Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Wednesday

There are odds of -110 that the Celtics cover the -11 line when they clash with the Heat. We think this is an attractive spread for this prediction where there is plenty of value available.

Miami Heat have triumphed in their previous five games. The latest was on the road where Washington Wizards were beaten 120-94 at Capital One Arena. Bam Adebayo scored 28 points, with Tyler Herro getting 27 and Terry Rozier 15.

Boston Celtics got a ninth straight win in their last game. It was a 117-103 road triumph at FedExForum when meeting Memphis Grizzlies. Al Horford recorded 26 points, Jayson Tatum 25 points and 14 rebounds, with Kristaps Porzingis racking up 19 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Celtics and the Heat saw the former win. It was a 103-91 scoreline at Kaseya Center. The Celtics have enjoyed six consecutive victories against the Heat. They’ve landed 9 wins from the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	51	25	0.671	114.4	107.2	7.2	26-11	25-14	9-5	32-15	8-2	1W
Heat	40	37	0.519	120.4	118.2	2.2	24-15	16-22	7-7	24-23	2-8	1L

View Full Standings

The Heat have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 108.2 points, 40.5 rebounds, 25.5 assists, 9.2 steals and 4.0 blocks while shooting 49.7% from the field and 77.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 105.4 points and 41.6 rebounds per contest.

Tyler Herro is averaging 22.6 points, 4.7 assists and 2.2 (40.0%) 3-pointers made, while Kel'el Ware averages 10.1 rebounds.

The Celtics have won 9 and lost 1 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 116.7 points, 45.5 rebounds, 27.7 assists, 7.0 steals and 5.0 blocks per game while shooting 46.9% from the field and 81.1% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 104.4 points and 40.5 rebounds.

Jayson Tatum is averaging 21.6 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Derrick White has an average of 5.6 assist and 3.1 (33.7%) 3-pointers.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Alec Burks.

Boston Celtics lineup: Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Picks

Celtics at -11 on the spread really stand out in this NBA contest. We are prepared to wager at -110 and expect the big favorites to cover this line.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making NBA picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Heat vs Celtics stats:

• The -11 line has been covered by Celtics in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -11 line has been covered by Celtics in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -11 line has been covered by Celtics in 6 consecutive games against Heat.

Celtics -11 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your selection exceeds expectations.

Our Game Prediction

Celtics -11 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 1, 21:52). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kel'el Ware Over 7.5 Rebounds -141

Kel'el Ware (Heat) has secured Over 7.5 rebounds in 7 straight games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Rebounds line and there are odds of -141 available.

Latest Kel'el Ware Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-114

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-141

Under 7.5

+106

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Derrick White Over 4.5 Assists -110

Derrick White (Celtics) has finished with Over 4.5 assists in 5 of the past 5 games. On the basis of this stat, we can shoot for him to once again cover the Player Assists line and this is on offer at -110.

Latest Derrick White Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-118

Under 16.5

-112

Assists

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-120

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-120

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat 100 - 116 Celtics

Should you want a bet that can land a monster return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Back the Celtics to win 116-100 and leverage a huge payout if this happens.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Boston Celtics are massive -500 favorites. They are regarded as 83% likely to win this NBA game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. Miami Heat are the underdogs at +385 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread currently stands at 10.5 and the total points line is 212. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you're keen on Over 212, this selection is available at -110.

Wagering on the Race to 20 Points allows bettors to back favorites Celtics at -210. On the flip side, the Heat are +165 should you think they’ll get to this total first.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every event on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Heat

+385

Celtics

-500

Point Spread

Heat +10.5

-110

Celtics -10.5

-110

Total Points

Under 212

-110

Over 212

-110

The favorite to score most points is Jayson Tatum. You can get -109 that he scores Over 26.5 points or -122 that he goes Under.

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 26.5

-109

Under 26.5

-122

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 22.5

-120

Under 22.5

-112

Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics)

Over 20.5

+106

Under 20.5

-137

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 19.5

-127

Under 19.5

-106

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-118

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 16.5

-118

Under 16.5

-112

Payton Pritchard (Celtics)

Over 13.5

-120

Under 13.5

-110

Jrue Holiday (Celtics)

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-118

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-114

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 9.5

-104

Under 9.5

-128

Pelle Larsson (Heat)

Over 8.5

-105

Under 8.5

-127

Alec Burks (Heat)

