North Dakota State vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: North Dakota State vs Michigan State

No. 14 North Dakota State Bison face No. 3 Michigan State Spartans in this NCAA Tournament First Round matchup at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, with tip-off scheduled for 16:05 on Thursday, March 19.

North Dakota State might be the underdogs but +16.5 looks too big on the spread. We’re keen to snap up the -115 that the betting line is covered against Michigan State.

The North Dakota State Bison (27-7, 1st in the Summit) are coming off a 70-62 home victory against the North Dakota Fighting Hawks.

The Michigan State Spartans (25-7, 2nd in the Big Ten) lost their last game, falling 88-84 at home to the UCLA Bruins in a close contest.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
North Dakota State	27-7	2745	2366	379	16-2	11-5	4W
Michigan State	25-7	2526	2189	337	17-3	8-4	2L

View Full Standings

North Dakota State vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our North Dakota State vs Michigan State betting tips covers it all.

Game Prediction

North Dakota State can avoid a big loss in this college contest, with bettors able to back them against the spread. The underdogs should be able to cover +16.5 which have been made available at -115.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong college hoops expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our basketball picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key North Dakota State vs Michigan State stats:

• The +16.5 line has been covered by NDSU in 4 consecutive games.
• The +16.5 line has been covered by NDSU in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The +16.5 line has been covered by NDSU in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -16.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 6 consecutive games.
• The -16.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -16.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 14 of their last 20 games.

NDSU +16.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick delivering a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re searching for bigger odds when it comes to North Dakota State covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder. This allows you to load additional selections to your wager.

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Our Game Prediction

North Dakota State +16.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 18, 21:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jeremy Fears Jr. Over 9.5 Assists +109

Jeremy Fears Jr. (Michigan State) is available at +109 to register Over 9.5 assists. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Assists bet.

Latest Jeremy Fears Jr. Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

-108

Under 18.5

-120

Assists

Over 9.5

+109

Under 9.5

-141

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Jaxon Kohler Under 12.5 Points -108

Jaxon Kohler (Michigan State) can be wagered to register Under 12.5 points at -108. There could well be a failure on his part to cover the total and this looks pretty generous to us.

Latest Jaxon Kohler Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-100

Under 13.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 9.5

+107

Under 9.5

-139

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

NDSU 68 - 82 Michigan State

A 82-68 win for the Spartans is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

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North Dakota State vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -3333 with the sportsbooks, Michigan State are regarded as 97% likely to win this college game. For those wanting to back North Dakota State, you will find +1200 about the underdogs.

The spread is 16.5 and the total points line is currently 143.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to back Over 143.5, it’s -110.

The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

NDSU

+1200

MSU

-3333

Point Spread

NDSU +16.5

-115

MSU -16.5

-105

Total Points

Under 143.5

-110

Over 143.5

-110

Jeremy Fears Jr. is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -108 that he goes Over 18.5 points and -120 when it comes to Under.

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 18.5

-108

Under 18.5

-120

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 13.5

-100

Under 13.5

-130

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-118

Carson Cooper (MSU)

Over 11.5

-111

Under 11.5

-116

Kur Teng (MSU)

Over 10.5

-106

Under 10.5

-122

Trevian Carson (NDSU)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-115

Noah Feddersen (NDSU)

Over 8.5

-100

Under 8.5

-130

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 9.5

+109

Under 9.5

-141

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 9.5

+107

Under 9.5

-139

Carson Cooper (MSU)

Over 7.5

+103

Under 7.5

-133

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 5.5

-109

Under 5.5

-119

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Dakota State Stats

Michigan State Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.30 pts and allowed 67.70 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.50 pts and allowed 77.20 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	31-3	2952	2353	599	19-2	12-1	1L
Nebraska	26-6	2473	2119	354	19-3	7-3	1L
Michigan State	25-7	2526	2189	337	17-3	8-4	2L
Purdue	27-8	2858	2455	403	16-5	11-3	4W
Illinois	24-8	2700	2234	466	15-6	9-2	1L
Wisconsin	24-10	2822	2581	241	16-2	8-8	1L
UCLA	23-11	2643	2414	229	18-3	5-8	1L
Ohio State	21-12	2633	2402	231	15-5	6-7	1L
Iowa	21-12	2482	2177	305	17-3	4-9	1L
Indiana	18-14	2501	2309	192	15-6	3-8	2L
USC	18-14	2515	2494	21	11-7	7-7	8L
Washington	16-17	2545	2430	115	11-6	5-11	1L
Minnesota	15-17	2241	2193	48	13-8	2-9	1L
Northwestern	15-19	2487	2447	40	11-9	4-10	1L
Rutgers	14-19	2329	2479	-150	11-7	3-12	1L
Oregon	12-20	2267	2366	-99	10-10	2-10	1L
Penn State	12-20	2358	2539	-181	10-10	2-10	3L
Maryland	12-21	2300	2527	-227	9-8	3-13	1L

Summit	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
North Dakota State	27-7	2745	2366	379	16-2	11-5	4W
St. Thomas	24-9	2728	2366	362	15-2	9-7	1L
North Dakota	18-17	2680	2703	-23	10-8	8-9	1L
South Dakota	16-16	2547	2566	-19	12-6	4-10	1L
Omaha	16-17	2507	2522	-15	10-4	6-13	1L
Denver	15-17	2650	2650	0	9-5	6-12	2L
South Dakota State	14-18	2413	2331	82	9-6	5-12	2L
Oral Roberts	10-23	2420	2558	-138	9-8	1-15	1L
Kansas City	4-27	2149	2600	-451	3-11	1-16	15L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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