Evansville vs Murray State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Evansville vs Murray State

The Evansville Purple Aces face the Murray State Racers, with tip-off scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday, February 21.

Wagering on the totals provides lots of value at -110. The line is set at 154.5 and we’d be surprised if Evansville and Murray State’ combined points total exceeds that amount.

Evansville Purple Aces were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to UIC Flames by a 84-46 scoreline.

Murray State Racers were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 78-61 reverse against Illinois State Redbirds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Murray State have claimed victory in the last two matchups against Evansville. They won 74-53 at home and 79-69 on the road. The past 10 H2H games have seen Murray State land eight wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Murray State	19-10	2422	2304	118	13-3	6-7	2L
Evansville	6-21	1798	2033	-235	4-11	2-10	2L

View Full Standings

Evansville vs Murray State Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Evansville vs Murray State betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ve identified a betting angle for this college matchup on the totals. Our pick is Under 154.5 points which can currently be backed at odds of -110.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making basketball predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our college hoops picks.

Key Evansville vs Murray State stats:

• The 154.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Evansville games on the road.
• The 154.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Evansville games.
• The 154.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Evansville games on the road.
• The 154.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Murray State games.
• The 154.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 10 games between these teams.

Under 154.5 Probability

The best betting sites suggest there’s a 52.4% chance of our pick delivering a return. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

If you’re going Under with your bet, then you can take the option to include this selection in a Bet Builder and get potentially bigger odds. Combine it with other picks.

Don’t place a bet without checking our comprehensive guide to today’s best free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Under 154.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 20, 23:05). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Evansville 69 - 81 Murray State

Let’s roll the dice and try Murray State to achieve a 81-69 winning scoreline. There are huge betting odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

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Evansville vs Murray State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -1667 about Murray State which reflects they have a 94% chance of winning this college game. Evansville are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +860.

The spread is 14.5 and the total points line is currently 154.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. There’s the chance to back Under 154.5 at -110.

If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Evansville

+860

Murray State

-1667

Point Spread

Evansville +14.5

-110

Murray State -14.5

-110

Total Points

Under 154.5

-110

Over 154.5

-110

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Evansville Stats

Murray State Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +14.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -14.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games
• -14.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 146.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 139.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 154.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 66.40 pts and allowed 79.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 62.90 pts and allowed 76.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 155.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 154.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.40 pts and allowed 83.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.50 pts and allowed 76.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Belmont	24-4	2346	2032	314	13-2	11-2	2W
Murray State	19-10	2422	2304	118	13-3	6-7	2L
Bradley	18-10	2154	2034	120	14-3	4-7	1L
Illinois State	18-10	2140	1899	241	14-3	4-7	1W
Northern Iowa	18-10	1947	1712	235	12-3	6-7	2W
UIC	16-12	2111	1929	182	9-5	7-7	3W
Valparaiso	14-13	1907	1930	-23	11-4	3-9	2W
Southern Illinois	13-15	2067	1980	87	7-7	6-8	1W
Drake	12-17	2210	2181	29	7-11	5-6	7L
Indiana State	10-18	2088	2104	-16	7-7	3-11	4L
Evansville	6-21	1798	2033	-235	4-11	2-10	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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