Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Thursday

NBA Betting Preview: Mavericks vs Warriors

The Dallas Mavericks face the Golden State Warriors in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’ve got a strong opinion when it comes to the totals when the Mavericks play the Warriors. Our prediction is that there will be Over 227.5 points and that is on offer at -114.

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Dallas Mavericks have lost their previous four road games. Their latest appearance was a 131-130 home triumph at American Airlines Center against Denver Nuggets. Cooper Flagg tallied 33 points, while Anthony Davis put up 31 and Naji Marshall 15.

Golden State Warriors last game was a 120-97 home win. This victory over Orlando Magic at Chase Center made it back-to-back wins. Stephen Curry scored 26 points, with Jimmy Butler putting up 21 and Moses Moody contributing 20.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Warriors beat the Mavs when the teams last met. It was a 126-102 scoreline at Chase Center. The H2H over the past 10 games have seen five wins for both teams.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	15	15	0.5	114.2	112.3	1.9	9-4	6-11	4-2	11-10	5-5	2W
Mavericks	12	19	0.387	113.6	117.4	-3.8	9-9	3-10	2-6	6-13	6-4	1W

View Full Standings

6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. The Mavs are averaging 120.8 points, 44.1 rebounds, 28.2 assists, 6.8 steals and 6.1 blocks while shooting 51.0% from the field and 76.7% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 120.5 points and 45.2 rebounds per matchup.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 24.1 points, Anthony Davis 11.5 rebounds and Ryan Nembhard 7.7 assists, while Klay Thompson averages 2.3 (37.1%) 3-pointers made.

The Warriors have won 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 112.4 points, 45.8 rebounds, 28.7 assists, 8.8 steals and 4.2 blocks per game while shooting 44.9% from the field and 78.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 107.9 points and 45.5 rebounds.

Jimmy Butler is averaging 15.7 points, Quinten Post 5.5 rebounds and Brandin Podziemski 4.2 assists, while Stephen Curry has an average of 2.8 (41.8%) 3-pointers made.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Take on Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

The best betting angle could be wagering on the totals for this NBA game. Our pick is for Over 227.5 points to be scored at odds of -114 which makes lots of appeal.

Our basketball picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each NBA franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Mavericks vs Warriors stats:

• The 227.5 line has been covered in the last 8 Mavs games.
• The 227.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Mavs games.
• The 227.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Mavs games.
• The 227.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Warriors games.

Over 227.5 Probability

Looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of delivering a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Want more juice from your Over wager on the Totals? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier bet. You can choose from a range of options.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 227.5 Points @ -114 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Naji Marshall Over 13.5 Points -123

Naji Marshall (Mavs) has had Over 13.5 points in 9 straight games. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the line looks attractive, with -123 available that it’s covered.

Latest Naji Marshall Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-123

Under 13.5

-108

Assists

Over 2.5

-189

Under 2.5

+140

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+117

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Brandin Podziemski Over 3.5 Assists +140

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors) has covered the 3.5 assists total in 5 straight games at home. You can secure betting odds of +140 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Assists wager making appeal.

Latest Brandin Podziemski Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-123

Assists

Over 3.5

+140

Under 3.5

-189

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+125

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Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks 111 - 123 Warriors

There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at the Warriors to achieve a winning scoreline of 123-111 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

For this NBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Golden State Warriors are -323 favorites to win and that means a 76% chance of landing a victory. Dallas Mavericks are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +260.

There is a spread of 7.5 and total points has a line of 227.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. The Over 227.5 selection is available to back at -114.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Mavericks

+260

Warriors

-323

Point Spread

Mavericks +7.5

-106

Warriors -7.5

-114

Total Points

Under 227.5

-106

Over 227.5

-114

Stephen Curry is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -105 that he goes Over 28.5 points and -127 when it comes to Under.

