South Florida vs Louisville Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: South Florida vs Louisville
No. 11 South Florida Bulls square off against No. 6 Louisville Cardinals in this NCAA Tournament First Round matchup at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, with tip-off scheduled for 12:30 on Thursday, March 19.
We’re confident about the number of points to be scored when South Florida and Louisville take to the court. Therefore, the prediction is Under 163.5 points which is available at -105.
The South Florida Bulls (25-8, 1st in the American) are coming off a 70-55 home victory against the Wichita State Shockers.
The Louisville Cardinals (23-10, 6th in the ACC) lost their last game, falling 78-73 on the road to the Miami Hurricanes.
| NCAAB Regular Season | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
South Florida
|
25-8 | 2895 | 2492 | 403 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 11W |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
South Florida vs Louisville Prediction & Picks
Explore our top South Florida vs Louisville betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Game Prediction
We’re going for a modest total for this upcoming college contest. Under 163.5 points could be on the money and our pick is currently available at -105.
Our expert basketball picks always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable college hoops stats to uncover the insights that matter most.
Key South Florida vs Louisville stats:
Under 163.5 Probability
The latest odds at the best betting apps suggest our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
Those looking for larger odds can include an Under selection with other picks when they place a Bet Builder. A bigger potential payout could be on the cards with this bet.
Stop! Before you bet, grab a top welcome bonus. Check out our guide for the latest betting offers available now.
Player Prop Picks
Joseph Pinion (USF) can be backed to have Under 2.5 assists at -114. It might well be the case that he doesn’t cover the line and this Player Assists bet is appealing.
Latest Joseph Pinion Player Prop Odds
J'Vonne Hadley (Louisville) can be backed to score Under 15.5 points at -122. We are keen to take the selection that he fails to cover this total when it comes to Player Points.
Latest J'Vonne Hadley Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Under 162.5, South Florida +4.5 and Joseph Pinion (South Florida) to get Under 2.5 assists.
The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your picks to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored basketball bet on the matchup which interests them most.
Correct Score Prediction
78
-
79
Louisville
Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Cards to achieve a 79-78 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.
South Florida vs Louisville Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Louisville have the shortest price to win this NCAA Tournament game, with the sportsbooks giving the Cards a 63% probability due to their -169 Moneyline betting odds. At +140, South Florida are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 160.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Under 160.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.
Consider every angle when placing your college hoops bets. The top basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props, and it’s all about finding a wager that fits your prediction of the game.
Ryan Conwell is the favorite to score most points. Odds of -103 can be found for him scoring Over 22.5 points and there is -125 for him to go Under.
It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
South Florida Stats
Louisville Stats
- Game Totals: An average of 148.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Over 163.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 66.50 pts in the last 10 games
NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
32-2 | 2798 | 2147 | 651 | 21-0 | 11-2 | 11W |
Virginia
|
29-5 | 2742 | 2326 | 416 | 19-1 | 10-4 | 1L |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
|
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
| American Athletic Conference | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tulsa
|
26-7 | 2824 | 2409 | 415 | 15-2 | 11-5 | 1L |
|
South Florida
|
25-8 | 2895 | 2492 | 403 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 11W |
Wichita State
|
22-11 | 2562 | 2324 | 238 | 15-5 | 7-6 | 1L |
UAB
|
20-12 | 2535 | 2361 | 174 | 9-10 | 11-2 | 1L |
North Texas
|
19-14 | 2341 | 2225 | 116 | 13-5 | 6-9 | 1L |
Florida Atlantic
|
18-15 | 2596 | 2453 | 143 | 12-6 | 6-9 | 1L |
Tulane
|
18-15 | 2389 | 2493 | -104 | 10-9 | 8-6 | 1L |
Charlotte
|
17-17 | 2492 | 2530 | -38 | 12-7 | 5-10 | 1L |
Temple
|
16-16 | 2366 | 2264 | 102 | 10-7 | 6-9 | 2L |
Rice
|
13-18 | 2291 | 2311 | -20 | 9-8 | 4-10 | 1W |
Memphis
|
13-19 | 2407 | 2454 | -47 | 10-8 | 3-11 | 1L |
East Carolina
|
11-20 | 2217 | 2401 | -184 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2L |
UTSA
|
5-25 | 2084 | 2422 | -338 | 2-12 | 3-13 | 5L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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