Louisville vs Miami Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Louisville vs Miami

The Louisville Cardinals battle the Miami Hurricanes, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, March 7.

There are plenty of reasons to support the prediction that Miami will beat Louisville. Therefore, we’re heading to the Moneyline where you can get an attractive -105.

Louisville Cardinals previous game saw them claim a 77-62 home win over Syracuse Orange.

Miami Hurricanes triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where SMU Mustangs were beaten 77-69.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Louisville have won back-to-back matchups against Miami. It was a 80-71 victory on the road that was followed by a 88-78 home win. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami	24-6	2475	2100	375	15-3	9-3	3W
Louisville	21-9	2570	2157	413	15-2	6-7	1W

View Full Standings

Louisville vs Miami Prediction & Picks

Take on Louisville vs Miami with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

There are juicy Moneyline odds about Miami and our pick is for the home team to win this college contest. They should have the edge over their opponents and -105 is available.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our college basketball handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Louisville vs Miami stats:

• Miami have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Miami have won 16 of their last 20 games.
• Miami have won 3 consecutive games.
• Louisville have lost their last 3 games on the road.
• Louisville have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Miami Moneyline Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you want to back Miami to triumph at bigger odds, why not consider a bet on the Double Result lines? You simply need them to be leading at half-time and full-time.

Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.

Our Game Prediction

Miami Moneyline @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 6, 18:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Louisville 76 - 78 Miami

For a fun bet, consider backing Miami to claim a 78-76 win. Although it’s a speculative wager, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Louisville vs Miami Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks can’t decide whether Miami or Louisville are more likely to prosper. They have Moneyline odds of -110 about both teams and that means they theoretically have the same percentage chance of winning.

The spread is calculated to be 0.5, while total points comes in at 157.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 157.5 at -110.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball bets. The top betting apps offer a nice selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Louisville

-110

Miami

-110

Point Spread

Louisville -0.5

-110

Miami +0.5

-110

Total Points

Under 157.5

-110

Over 157.5

-110

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Louisville Stats

Miami Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 156.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 157.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.00 pts and allowed 75.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.40 pts and allowed 77.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 149.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 152.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 157.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 157.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.60 pts and allowed 71.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.50 pts and allowed 70.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	28-2	2495	1876	619	17-0	11-2	7W
Virginia	26-4	2431	2044	387	16-1	10-3	1W
Miami	24-6	2475	2100	375	15-3	9-3	3W
North Carolina	24-6	2413	2126	287	19-0	5-6	4W
Clemson	21-9	2230	1979	251	14-3	7-6	1L
Louisville	21-9	2570	2157	413	15-2	6-7	1W
California	21-9	2330	2169	161	17-4	4-5	1W
NC State	19-11	2506	2271	235	12-6	7-5	3L
Stanford	19-11	2283	2178	105	12-6	7-5	3W
Virginia Tech	19-11	2360	2225	135	15-3	4-8	1W
SMU	19-11	2557	2339	218	16-3	3-8	3L
Florida State	16-14	2387	2325	62	10-8	6-6	2W
Wake Forest	15-15	2365	2310	55	11-6	4-9	1L
Syracuse	15-15	2262	2219	43	12-5	3-10	4L
Notre Dame	13-17	2239	2258	-19	11-7	2-10	1L
Pittsburgh	11-19	2104	2140	-36	8-10	3-9	1L
Georgia Tech	11-19	2211	2321	-110	10-10	1-9	11L
Boston College	10-20	2013	2122	-109	9-10	1-10	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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