Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Indiana State vs Valparaiso

The Indiana State Sycamores go up against the Valparaiso Beacons, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, March 5.

Indiana State and Valparaiso are capable of scoring more than 137.5 points. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -112.

Indiana State Sycamores claimed a victory in their previous game. A 79-63 home win occurred against UIC Flames.

Valparaiso Beacons were beaten last game and this was on the road. Evansville Purple Aces claimed a 80-79 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Valparaiso have won in their last two matchups with Indiana State. It was 76-72 (OT) on the road before they enjoyed a 76-75 winning scoreline at home. Each team has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between the sides.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Valparaiso	16-14	2131	2148	-17	12-4	4-10	1L
Indiana State	11-20	2292	2320	-28	8-7	3-13	1W

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Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction & Picks

Our expert Indiana State vs Valparaiso betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

We’re forecasting that the two teams will produce a significant combined points total in this college game. Therefore, our pick is to take the -112 that there are Over 137.5 points.

The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball picks. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our predictions.

Key Indiana State vs Valparaiso stats:

• The 137.5 line has been covered in 19 of the last 20 Indiana State games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Indiana State games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in the last 7 Valpo games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Valpo games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Valpo games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in the last 7 games between these teams.

Over 137.5 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 52.9% chance that our pick will deliver a return. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you are wanting bigger odds for your Total bet, then it’s possible to move the line and get more juice. You can choose to wager Over when it comes to different levels.

Our user-friendly bonus guide highlights the newest betting offers, free bets, and sign-up deals in one spot.

Our Game Prediction

Over 137.5 Points @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 4, 23:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Indiana State 70 - 75 Valparaiso

There are some big returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Beacons to enjoy a 75-70 winning scoreline.

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Indiana State vs Valparaiso Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Valparaiso at -156 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 61% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. For those wanting to back Indiana State, you will find +130 about the underdogs.

The spread currently stands at 2.5 and the total points line is 137.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. If you fancy Over 137.5, this outcome can be backed at -112.

Whether you’re betting in-game or pre-game, the best betting apps serve up a wide range of game lines and team props to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s awesome to have so much variety.

Moneyline

IN State

+130

Valpo

-156

Point Spread

IN State +2.5

-110

Valpo -2.5

-110

Total Points

Under 137.5

-108

Over 137.5

-112

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indiana State Stats

Valparaiso Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 144.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 147.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 137.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.60 pts and allowed 74.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.00 pts and allowed 76.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 146.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 140.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 137.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.50 pts and allowed 73.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 72.10 pts and allowed 68.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Belmont	26-5	2605	2247	358	15-2	11-3	1L
Bradley	20-11	2401	2265	136	16-3	4-8	1W
Illinois State	20-11	2352	2116	236	15-3	5-8	2W
Murray State	20-11	2588	2466	122	14-3	6-8	1L
Northern Iowa	19-12	2148	1895	253	12-5	7-7	1W
UIC	17-14	2334	2165	169	10-6	7-8	1L
Valparaiso	16-14	2131	2148	-17	12-4	4-10	1L
Southern Illinois	16-15	2273	2159	114	8-7	8-8	4W
Drake	12-19	2334	2330	4	7-12	5-7	9L
Indiana State	11-20	2292	2320	-28	8-7	3-13	1W
Evansville	7-24	2084	2379	-295	5-12	2-12	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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