Over 6.5

-118

Under 6.5

-114

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 6.5

-104

Under 6.5

-128

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 5.5

-104

Under 5.5

-128

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 4.5

+105

Under 4.5

-139

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-120

Jrue Holiday (Celtics)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-156

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-135

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-118

Payton Pritchard (Celtics)

Over 3.5

-104

Under 3.5

-128

Bam Adebayo (Heat)

Over 8.5

-122

Under 8.5

-109

Jayson Tatum (Celtics)

Over 7.5

-143

Under 7.5

+110

Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics)

Over 7.5

+103

Under 7.5

-133

Kel'el Ware (Heat)

Over 7.5

-141

Under 7.5

+106

Tyler Herro (Heat)

Over 4.5

-106

Under 4.5

-125

Jaylen Brown (Celtics)

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+114

Derrick White (Celtics)

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-120

Jrue Holiday (Celtics)

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-120

Payton Pritchard (Celtics)

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-122

Davion Mitchell (Heat)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-103

Alec Burks (Heat)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+123

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Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat Stats

Boston Celtics Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +7 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -7 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 240.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 234.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 230.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 230.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 121.70 pts and allowed 118.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 114.90 pts and allowed 119.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 213.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 210.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 230.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 230.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 111.40 pts and allowed 102.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 109.40 pts and allowed 101.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.50 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.30 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.80 (80.31%)
• Rebounds: Total 51.4, Offensive 14.50, Defensive 36.90
• Assists: 29.70
• Blocks: 3.40
• Steals: 8.90
• Turnovers : 13.60
• Personal Fouls: 17.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.50 (50%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.00 (34%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.90 (78.75%)
• Rebounds: Total 49.9, Offensive 14.20, Defensive 35.70
• Assists: 28.00
• Blocks: 3.80
• Steals: 8.60
• Turnovers : 15.70
• Personal Fouls: 18.30

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.90 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.90 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 12.90 (76.79%)
• Rebounds: Total 47, Offensive 13.10, Defensive 33.90
• Assists: 24.70
• Blocks: 4.70
• Steals: 7.10
• Turnovers : 11.30
• Personal Fouls: 18.40

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.10 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.30 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 12.30 (77.85%)
• Rebounds: Total 49, Offensive 14.00, Defensive 35.00
• Assists: 22.50
• Blocks: 4.90
• Steals: 6.00
• Turnovers : 11.40
• Personal Fouls: 16.30

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics Confirmed Lineup

0 Jayson Tatum

7 Jaylen Brown

9 Derrick White

30 Sam Hauser

40 Luke Kornet

Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup

7 Kel'el Ware

9 Pelle Larsson

13 Bam Adebayo

14 Tyler Herro

18 Alec Burks

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	51	25	0.671	114.4	107.2	7.2	26-11	25-14	9-5	32-15	8-2	1W
Knicks	49	28	0.636	116.7	110.6	6.1	27-9	22-19	12-3	31-16	7-3	1W
Raptors	42	34	0.553	114.4	112.3	2.1	21-17	21-17	4-10	30-17	5-5	2L
76ers	42	34	0.553	116.6	116.7	-0.1	21-17	21-17	9-7	25-24	7-3	1W
Nets	18	58	0.237	106	115.5	-9.5	10-27	8-31	3-12	12-33	1-9	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	55	21	0.724	117.5	109.6	7.9	30-9	25-12	10-4	35-12	7-3	1W
Cavaliers	47	29	0.618	119.3	115.3	4	24-14	23-15	10-5	30-18	7-3	1L
Bucks	30	46	0.395	110.6	116.7	-6.1	17-21	13-25	9-6	20-27	3-7	1L
Bulls	29	47	0.382	116.5	121.4	-4.9	18-21	11-26	4-12	17-30	2-8	5L
Pacers	18	58	0.237	112.6	120.7	-8.1	11-27	7-31	4-10	14-33	3-7	2W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	44	33	0.571	118.3	116	2.3	23-16	21-17	9-6	25-22	8-2	3W
Magic	40	36	0.526	115.1	115.3	-0.2	24-16	16-20	9-8	24-25	2-8	1L
Heat	40	37	0.519	120.4	118.2	2.2	24-15	16-22	7-7	24-23	2-8	1L
Hornets	40	36	0.526	116.1	111.4	4.7	19-19	21-17	11-5	24-24	7-3	1W
Wizards	17	59	0.224	112.7	124.3	-11.6	11-27	6-32	2-12	11-35	1-9	4L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	60	16	0.789	118.6	107.6	11	32-7	28-9	11-3	37-9	9-1	3W
Nuggets	49	28	0.636	121.4	116.6	4.8	24-13	25-15	9-5	31-16	8-2	7W
Timberwolves	46	29	0.613	117.9	114.1	3.8	25-14	21-15	9-7	29-21	6-4	1W
Trail Blazers	39	38	0.506	115.3	116	-0.7	21-17	18-21	7-8	26-21	7-3	2W
Jazz	21	56	0.273	117.3	125.4	-8.1	13-27	8-29	1-14	11-36	1-9	7L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	50	26	0.658	116.8	114.7	2.1	26-12	24-14	8-7	30-16	9-1	4W
Suns	42	34	0.553	112.9	111.1	1.8	24-15	18-19	10-6	27-21	3-7	1L
Clippers	39	37	0.513	113.9	112.5	1.4	21-16	18-21	8-6	22-24	5-5	1L
Warriors	36	39	0.48	114.9	114.9	0	21-15	15-24	6-6	23-23	4-6	1L
Kings	20	57	0.26	110.9	121.1	-10.2	13-25	7-32	3-10	12-35	4-6	1W

