Under wager at -110 and hope the teams don’t reach that number.

Baylor Bears were beaten 87-80 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Arizona Wildcats.

UCF Knights won their last game 97-84. This was a road victory against Brigham Young Cougars.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Baylor claim a 91-76 win over UCF.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UCF	20-7	2214	2090	124	14-3	6-4	3W
Baylor	14-14	2311	2148	163	11-8	3-6	1L

View Full Standings

Baylor vs UCF Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Baylor vs UCF betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

The total line looks too big at 160.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -110 and hope that there aren’t too many fireworks in this college game.

Our basketball picks are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the college hoops action might unfold.

Key Baylor vs UCF stats:

• The 160.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Baylor games on the road.
• The 160.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Baylor games on the road.
• The 160.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 UCF games at home.
• The 160.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 UCF games at home.
• The 160.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 UCF games at home.

Under 160.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under bet on the Totals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This is great way of wagering on multiple outcomes in a single game.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Our Game Prediction

Under 160.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 28, 00:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Baylor 75 - 82 UCF

A 82-75 win for UCF is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

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Baylor vs UCF Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites UCF are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -167 about them triumphing means a 63% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Baylor are least likely to win at +138.

2.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 159.5 right now. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those that want to back Under 159.5 can find odds of -110 available.

The best betting apps provide a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball matchups. Be sure to explore all the available options before placing your bet.

Moneyline

Baylor

+138

UCF

-167

Point Spread

Baylor +2.5

-104

UCF -2.5

-115

Total Points

Under 159.5

-110

Over 159.5

-110

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Baylor Stats

UCF Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 146.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 160.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 160.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.70 pts and allowed 78.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.00 pts and allowed 75.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 155.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 160.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 160.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.50 pts and allowed 80.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 73.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	26-2	2441	1929	512	16-1	10-1	3W
Iowa State	24-4	2319	1818	501	17-0	7-4	1W
Houston	23-5	2146	1744	402	16-2	7-3	3L
Texas Tech	21-7	2297	2021	276	16-2	5-5	2W
Kansas	21-7	2146	1909	237	15-2	6-5	1W
UCF	20-7	2214	2090	124	14-3	6-4	3W
BYU	20-8	2393	2104	289	15-4	5-4	1L
TCU	18-10	2193	2016	177	14-5	4-5	2W
Oklahoma State	17-11	2347	2281	66	14-4	3-7	1W
West Virginia	16-12	1947	1806	141	13-5	3-7	3L
Colorado	16-12	2243	2181	62	15-5	1-7	2W
Cincinnati	15-13	2031	1889	142	13-4	2-9	1L
Arizona State	14-14	2186	2209	-23	10-6	4-8	2L
Baylor	14-14	2311	2148	163	11-8	3-6	1L
Kansas State	11-17	2237	2270	-33	10-7	1-10	2L
Utah	10-18	2100	2192	-92	9-8	1-10	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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