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 28.5

-105

Under 28.5

-127

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 24.5

-120

Under 24.5

-110

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 20.5

-125

Under 20.5

-108

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 19.5

-123

Under 19.5

-108

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 14.5

-105

Under 14.5

-127

Naji Marshall (Mavericks)

Over 13.5

-123

Under 13.5

-108

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 11.5

-100

Under 11.5

-132

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-123

Quinten Post (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-103

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-103

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 8.5

-105

Under 8.5

-127

De'Anthony Melton (Warriors)

Over 6.5

+103

Under 6.5

-133

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 5.5

+125

Under 5.5

-167

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

+102

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-125

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

+104

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 3.5

+140

Under 3.5

-189

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

+104

Naji Marshall (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

-189

Under 2.5

+140

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 11.5

-137

Under 11.5

+102

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-149

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

-137

Under 6.5

+104

Jimmy Butler (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-115

Quinten Post (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-106

Draymond Green (Warriors)

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

+110

Stephen Curry (Warriors)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-135

Naji Marshall (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+117

Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+125

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-196

Moses Moody (Warriors)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+125

The Warriors are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, averaging 116.40 points scored and 109.80 points allowed.

The Mavericks have taken four straight defeats on the road. They have a 3-7 record in their last 10 road games, scoring 114.40 points per contest and conceding 120.30.

The Warriors defeated the Mavs 126-102 when the teams last met at Chase Center. Looking back at the last 10 head-to-head meetings at Chase Center, the Warriors have posted seven victories, while the Mavs have logged three.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O227.5	U227.5
Golden State Warriors Home Stats		6-4	226.20	116.40	109.80	5	5
Dallas Mavericks Away Stats		3-7	234.70	114.40	120.30	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O227.5 = Games Over 227.5 Points
• U227.5 = Games Under 227.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Golden State Warriors Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 241.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 234.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 227.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 227.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 120.80 pts and allowed 120.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 114.40 pts and allowed 120.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 220.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 226.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 227.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 227.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.40 pts and allowed 107.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 116.40 pts and allowed 109.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 36.40 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.30 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.10 (76.68%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.1, Offensive 10.40, Defensive 33.70
• Assists: 28.20
• Blocks: 6.10
• Steals: 6.80
• Turnovers : 13.30
• Personal Fouls: 18.50

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.50 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.60 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.60 (72.43%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.3, Offensive 11.50, Defensive 33.80
• Assists: 25.10
• Blocks: 4.60
• Steals: 7.90
• Turnovers : 13.50
• Personal Fouls: 20.30

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 25.00 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.60 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 15.60 (78.39%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.8, Offensive 12.60, Defensive 33.20
• Assists: 28.70
• Blocks: 4.20
• Steals: 8.80
• Turnovers : 14.90
• Personal Fouls: 20.90

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.60 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.20 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.60 (77.88%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.6, Offensive 12.60, Defensive 32.00
• Assists: 29.00
• Blocks: 4.40
• Steals: 8.70
• Turnovers : 13.40
• Personal Fouls: 20.90

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	20	9	0.69	120.1	112.9	7.2	14-2	6-7	5-2	16-8	7-3	1L
Celtics	18	11	0.621	116	110	6	10-5	8-6	5-4	14-8	8-2	3W
Raptors	18	13	0.581	113.4	111.6	1.8	8-7	10-6	3-6	16-9	4-6	1W
76ers	16	12	0.571	116.6	115.4	1.2	9-8	7-4	6-3	13-11	6-4	1L
Nets	9	19	0.321	109.3	113.9	-4.6	4-11	5-8	3-7	8-14	6-4	2W

