Western Kentucky vs Missouri State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Western Kentucky vs Missouri State
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers square off against the Missouri State Bears, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Thursday, March 5.
Western Kentucky should be able to outscore Missouri State and our prediction is to side with the road team on the Moneyline. There is an attractive -122 should you wish to follow suit.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers claimed a victory in their previous game. A 97-65 home win occurred against UTEP Miners.
Missouri State Bears were beaten last game and this was on the road. Sam Houston Bearkats claimed a 86-81 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 87-72 win for Western Kentucky when they last played Missouri State.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western Kentucky
|
18-14 | 2537 | 2436 | 101 | 13-6 | 5-8 | 3L |
Missouri State
|
16-18 | 2551 | 2502 | 49 | 11-7 | 5-11 | 1L |
Western Kentucky vs Missouri State Prediction & Picks
Make the most of Western Kentucky vs Missouri State with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.
Game Prediction
Western Kentucky are available at a juicy -122 when it comes to winning this college matchup. Our pick is that they’ll outscore the home team and there’s value available when it comes to these odds.
We only publish our basketball picks once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every college hoops prediction we make.
Key Western Kentucky vs Missouri State stats:
WKU Moneyline Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 54.9% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
An alternative way to support Western Kentucky is the Double Result. You can get bigger odds by siding with them to lead at the halfway phase before running out winners.
Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Western Kentucky on the moneyline, Under 150.5 and at least one team not to score 80 points and Western Kentucky to win on the Result & BTTS lines.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual basketball game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
75
-
70
Missouri State
We’re going for the Hilltoppers to win by a 75-70 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.
Western Kentucky vs Missouri State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You can back Missouri State at +105 to win against Western Kentucky, with the latter trading at -127. The probability of the home team winning this college game is 49% according to the sportsbooks.
The spread currently stands at 1.5 and the total points line is 152.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. There’s the chance to back Under 152.5 at -105.
You’ll find a broad selection of team props and game lines for most college contests, with the best basketball betting sites offering plenty of options. Be sure to review both the pre-game and in-game markets before placing your bets.
The gambling sites will have player props available for each game. Check out the various betting odds and take a view on whether a player’s Total Points, Three-Pointers, Blocks or Steals will hit over or under a certain line.
Among the various options for wagering on college basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Western Kentucky Stats
Missouri State Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 151.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 147.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 150.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 150.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.20 pts and allowed 72.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 72.50 pts and allowed 75.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 149.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 148.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 150.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 150.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.30 pts and allowed 75.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.70 pts and allowed 72.80 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Conference USA | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty
|
25-7 | 2501 | 2253 | 248 | 14-4 | 11-3 | 1L |
Sam Houston
|
22-11 | 2714 | 2447 | 267 | 14-2 | 8-9 | 1L |
Kennesaw State
|
21-13 | 2834 | 2587 | 247 | 14-3 | 7-10 | 3W |
Louisiana Tech
|
20-14 | 2375 | 2210 | 165 | 16-4 | 4-10 | 1L |
|
Western Kentucky
|
18-14 | 2537 | 2436 | 101 | 13-6 | 5-8 | 3L |
Middle Tennessee
|
17-15 | 2414 | 2329 | 85 | 12-5 | 5-10 | 1L |
New Mexico State
|
16-16 | 2403 | 2303 | 100 | 11-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
|
Missouri State
|
16-18 | 2551 | 2502 | 49 | 11-7 | 5-11 | 1L |
Jacksonville State
|
15-17 | 2325 | 2188 | 137 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 1L |
FIU
|
15-17 | 2580 | 2492 | 88 | 12-7 | 3-10 | 1L |
UTEP
|
11-20 | 2149 | 2244 | -95 | 9-8 | 2-12 | 1L |
Delaware
|
10-21 | 2098 | 2293 | -195 | 6-11 | 4-10 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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