Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

A-League Betting Preview: Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory

Fierce rivals Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory clash in the Melbourne derby at AAMI Park, with kick-off set for 03:35 on Saturday 21 February.

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Victory +0.25 at -156 against City. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

Melbourne City played out a 1-1 draw when they were last in A-League action. This was on the road at CommBank Stadium against Western Sydney. Aurelio Vidmar's team recorded 44% possession and had three shots on target, with Aziz Behich being the goalscorer.

Three days ago, City had a 0-0 draw when facing South Korean K League side Gangwon at home in the Champions League.

Melbourne Victory drew their previous game which was at home. The action at AAMI Park ended 1-1 against Brisbane Roar. The Boys in Blue had four shots on goal and enjoyed 65% possession, while Charles Nduka found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Victory had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At AAMI Park, they recorded a 1-0 away win over City. The previous 10 H2H games have featured five draws, three victories for Victory and two wins for City.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Melb City	25	10	8	7	32	31	1	32:31	38
5	Melb Victory	25	10	7	8	42	33	9	42:33	37

View Full Table

City have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. The Cranbourne East club have averaged 57.2% possession and 6.4 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.6 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 6.8 attempts and 4.4 corners.

Top goalscorer Medin Memeti has found the net 3 times, with Aziz Behich, Marcus Younis and Max Caputo scoring 2 each. Emin Durakovic is the leading assists maker with 2.

Victory have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, averaging 13.0 attempts, 6.1 shots on goal and 2.0 goals. Arthur Diles' side average 51.6% possession, 7.4 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.1 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts.

Nikolaos Vergos has landed 5 goals, Clarismario Rodrigus 4, with Nishan Velupillay and two others scoring 2. Juan Mata has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 8.

Confirmed Lineups

Melbourne City confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Patrick Beach (GK), Nathaniel Atkinson, Harrison Delbridge, German Ferreyra, Aziz Behich, Ryan Teague, Marcus Younis, Daniel Arzani, Alessandro Lopane, Max Caputo, Medin Memeti.

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Warshawsky (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Sebastian Esposito, Roderick Miranda, Jason Davidson, Jordi Valadon, Denis Genreau, Nishan Velupillay, Juan Mata, Keegan Jelacic, Charles Nduka.

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

When Victory kick off this Melbourne derby encounter, we will wager them at -156 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest A-League injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Victory in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Victory in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Victory in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by City in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by City in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by City in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by City in 8 of their last 10 games against Victory.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 61% chance of winning. However, our experts have this number between 65-70% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

The bookmakers give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Match Prediction

Victory Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -156 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 09:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

City 0 - 1 Victory

There are odds of +700 available that Victory land a 1-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikos Vergos to Score +125

Nikos Vergos (Victory) has managed five goals in his past ten A-League games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +125 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Nikos Vergos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+125

First

+300

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Victory Over 4.5 Corners -111

We’ve seen an average of 8.40 corners for Melbourne Victory in their past 5 matches, while the previous three Melbourne City home games have involved them conceding over 4.5 corners. The amount of Victory corners could be bigger than the Team Corners line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -111.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

City

Total

10.80 6.40 4.40

Home

10.60 6.50 4.10

Away

8.60 4.40 4.20

Victory

Total

11.30 7.40 3.90

Home

9.70 6.50 3.20

Away

12.00 6.40 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-147

City Corners

Over 5.5

-105

Under 5.5

-143

Victory Corners

Over 4.5

-111

Under 4.5

-135

Most Corners

1

-139

X

+650

2

+138

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Melbourne Victory are chalked up at betting odds of +160 to defeat Melbourne City, with their opponents operating at +148 with the bookmakers. If you want to back the draw, it’s available at +250 for this A-League clash.

If you fancy City but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -125. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Victory at -114 on the Draw No Bet market.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -175.

The best betting apps always do a great job when it comes to A-League matches. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

+148

X

+250

2

+160

Half-Time Result

1

+195

X

+130

2

+210

Double Chance

1X

-238

12

-400

X2

-217

Draw No Bet

1

-125

2

-114

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+108

2 Hcp +0.25

-156

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-102

Over 2.5

-141

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-175

No

+123

There is +125 available that Nikos Vergos finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +300.

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

+125

Anytime

+300

Max Caputo (City)

First

+132

Anytime

+320

Medin Memeti (City)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Elbasan Rashani (City)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Benjamin Mazzeo (City)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Andreas Kuen (City)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Lawrence Wong (City)

First

+425

Anytime

+950

Alessandro Lopane (City)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Daniel Arzani (City)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Emin Durakovic (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Zane Schreiber (City)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Ryan Teague (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Nathaniel Atkinson (City)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Harrison Shillington (City)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Peter Antoniou (City)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Adama Traoré (Victory)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Aziz Behich (City)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Samuel Souprayen (City)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

City have clocked up four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Victory have six defeats, three wins and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

Victory beat City 1-0 when they last met at AAMI Park. The previous 10 H2H games at AAMI Park have ended in four City victories, four draws and two Victory wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Melbourne City Home Stats		4-3-3	1.90	1.10	0.80	3	7	4	6
Melbourne Victory Away Stats		3-1-6	2.40	0.90	1.50	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on City vs Victory without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the A-League, along with current injury news.

Melbourne City Team Page Melbourne Victory Team Page

Top Football Pages