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	24	6	0.8	119.2	112.3	6.9	13-2	11-4	5-3	17-5	8-2	3W
Cavaliers	17	14	0.548	120	117.5	2.5	11-8	6-6	6-2	13-11	5-5	2W
Bulls	14	15	0.483	119.7	123	-3.3	7-6	7-9	3-5	11-10	5-5	4W
Bucks	12	18	0.4	113	116.2	-3.2	8-8	4-10	4-4	10-13	4-6	1W
Pacers	6	24	0.2	109.2	117.7	-8.5	5-11	1-13	2-6	4-14	2-8	6L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	17	13	0.567	117.2	114.8	2.4	10-5	7-8	5-2	12-9	5-5	1W
Heat	15	15	0.5	119.2	117.6	1.6	10-5	5-10	2-3	9-10	2-8	3L
Hawks	15	16	0.484	118.8	119.6	-0.8	5-9	10-7	4-2	9-11	2-8	4L
Hornets	10	20	0.333	115.4	118.8	-3.4	7-8	3-12	3-4	9-14	4-6	1W
Wizards	5	23	0.179	112.6	126.1	-13.5	2-10	3-13	1-4	3-17	3-7	2L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	26	4	0.867	121.9	107	14.9	14-1	12-3	5-2	22-4	7-3	1L
Nuggets	21	8	0.724	125.2	116.5	8.7	9-5	12-3	3-1	15-7	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	20	10	0.667	118.5	113.5	5	12-5	8-5	4-3	13-9	8-2	3W
Trail Blazers	12	18	0.4	117.1	120.5	-3.4	5-8	7-10	3-3	10-11	4-6	2L
Jazz	10	19	0.345	119.9	127.4	-7.5	7-10	3-9	0-6	6-14	4-6	4L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	19	9	0.679	117.7	117.4	0.3	7-4	12-5	3-4	14-7	5-5	2L
Suns	16	13	0.552	114.9	113.9	1	10-5	6-8	7-4	15-12	4-6	1W
Warriors	15	15	0.5	114.2	112.3	1.9	9-4	6-11	4-2	11-10	5-5	2W
Clippers	8	21	0.276	111.2	115.7	-4.5	5-8	3-13	2-4	6-14	3-7	2W
Kings	7	23	0.233	112	122.5	-10.5	4-10	3-13	1-3	5-19	2-8	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	22	7	0.759	120.4	113.6	6.8	11-2	11-5	7-0	13-6	9-1	7W
Rockets	17	10	0.63	120.5	112.7	7.8	8-2	9-8	2-3	10-9	4-6	2L
Grizzlies	14	16	0.467	115	116.2	-1.2	6-8	8-8	4-3	13-9	6-4	1W
Mavericks	12	19	0.387	113.6	117.4	-3.8	9-9	3-10	2-6	6-13	6-4	1W
Pelicans	8	23	0.258	115.5	122.8	-7.3	6-12	2-11	3-6	4-19	5-5	1L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	24	6	0.8	119.2	112.3	6.9	13-2	11-4	5-3	17-5	8-2	3W
Knicks	20	9	0.69	120.1	112.9	7.2	14-2	6-7	5-2	16-8	7-3	1L
Celtics	18	11	0.621	116	110	6	10-5	8-6	5-4	14-8	8-2	3W
Raptors	18	13	0.581	113.4	111.6	1.8	8-7	10-6	3-6	16-9	4-6	1W
76ers	16	12	0.571	116.6	115.4	1.2	9-8	7-4	6-3	13-11	6-4	1L
Magic	17	13	0.567	117.2	114.8	2.4	10-5	7-8	5-2	12-9	5-5	1W
Cavaliers	17	14	0.548	120	117.5	2.5	11-8	6-6	6-2	13-11	5-5	2W
Heat	15	15	0.5	119.2	117.6	1.6	10-5	5-10	2-3	9-10	2-8	3L
Hawks	15	16	0.484	118.8	119.6	-0.8	5-9	10-7	4-2	9-11	2-8	4L
Bulls	14	15	0.483	119.7	123	-3.3	7-6	7-9	3-5	11-10	5-5	4W
Bucks	12	18	0.4	113	116.2	-3.2	8-8	4-10	4-4	10-13	4-6	1W
Hornets	10	20	0.333	115.4	118.8	-3.4	7-8	3-12	3-4	9-14	4-6	1W
Nets	9	19	0.321	109.3	113.9	-4.6	4-11	5-8	3-7	8-14	6-4	2W
Pacers	6	24	0.2	109.2	117.7	-8.5	5-11	1-13	2-6	4-14	2-8	6L
Wizards	5	23	0.179	112.6	126.1	-13.5	2-10	3-13	1-4	3-17	3-7	2L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	26	4	0.867	121.9	107	14.9	14-1	12-3	5-2	22-4	7-3	1L
