New Mexico vs Fresno State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: New Mexico vs Fresno State

The New Mexico Lobos face the Fresno State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday, February 21.

Place a wager on New Mexico with a -8.5 spread when they face Fresno State. We’re confident they can cover this generous betting line at odds of -110.

New Mexico Lobos won their previous game which was at home. It was a 98-61 triumph against Air Force Falcons.

Fresno State Bulldogs lost on the road in their last game. Wyoming Cowboys won 92-82.

Head-to-Head Statistics

New Mexico triumphed 83-74 when they last played Fresno State. New Mexico have won five on the spin against Fresno State. They’ve also claimed 5 wins in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
New Mexico	20-6	2118	1799	319	14-2	6-4	2W
Fresno State	12-14	1925	1887	38	10-6	2-8	1L

View Full Standings

New Mexico vs Fresno State Prediction & Picks

Discover our expert New Mexico vs Fresno State betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

Don’t miss out on the opportunity to side with New Mexico at -8.5 on the spread. On the face of it, this seems a more than generous line and -110 can be backed for this college matchup.

Our basketball predictions are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each team. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our college hoops picks.

Key New Mexico vs Fresno State stats:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by New Mexico in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -8.5 line has been covered by New Mexico in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Fresno State in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Fresno State in 5 consecutive games against New Mexico.

New Mexico -8.5 Probability

The best betting sites suggest there’s a 52.4% chance of our pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college basketball bet.

There are lots of ways to bet on New Mexico and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

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Our Game Prediction

New Mexico -8.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 21, 00:04). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

New Mexico 82 - 70 Fresno State

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a massive potential return if you get it right. We’ll try New Mexico to achieve a 82-70 win at huge odds.

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New Mexico vs Fresno State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Moneyline betting odds give New Mexico a 81% chance of winning this college game which means they’re overwhelming -435 favorites with the sportsbooks. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Fresno State are trading at +330.

The current spread is 8.5 and the total points line is 156.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re going for Under 156.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

There are stacks of game lines and team props s when it comes to wagering on college basketball and we recommend visiting the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

New Mexico

-435

Fresno State

+330

Point Spread

New Mexico -8.5

-110

Fresno State +8.5

-110

Total Points

Under 156.5

-110

Over 156.5

-110

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico Stats

Fresno State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 148.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 156.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.20 pts and allowed 73.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.30 pts and allowed 70.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 144.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 156.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.20 pts and allowed 75.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.00 pts and allowed 69.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Utah State	24-2	2202	1774	428	14-0	10-2	9W
New Mexico	20-6	2118	1799	319	14-2	6-4	2W
San Diego State	18-7	1978	1737	241	12-3	6-4	1L
Grand Canyon	17-9	1955	1782	173	12-5	5-4	2W
Nevada	17-9	1975	1866	109	13-3	4-6	2L
Boise State	16-10	2049	1939	110	10-6	6-4	2L
Colorado State	16-10	1990	1844	146	10-5	6-5	4W
Wyoming	14-12	2028	1912	116	12-4	2-8	1W
Fresno State	12-14	1925	1887	38	10-6	2-8	1L
UNLV	11-15	2056	2080	-24	7-7	4-8	1L
San Jose State	7-19	1841	2005	-164	7-9	0-10	1W
Air Force	3-23	1597	2073	-476	3-13	0-10	19L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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