Duke vs NC State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 02 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Duke vs NC State

The Duke Blue Devils go up against the NC State Wolfpack, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Monday, March 2.

It’s great to see Duke with a -9.5 line on the spread at odds of -115 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory against NC State.

Duke Blue Devils previous game saw them claim a 77-51 home win over Virginia Cavaliers.

NC State Wolfpack were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 96-90 (OT) reverse against Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Duke won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 74-64 triumph when facing NC State. The past 10 H2H games have seen Duke land six wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	27-2	2402	1812	590	17-0	10-2	6W
NC State	19-10	2442	2178	264	12-5	7-5	2L

View Full Standings

Duke vs NC State Prediction & Picks

We’ve got your Duke vs NC State bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score recommendation and a hand-picked bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Our best pick is to snap up the -115 that Duke are able to cover the spread. They are -9.5 for this college contest and the margin of victory for the favorites could be a good deal more significant.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the college hoops form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Duke vs NC State stats:

• The -9.5 line has been covered by Duke in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Duke in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Duke in 2 consecutive games.

Duke -9.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 53.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want to secure a bigger potential payout on your wager, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which spread you think will be covered.

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Our Game Prediction

Duke -9.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Duke 78 - 65 NC State

We’re going for Duke to claim a 78-65 victory and the good news is that there are massive betting odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

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Duke vs NC State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -588 with the sportsbooks, Duke are regarded as 85% likely to win this college game. NC State are the underdogs at +430 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

9.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 148.5 right now. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re going for Under 148.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball bets. The top betting apps offer a nice selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Duke

-588

NC State

+430

Point Spread

Duke -9.5

-118

NC State +9.5

-104

Total Points

Under 148.5

-110

Over 148.5

-110

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Duke Stats

NC State Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 143.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 148.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.30 pts and allowed 57.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.30 pts and allowed 64.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 163.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 149.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 148.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 81.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.30 pts and allowed 69.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	27-2	2402	1812	590	17-0	10-2	6W
Virginia	25-4	2356	1974	382	15-1	10-3	1L
Miami	23-6	2398	2031	367	15-3	8-3	2W
North Carolina	23-6	2346	2063	283	18-0	5-6	3W
Clemson	21-8	2167	1912	255	14-3	7-5	1W
Louisville	20-9	2493	2095	398	14-2	6-7	2L
California	20-9	2254	2104	150	17-4	3-5	1L
NC State	19-10	2442	2178	264	12-5	7-5	2L
SMU	19-10	2488	2262	226	16-2	3-8	2L
Virginia Tech	18-11	2288	2162	126	14-3	4-8	1L
Stanford	18-11	2197	2100	97	12-6	6-5	2W
Florida State	15-14	2312	2251	61	10-8	5-6	1W
Wake Forest	15-14	2295	2235	60	11-6	4-8	1W
Syracuse	15-14	2200	2142	58	12-5	3-9	3L
Notre Dame	13-16	2161	2172	-11	11-6	2-10	1W
Pittsburgh	11-18	2030	2065	-35	8-9	3-9	1W
Georgia Tech	11-18	2146	2245	-99	10-9	1-9	10L
Boston College	10-19	1950	2050	-100	9-10	1-9	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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