Spurs	22	7	0.759	120.4	113.6	6.8	11-2	11-5	7-0	13-6	9-1	7W
Nuggets	21	8	0.724	125.2	116.5	8.7	9-5	12-3	3-1	15-7	7-3	1L
Lakers	19	9	0.679	117.7	117.4	0.3	7-4	12-5	3-4	14-7	5-5	2L
Timberwolves	20	10	0.667	118.5	113.5	5	12-5	8-5	4-3	13-9	8-2	3W
Rockets	17	10	0.63	120.5	112.7	7.8	8-2	9-8	2-3	10-9	4-6	2L
Suns	16	13	0.552	114.9	113.9	1	10-5	6-8	7-4	15-12	4-6	1W
Warriors	15	15	0.5	114.2	112.3	1.9	9-4	6-11	4-2	11-10	5-5	2W
Grizzlies	14	16	0.467	115	116.2	-1.2	6-8	8-8	4-3	13-9	6-4	1W
Trail Blazers	12	18	0.4	117.1	120.5	-3.4	5-8	7-10	3-3	10-11	4-6	2L
Mavericks	12	19	0.387	113.6	117.4	-3.8	9-9	3-10	2-6	6-13	6-4	1W
Jazz	10	19	0.345	119.9	127.4	-7.5	7-10	3-9	0-6	6-14	4-6	4L
Clippers	8	21	0.276	111.2	115.7	-4.5	5-8	3-13	2-4	6-14	3-7	2W
Pelicans	8	23	0.258	115.5	122.8	-7.3	6-12	2-11	3-6	4-19	5-5	1L
Kings	7	23	0.233	112	122.5	-10.5	4-10	3-13	1-3	5-19	2-8	1L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	26	4	0.867	121.9	107	14.9	14-1	12-3	5-2	22-4	7-3	1L
Pistons	24	6	0.8	119.2	112.3	6.9	13-2	11-4	5-3	17-5	8-2	3W
Spurs	22	7	0.759	120.4	113.6	6.8	11-2	11-5	7-0	13-6	9-1	7W
Nuggets	21	8	0.724	125.2	116.5	8.7	9-5	12-3	3-1	15-7	7-3	1L
Knicks	20	9	0.69	120.1	112.9	7.2	14-2	6-7	5-2	16-8	7-3	1L
Lakers	19	9	0.679	117.7	117.4	0.3	7-4	12-5	3-4	14-7	5-5	2L
Timberwolves	20	10	0.667	118.5	113.5	5	12-5	8-5	4-3	13-9	8-2	3W
Rockets	17	10	0.63	120.5	112.7	7.8	8-2	9-8	2-3	10-9	4-6	2L
Celtics	18	11	0.621	116	110	6	10-5	8-6	5-4	14-8	8-2	3W
Raptors	18	13	0.581	113.4	111.6	1.8	8-7	10-6	3-6	16-9	4-6	1W
76ers	16	12	0.571	116.6	115.4	1.2	9-8	7-4	6-3	13-11	6-4	1L
Magic	17	13	0.567	117.2	114.8	2.4	10-5	7-8	5-2	12-9	5-5	1W
Suns	16	13	0.552	114.9	113.9	1	10-5	6-8	7-4	15-12	4-6	1W
Cavaliers	17	14	0.548	120	117.5	2.5	11-8	6-6	6-2	13-11	5-5	2W
Warriors	15	15	0.5	114.2	112.3	1.9	9-4	6-11	4-2	11-10	5-5	2W
Heat	15	15	0.5	119.2	117.6	1.6	10-5	5-10	2-3	9-10	2-8	3L
Hawks	15	16	0.484	118.8	119.6	-0.8	5-9	10-7	4-2	9-11	2-8	4L
Bulls	14	15	0.483	119.7	123	-3.3	7-6	7-9	3-5	11-10	5-5	4W
Grizzlies	14	16	0.467	115	116.2	-1.2	6-8	8-8	4-3	13-9	6-4	1W
Bucks	12	18	0.4	113	116.2	-3.2	8-8	4-10	4-4	10-13	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	12	18	0.4	117.1	120.5	-3.4	5-8	7-10	3-3	10-11	4-6	2L
Mavericks	12	19	0.387	113.6	117.4	-3.8	9-9	3-10	2-6	6-13	6-4	1W
Jazz	10	19	0.345	119.9	127.4	-7.5	7-10	3-9	0-6	6-14	4-6	4L
Hornets	10	20	0.333	115.4	118.8	-3.4	7-8	3-12	3-4	9-14	4-6	1W
Nets	9	19	0.321	109.3	113.9	-4.6	4-11	5-8	3-7	8-14	6-4	2W
Clippers	8	21	0.276	111.2	115.7	-4.5	5-8	3-13	2-4	6-14	3-7	2W
Pelicans	8	23	0.258	115.5	122.8	-7.3	6-12	2-11	3-6	4-19	5-5	1L
Kings	7	23	0.233	112	122.5	-10.5	4-10	3-13	1-3	5-19	2-8	1L
Pacers	6	24	0.2	109.2	117.7	-8.5	5-11	1-13	2-6	4-14	2-8	6L
Wizards	5	23	0.179	112.6	126.1	-13.5	2-10	3-13	1-4	3-17	3-7	2L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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