New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee

The New Mexico State battle the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, with tip-off scheduled for 13:00 on Saturday, February 28.

Bet on Middle Tenn against the spread, with an attractive line of -4.5 that the favorites have the edge over New Mexico State. There are odds of -110 that are currently on offer for this selection.

New Mexico State lost on the road in their previous game. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 93-70.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders won their last game, beating UTEP Miners at home. It was a 77-67 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Middle Tenn have enjoyed successive wins over NM State. 71-66 and 59-55 winning scorelines came on the road. In the past 5 H2H meetings, Middle Tenn have won three.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Middle Tennessee	14-14	2111	2034	77	11-5	3-9	2W
New Mexico State	13-14	2033	1934	99	9-6	4-8	1L

View Full Standings

New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction & Picks

Our New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast and bet builder picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

We expect Middle Tenn to cover the -4.5 line on the spread. This is a really good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -110 for this college showdown.

Our basketball picks are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the college hoops action might unfold.

Key New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Middle Tenn in 2 consecutive games.

Middle Tenn -4.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our cappers in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Our Game Prediction

Middle Tenn -4.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 21:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

NM State 73 - 81 Middle Tennessee

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a massive potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Blue Raiders to achieve a 81-73 win at huge odds.

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New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Middle Tennessee are regarded as having a 70% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -233. The market suggests that New Mexico State are least likely to win at +190.

There is a spread of 4.5 and total points has a line of 146.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re wanting to back Over 146.5, the odds are -110.

The best betting apps provide a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball matchups. Be sure to explore all the available options before placing your bet.

Moneyline

NM State

+190

Middle Tenn

-233

Point Spread

NM State +4.5

-106

Middle Tenn -4.5

-114

Total Points

Under 146.5

-110

Over 146.5

-110

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico State Stats

Middle Tennessee Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 149.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 146.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.10 pts and allowed 77.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.50 pts and allowed 78.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 144.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 146.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.00 pts and allowed 77.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.20 pts and allowed 69.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	23-5	2201	1950	251	13-2	10-3	2L
Sam Houston	20-8	2334	2064	270	12-1	8-7	4W
Western Kentucky	17-11	2212	2096	116	12-5	5-6	5W
Kennesaw State	17-11	2351	2128	223	13-3	4-8	3W
Louisiana Tech	16-12	1933	1811	122	14-2	2-10	1W
Jacksonville State	14-14	2045	1901	144	10-7	4-7	1W
Middle Tennessee	14-14	2111	2034	77	11-5	3-9	2W
New Mexico State	13-14	2033	1934	99	9-6	4-8	1L
Missouri State	13-15	2102	2057	45	10-6	3-9	6L
FIU	13-15	2265	2201	64	11-5	2-10	1L
UTEP	10-18	1945	2012	-67	8-7	2-11	3L
Delaware	9-19	1895	2042	-147	5-10	4-9	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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