Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 May 2026

WNBA Betting Preview: Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury

The Chicago Sky face the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Friday, May 15.

There’s a good opportunity to cover the spread by backing the Mercury at -4.5. We can get odds of -110 and our prediction is that they’ll overcome the Sky.

Chicago Sky won their previous game 69-63. This was a road victory at Chase Center against Golden State Valkyries.

Phoenix Mercury lost when they last took to the court. At Mortgage Matchup Center, they were turned over 88-84 at home to Minnesota Lynx.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Mercury and the Sky saw the former win. It was a 83-79 scoreline at Mortgage Matchup Center. The Mercury have seven straight wins against the Sky. They’ve also claimed 8 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Sky	2	0	167	146	21	0-0	2-0	2W
10  Mercury	1	2	262	249	13	0-1	1-1	2L

View Full Standings

Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Our expert Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

Get with Mercury with a -4.5 spread. We like this pick and are backing the favorites at odds of -110 to enjoy a solid victory in this WNBA showdown.

Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date WNBA stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Sky vs Mercury stats:

• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sky in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Sky in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Mercury in 7 of their last 10 games against Sky.

Mercury -4.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Mercury -4.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 15, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Skylar Diggins-Smith Under 16.5 Points -119

Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) is available at -119 to record Under 16.5 points. When it comes to her Player Points outcome, we are fairly confident she will total below the line.

Latest Skylar Diggins-Smith Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-109

Under 16.5

-119

Assists

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-120

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Kamilla Cardoso Over 10.5 Rebounds +110

Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) can be backed to secure Over 10.5 rebounds at +110. Out of all the prop bets, we’re going Over when it comes to this Player Rebounds wager.

Latest Kamilla Cardoso Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-111

Under 13.5

-116

Rebounds

Over 10.5

+110

Under 10.5

-143

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sky 75 - 84 Mercury

We’re going for the Mercury to win by a 84-75 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

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Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 68% probability of winning this WNBA game, Phoenix Mercury might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -208 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Chicago Sky, you will find +168 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 165.5. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 165.5 at -110.

You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every women's hoops matchup, with the top basketball sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Sky

+168

Mercury

-208

Point Spread

Sky +4.5

-110

Mercury -4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 165.5

-110

Over 165.5

-110

Kahleah Copper is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -123 that she goes Over 18.5 points and -104 when it comes to Under.

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 18.5

-123

Under 18.5

-104

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-123

Under 16.5

-104

Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky)

Over 16.5

-109

Under 16.5

-119

Rickea Jackson (Sky)

Over 16.5

-109

Under 16.5

-119

Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)

Over 13.5

-111

Under 13.5

-116

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 11.5

-118

Under 11.5

-110

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-111

Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky)

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-120

Kamilla Cardoso (Sky)

Over 10.5

+110

Under 10.5

-143

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-115

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-143

Rickea Jackson (Sky)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-112

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Chicago Sky Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 156.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.70 pts and allowed 81.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.20 pts and allowed 82.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 163.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.90 pts and allowed 85.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.40 pts and allowed 81.10 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Sky	2	0	167	146	21	0-0	2-0	2W
2  Dream	2	0	168	162	6	0-0	2-0	2W
3  Liberty	3	1	400	348	52	1-0	2-1	1W
4  Valkyries	2	1	249	228	21	1-1	1-0	1L
5  Lynx	2	1	268	261	7	0-1	2-0	2W
6  Aces	2	1	269	246	23	0-1	2-0	2W
7  Mystics	1	1	161	163	-2	0-1	1-0	1L
8  Tempo	1	1	151	141	10	1-1	0-0	1W
9  Fever	1	1	191	185	6	0-1	1-0	1W
10  Mercury	1	2	262	249	13	0-1	1-1	2L
11  Wings	1	2	265	271	-6	0-2	1-0	2L
12  Fire	1	2	263	294	-31	1-2	0-0	1L
13  Storm	1	2	242	259	-17	0-1	1-1	1L
14  Sparks	0	2	156	192	-36	0-2	0-0	2L
15  Sun	0	3	226	293	-67	0-2	0-1	3L

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