Duke vs NC State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 02 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Duke vs NC State

The Duke Blue Devils go up against the NC State Wolfpack, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Monday, March 2.

It’s great to see Duke with a -9.5 line on the spread at odds of -115 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory against NC State.

Duke Blue Devils previous game saw them claim a 77-51 home win over Virginia Cavaliers.

NC State Wolfpack were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 96-90 (OT) reverse against Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Duke won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 74-64 triumph when facing NC State. The past 10 H2H games have seen Duke land six wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
NC State	1-0	83	64	19	1-0	0-0	1W
Duke	2-0	197	102	95	2-0	0-0	2W

View Full Standings

Duke vs NC State Prediction & Picks

Our Duke vs NC State betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

Our best pick is to snap up the -115 that Duke are able to cover the spread. They are -9.5 for this college contest and the margin of victory for the favorites could be a good deal more significant.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the college hoops form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Duke vs NC State stats:

• The -9.5 line has been covered by Duke in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Duke in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Duke in 2 consecutive games.

Duke -9.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 53.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want to secure a bigger potential payout on your wager, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which spread you think will be covered.

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Our Game Prediction

Duke -9.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 1, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Isaiah Evans Under 15.5 Points -110

Isaiah Evans (Duke) can be wagered to record Under 15.5 points at -110. It’s anticipated that his Player Points are going to fall below the total, with this bet offering plenty of appeal.

Latest Isaiah Evans Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 15.5

-123

Under 15.5

-105

Assists

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+175

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

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Cameron Boozer Over 10.5 Rebounds -100

Cameron Boozer (Duke) can be wagered to finish with Over 10.5 rebounds at -100. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Rebounds, with this total making lots of appeal.

Latest Cameron Boozer Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 24.5

+132

Under 24.5

-172

Assists

Over 4.5

+152

Under 4.5

-200

Rebounds

Over 10.5

-101

Under 10.5

-128

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Duke 78 - 65 NC State

We’re going for Duke to claim a 78-65 victory and the good news is that there are massive betting odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

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Duke vs NC State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -500 with the sportsbooks, Duke are regarded as 83% likely to win this college game. NC State are the underdogs at +365 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

9.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 150.5 right now. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re going for Under 150.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball bets. The top betting apps offer a nice selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Duke

-500

NC State

+365

Point Spread

Duke -9.5

-110

NC State +9.5

-110

Total Points

Under 150.5

-105

Over 150.5

-115

Cameron Boozer is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back +132 that he gets Over 24.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -172.

Cameron Boozer (Duke)

Over 24.5

+132

Under 24.5

-172

Isaiah Evans (Duke)

Over 15.5

-123

Under 15.5

-105

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 14.5

+118

Under 14.5

-154

Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State)

Over 11.5

-119

Under 11.5

-109

Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

Patrick Ngongba II (Duke)

Over 10.5

-115

Under 10.5

-112

Caleb Foster (Duke)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-118

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 6.5

+106

Under 6.5

-137

Cameron Boozer (Duke)

Over 4.5

+152

Under 4.5

-200

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 2.5

+152

Under 2.5

-200

Caleb Foster (Duke)

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-118

Patrick Ngongba II (Duke)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

+110

Isaiah Evans (Duke)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+175

Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-125

Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

+105

Cameron Boozer (Duke)

Over 10.5

-101

Under 10.5

-128

Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-100

Patrick Ngongba II (Duke)

Over 6.5

+117

Under 6.5

-152

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-130

Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-116

Caleb Foster (Duke)

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+125

Isaiah Evans (Duke)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+127

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 2.5

-200

Under 2.5

+151

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Duke Stats

NC State Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 143.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 148.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.30 pts and allowed 57.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.30 pts and allowed 64.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 163.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 149.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 148.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.70 pts and allowed 81.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.30 pts and allowed 69.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	2-0	197	102	95	2-0	0-0	2W
Syracuse	2-0	176	107	69	2-0	0-0	2W
Virginia Tech	2-0	184	121	63	2-0	0-0	2W
Pittsburgh	2-0	175	118	57	2-0	0-0	2W
California	2-0	199	156	43	2-0	0-0	2W
SMU	2-0	180	142	38	2-0	0-0	2W
Notre Dame	2-0	157	128	29	1-0	1-0	2W
Florida State	1-0	112	69	43	1-0	0-0	1W
Virginia	1-0	89	60	29	1-0	0-0	1W
Boston College	1-0	76	50	26	1-0	0-0	1W
Georgia Tech	1-0	75	55	20	1-0	0-0	1W
NC State	1-0	83	64	19	1-0	0-0	1W
Louisville	1-0	84	70	14	1-0	0-0	1W
Clemson	1-0	85	72	13	1-0	0-0	1W
North Carolina	1-0	80	72	8	1-0	0-0	1W
Wake Forest	1-1	134	136	-2	1-0	0-1	1L
Miami	0-1	67	77	-10	0-0	0-1	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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