Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Cal Poly vs UC San Diego

The Cal Poly Mustangs square off against the UC San Diego Tritons, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Saturday, February 28.

We’re going for a modest total when Cal Poly and UCSD take to the court. Under 162.5 points could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at -110.

Cal Poly Mustangs won their previous game which was at home. It was a 102-92 triumph against Long Beach State.

UC San Diego Tritons won their last game which was at home. It was a 84-72 triumph against Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Cal Poly won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 67-65 triumph when facing UCSD. UCSD have won five of the past 8 games that these teams have played.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UC San Diego	20-9	2216	2039	177	12-5	8-4	4W
Cal Poly	13-16	2384	2470	-86	7-7	6-9	4W

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Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Prediction & Picks

We’ve got your Cal Poly vs UC San Diego bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score recommendation and a hand-picked bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Don’t expect fireworks in this college matchup. The two teams might not score a huge combined total and our pick is to back Under 162.5 points at odds of -110.

The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball picks. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our predictions.

Key Cal Poly vs UC San Diego stats:

• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Cal Poly games.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Cal Poly games on the road.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 11 UCSD games.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in 19 of the last 20 UCSD games.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 162.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

Those looking for larger odds can include an Under selection with other picks when they place a Bet Builder. A bigger potential payout could be on the cards with this bet.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 162.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 28, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Cal Poly 77 - 81 UC San Diego

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on the Tritons enjoying a 81-77 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

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Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this college game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean UC San Diego are -323 favorites to win and that means a 76% chance of landing a victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Cal Poly are trading at +255.

The current spread is 6.5 and the total points line is 162.5. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re going for Under 162.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

There are plenty of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on college matchups and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Cal Poly

+255

UCSD

-323

Point Spread

Cal Poly +6.5

-110

UCSD -6.5

-110

Total Points

Under 162.5

-110

Over 162.5

-110

The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Cal Poly Stats

UC San Diego Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 170.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 170.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 162.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 84.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.30 pts and allowed 87.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 137.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 141.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 162.5: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games
• Over 162.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.00 pts and allowed 68.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 72.60 pts and allowed 69.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Hawaii	20-7	2144	1861	283	15-2	5-5	2W
UC San Diego	20-9	2216	2039	177	12-5	8-4	4W
UC Irvine	19-10	2223	1964	259	10-5	9-5	1W
Cal State Northridge	18-11	2362	2281	81	12-2	6-9	1L
UCSB	18-11	2287	2121	166	12-3	6-8	1W
UC Davis	17-12	2268	2174	94	12-4	5-8	1L
Cal State Fullerton	15-14	2427	2395	32	10-4	5-10	2W
Cal Poly	13-16	2384	2470	-86	7-7	6-9	4W
UC Riverside	9-21	2163	2315	-152	6-7	3-14	2L
Long Beach State	8-21	2154	2251	-97	7-8	1-13	10L
CSU Bakersfield	8-21	2092	2345	-253	6-9	2-12	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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