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	57	18	0.76	119.5	111.3	8.2	29-7	28-11	12-3	32-14	9-1	9W
Rockets	47	29	0.618	114.4	109.9	4.5	27-10	20-19	9-6	25-22	6-4	4W
Grizzlies	25	51	0.329	115.1	119.5	-4.4	14-25	11-26	6-9	19-30	2-8	2L
Pelicans	25	51	0.329	115.1	119.5	-4.4	16-23	9-28	7-9	16-31	4-6	5L
Mavericks	24	52	0.316	113.4	119.1	-5.7	14-24	10-28	4-11	13-34	2-8	2L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	55	21	0.724	117.5	109.6	7.9	30-9	25-12	10-4	35-12	7-3	1W
Celtics	51	25	0.671	114.4	107.2	7.2	26-11	25-14	9-5	32-15	8-2	1W
Knicks	49	28	0.636	116.7	110.6	6.1	27-9	22-19	12-3	31-16	7-3	1W
Cavaliers	47	29	0.618	119.3	115.3	4	24-14	23-15	10-5	30-18	7-3	1L
Hawks	44	33	0.571	118.3	116	2.3	23-16	21-17	9-6	25-22	8-2	3W
Raptors	42	34	0.553	114.4	112.3	2.1	21-17	21-17	4-10	30-17	5-5	2L
76ers	42	34	0.553	116.6	116.7	-0.1	21-17	21-17	9-7	25-24	7-3	1W
Hornets	40	36	0.526	116.1	111.4	4.7	19-19	21-17	11-5	24-24	7-3	1W
Magic	40	36	0.526	115.1	115.3	-0.2	24-16	16-20	9-8	24-25	2-8	1L
Heat	40	37	0.519	120.4	118.2	2.2	24-15	16-22	7-7	24-23	2-8	1L
Bucks	30	46	0.395	110.6	116.7	-6.1	17-21	13-25	9-6	20-27	3-7	1L
Bulls	29	47	0.382	116.5	121.4	-4.9	18-21	11-26	4-12	17-30	2-8	5L
Nets	18	58	0.237	106	115.5	-9.5	10-27	8-31	3-12	12-33	1-9	1L
Wizards	17	59	0.224	112.7	124.3	-11.6	11-27	6-32	2-12	11-35	1-9	4L
Pacers	18	58	0.237	112.6	120.7	-8.1	11-27	7-31	4-10	14-33	3-7	2W

