Illinois State vs Murray State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Illinois State vs Murray State

The Illinois State Redbirds face the Murray State Racers, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Wednesday, January 28.

We’re not sure that Illinois State and Murray State will reach a certain points threshold. Our prediction is to take the -110 that there are Under 159.5 points.

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Illinois State Redbirds were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 80-69 reverse against Belmont Bruins.

Murray State Racers lost on the road in their last game. Northern Iowa Panthers won 81-76.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Illinois State triumphed 74-68 when they last played Murray State. Illinois State have three consecutive wins against Murray State. However, they have lost 4 of the 7 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Murray State	16-5	1834	1650	184	12-0	4-5	2L
Illinois State	14-7	1634	1408	226	11-2	3-5	1L

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Illinois State vs Murray State Prediction & Picks

We’ve got your Illinois State vs Murray State bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score recommendation and a hand-picked bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

There are good reasons for anticipating that the points tally will be lower than the line in this college showdown. If you agree with our pick of Under 159.5, you will find -110 available.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert basketball predictions, our handicappers also analyze the latest college hoops stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Illinois State vs Murray State stats:

• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Illinois State games.
• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Illinois State games.
• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Illinois State games.
• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Murray State games at home.
• The 159.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 games between these teams.

Under 159.5 Probability

The top betting apps imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

There are different ways to maximise a potential profit on the Totals. Moving the line for your Under bet means the chance to secure bigger betting odds.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 159.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Illinois State 75 - 81 Murray State

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. Murray State to claim a 81-75 victory is on offer at huge betting odds.

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Illinois State vs Murray State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Murray State are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -189 about them triumphing means a 65% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Illinois State are the underdogs at +155 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

3.5 is the spread and 159.5 is the total points line. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. Those that want to back Under 159.5 can find odds of -110 available.

If you’re betting on college basketball, it’s a good idea to visit the best sportsbooks and browse the wide range of game lines and team props available. You’ll have the option to place wagers both pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Illinois State

+155

Murray State

-189

Point Spread

Illinois State +3.5

-110

Murray State -3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 159.5

-110

Over 159.5

-110

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Illinois State Stats

Murray State Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 140.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 150.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 159.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 66.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.10 pts and allowed 75.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 161.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 159.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.90 pts and allowed 78.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.70 pts and allowed 74.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Belmont	18-3	1732	1466	266	10-2	8-1	5W
Murray State	16-5	1834	1650	184	12-0	4-5	2L
Illinois State	14-7	1634	1408	226	11-2	3-5	1L
Bradley	14-8	1709	1612	97	12-3	2-5	1L
Northern Iowa	13-8	1423	1270	153	9-3	4-5	1W
UIC	12-10	1660	1542	118	8-4	4-6	7W
Drake	11-10	1620	1514	106	6-7	5-3	2W
Valparaiso	9-10	1319	1336	-17	8-3	1-7	2W
Indiana State	9-13	1660	1654	6	7-3	2-10	4L
Southern Illinois	8-12	1509	1465	44	5-4	3-8	4L
Evansville	5-15	1345	1476	-131	3-9	2-6	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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