Louisville vs Miami Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Louisville vs Miami

The Louisville Cardinals battle the Miami Hurricanes, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, March 7.

There are plenty of reasons to support the prediction that Miami will beat Louisville. Therefore, we’re heading to the Moneyline where you can get an attractive -105.

Louisville Cardinals previous game saw them claim a 77-62 home win over Syracuse Orange.

Miami Hurricanes triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where SMU Mustangs were beaten 77-69.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Louisville have won back-to-back matchups against Miami. It was a 80-71 victory on the road that was followed by a 88-78 home win. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami	25-8	2704	2349	355	16-4	9-4	1L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L

View Full Standings

Louisville vs Miami Prediction & Picks

Take on Louisville vs Miami with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

There are juicy Moneyline odds about Miami and our pick is for the home team to win this college contest. They should have the edge over their opponents and -105 is available.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our college basketball handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Louisville vs Miami stats:

• Miami have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Miami have won 16 of their last 20 games.
• Miami have won 3 consecutive games.
• Louisville have lost their last 3 games on the road.
• Louisville have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Miami Moneyline Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you want to back Miami to triumph at bigger odds, why not consider a bet on the Double Result lines? You simply need them to be leading at half-time and full-time.

Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.

Our Game Prediction

Miami Moneyline @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 6, 18:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Louisville 76 - 78 Miami

For a fun bet, consider backing Miami to claim a 78-76 win. Although it’s a speculative wager, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

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Louisville vs Miami Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

There’s the opportunity to back Miami at -130 on the Moneyline although Louisville are priced up at betting odds of +106. This means the top sportsbooks give the road team a 49% chance of winning.

The spread is calculated to be 1.5, while total points comes in at 156.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 156.5 at -110.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball bets. The top betting apps offer a nice selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Louisville

+106

Miami

-130

Point Spread

Louisville +1.5

-110

Miami -1.5

-110

Total Points

Under 156.5

-110

Over 156.5

-110

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Louisville Stats

Miami Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 159.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 154.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.00 pts and allowed 75.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.40 pts and allowed 78.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 154.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.60 pts and allowed 73.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	32-2	2798	2147	651	21-0	11-2	11W
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
Miami	25-8	2704	2349	355	16-4	9-4	1L
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Clemson	24-10	2521	2269	252	16-3	8-7	1L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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