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	60	16	0.789	118.6	107.6	11	32-7	28-9	11-3	37-9	9-1	3W
Spurs	57	18	0.76	119.5	111.3	8.2	29-7	28-11	12-3	32-14	9-1	9W
Lakers	50	26	0.658	116.8	114.7	2.1	26-12	24-14	8-7	30-16	9-1	4W
Nuggets	49	28	0.636	121.4	116.6	4.8	24-13	25-15	9-5	31-16	8-2	7W
Rockets	47	29	0.618	114.4	109.9	4.5	27-10	20-19	9-6	25-22	6-4	4W
Timberwolves	46	29	0.613	117.9	114.1	3.8	25-14	21-15	9-7	29-21	6-4	1W
Suns	42	34	0.553	112.9	111.1	1.8	24-15	18-19	10-6	27-21	3-7	1L
Clippers	39	37	0.513	113.9	112.5	1.4	21-16	18-21	8-6	22-24	5-5	1L
Trail Blazers	39	38	0.506	115.3	116	-0.7	21-17	18-21	7-8	26-21	7-3	2W
Warriors	36	39	0.48	114.9	114.9	0	21-15	15-24	6-6	23-23	4-6	1L
Grizzlies	25	51	0.329	115.1	119.5	-4.4	14-25	11-26	6-9	19-30	2-8	2L
Pelicans	25	51	0.329	115.1	119.5	-4.4	16-23	9-28	7-9	16-31	4-6	5L
Mavericks	24	52	0.316	113.4	119.1	-5.7	14-24	10-28	4-11	13-34	2-8	2L
Jazz	21	56	0.273	117.3	125.4	-8.1	13-27	8-29	1-14	11-36	1-9	7L
Kings	20	57	0.26	110.9	121.1	-10.2	13-25	7-32	3-10	12-35	4-6	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	60	16	0.789	118.6	107.6	11	32-7	28-9	11-3	37-9	9-1	3W
Spurs	57	18	0.76	119.5	111.3	8.2	29-7	28-11	12-3	32-14	9-1	9W
Pistons	55	21	0.724	117.5	109.6	7.9	30-9	25-12	10-4	35-12	7-3	1W
Celtics	51	25	0.671	114.4	107.2	7.2	26-11	25-14	9-5	32-15	8-2	1W
Lakers	50	26	0.658	116.8	114.7	2.1	26-12	24-14	8-7	30-16	9-1	4W
Nuggets	49	28	0.636	121.4	116.6	4.8	24-13	25-15	9-5	31-16	8-2	7W
Knicks	49	28	0.636	116.7	110.6	6.1	27-9	22-19	12-3	31-16	7-3	1W
Cavaliers	47	29	0.618	119.3	115.3	4	24-14	23-15	10-5	30-18	7-3	1L
Rockets	47	29	0.618	114.4	109.9	4.5	27-10	20-19	9-6	25-22	6-4	4W
Timberwolves	46	29	0.613	117.9	114.1	3.8	25-14	21-15	9-7	29-21	6-4	1W
Hawks	44	33	0.571	118.3	116	2.3	23-16	21-17	9-6	25-22	8-2	3W
76ers	42	34	0.553	116.6	116.7	-0.1	21-17	21-17	9-7	25-24	7-3	1W
Suns	42	34	0.553	112.9	111.1	1.8	24-15	18-19	10-6	27-21	3-7	1L
Raptors	42	34	0.553	114.4	112.3	2.1	21-17	21-17	4-10	30-17	5-5	2L
Hornets	40	36	0.526	116.1	111.4	4.7	19-19	21-17	11-5	24-24	7-3	1W
Magic	40	36	0.526	115.1	115.3	-0.2	24-16	16-20	9-8	24-25	2-8	1L
Heat	40	37	0.519	120.4	118.2	2.2	24-15	16-22	7-7	24-23	2-8	1L
Clippers	39	37	0.513	113.9	112.5	1.4	21-16	18-21	8-6	22-24	5-5	1L
Trail Blazers	39	38	0.506	115.3	116	-0.7	21-17	18-21	7-8	26-21	7-3	2W
Warriors	36	39	0.48	114.9	114.9	0	21-15	15-24	6-6	23-23	4-6	1L
Bucks	30	46	0.395	110.6	116.7	-6.1	17-21	13-25	9-6	20-27	3-7	1L
Bulls	29	47	0.382	116.5	121.4	-4.9	18-21	11-26	4-12	17-30	2-8	5L
Grizzlies	25	51	0.329	115.1	119.5	-4.4	14-25	11-26	6-9	19-30	2-8	2L
Pelicans	25	51	0.329	115.1	119.5	-4.4	16-23	9-28	7-9	16-31	4-6	5L
Mavericks	24	52	0.316	113.4	119.1	-5.7	14-24	10-28	4-11	13-34	2-8	2L
Jazz	21	56	0.273	117.3	125.4	-8.1	13-27	8-29	1-14	11-36	1-9	7L
Kings	20	57	0.26	110.9	121.1	-10.2	13-25	7-32	3-10	12-35	4-6	1W
Nets	18	58	0.237	106	115.5	-9.5	10-27	8-31	3-12	12-33	1-9	1L
Pacers	18	58	0.237	112.6	120.7	-8.1	11-27	7-31	4-10	14-33	3-7	2W
Wizards	17	59	0.224	112.7	124.3	-11.6	11-27	6-32	2-12	11-35	1-9	4L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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