Rutgers vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Rutgers vs Michigan State

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights square off against the Michigan State Spartans, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Thursday, March 5.

We’re expecting Over 141.5 points to be scored by Rutgers and Michigan State combined. There’s a juicy -110 for our prediction and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Maryland Terrapins were beaten 69-65.

Michigan State Spartans won their last game 77-64. This was a road victory against Indiana Hoosiers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Michigan State won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 88-79 (OT) triumph when facing Rutgers. Michigan State have won three on the spin against Rutgers. They’ve also claimed 7 wins in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan State	25-7	2526	2189	337	17-3	8-4	2L
Rutgers	14-19	2329	2479	-150	11-7	3-12	1L

View Full Standings

Rutgers vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

Make the most of Rutgers vs Michigan State with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

The total line looks to be on the low side at 141.5. There’s a strong chance that the college rivals will conspire to go above the line and we’re backing Over at -110.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key college hoops numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Rutgers vs Michigan State stats:

• The 141.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Rutgers games on the road.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Rutgers games.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 MSU games.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 MSU games.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 141.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our analysts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college basketball bet.

There are ways to boost the odds on an Over pick and some bettors go down the Bet Builder route. It’s effectively a same game parlay where you throw in other selections.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Over 141.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 5, 00:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jeremy Fears Jr. Over 9.5 Assists -100

Jeremy Fears Jr. (Michigan State) can be backed to record Over 9.5 assists at -100. We can place a Player Assists bet with confidence, with our pick expected to cover the total.

Latest Jeremy Fears Jr. Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-115

Under 17.5

-115

Assists

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 2.5

+109

Under 2.5

-141

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Tariq Francis Over 3.5 Assists -100

Tariq Francis (Rutgers) can be backed to secure Over 3.5 assists at -100. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Assists bet.

Latest Tariq Francis Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-125

Under 17.5

-105

Assists

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rutgers 63 - 85 Michigan State

Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try the Spartans to win 85-63 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Rutgers vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Michigan State are strong -5000 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 98% chance of claiming victory. Rutgers are the underdogs at +1600 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is currently 19.5, with the total points line at 141.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to wager Over 141.5, there are odds of -114.

College basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of game lines and team props which are available for most matchups on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Rutgers

+1600

MSU

-5000

Point Spread

Rutgers +19.5

-110

MSU -19.5

-110

Total Points

Under 141.5

-106

Over 141.5

-114

Tariq Francis is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -125 that he goes Over 17.5 points and -105 when it comes to Under.

Tariq Francis (Rutgers)

Over 17.5

-125

Under 17.5

-105

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 17.5

-115

Under 17.5

-115

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 12.5

-100

Under 12.5

-130

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 11.5

-115

Under 11.5

-115

Carson Cooper (MSU)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Jordan Scott (MSU)

Over 8.5

-141

Under 8.5

+105

Darren Buchanan Jr. (Rutgers)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-115

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Tariq Francis (Rutgers)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-145

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-161

Carson Cooper (MSU)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-141

Darren Buchanan Jr. (Rutgers)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-200

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Carson Cooper (MSU)

Over 8.5

+112

Under 8.5

-145

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 6.5

+115

Under 6.5

-149

Darren Buchanan Jr. (Rutgers)

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-118

Tariq Francis (Rutgers)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 2.5

+109

Under 2.5

-141

Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Rutgers Stats

Michigan State Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +19.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +19.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -19.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -19.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 149.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 141.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 141.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.20 pts and allowed 77.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 67.90 pts and allowed 82.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 149.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 150.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 141.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 141.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.00 pts and allowed 71.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.50 pts and allowed 67.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	31-3	2952	2353	599	19-2	12-1	1L
Nebraska	26-6	2473	2119	354	19-3	7-3	1L
Michigan State	25-7	2526	2189	337	17-3	8-4	2L
Purdue	27-8	2858	2455	403	16-5	11-3	4W
Illinois	24-8	2700	2234	466	15-6	9-2	1L
Wisconsin	24-10	2822	2581	241	16-2	8-8	1L
UCLA	23-11	2643	2414	229	18-3	5-8	1L
Ohio State	21-12	2633	2402	231	15-5	6-7	1L
Iowa	21-12	2482	2177	305	17-3	4-9	1L
Indiana	18-14	2501	2309	192	15-6	3-8	2L
USC	18-14	2515	2494	21	11-7	7-7	8L
Washington	16-17	2545	2430	115	11-6	5-11	1L
Minnesota	15-17	2241	2193	48	13-8	2-9	1L
Northwestern	15-19	2487	2447	40	11-9	4-10	1L
Rutgers	14-19	2329	2479	-150	11-7	3-12	1L
Oregon	12-20	2267	2366	-99	10-10	2-10	1L
Penn State	12-20	2358	2539	-181	10-10	2-10	3L
Maryland	12-21	2300	2527	-227	9-8	3-13	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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