North Dakota State vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: North Dakota State vs Michigan State
No. 14 North Dakota State Bison face No. 3 Michigan State Spartans in this NCAA Tournament First Round matchup at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, with tip-off scheduled for 15:05 on Thursday, March 19.
North Dakota State might be the underdogs but +16.5 looks too big on the spread. We’re keen to snap up the -115 that the betting line is covered against Michigan State.
The North Dakota State Bison (27-7, 1st in the Summit) are coming off a 70-62 home victory against the North Dakota Fighting Hawks.
The Michigan State Spartans (25-7, 2nd in the Big Ten) lost their last game, falling 88-84 at home to the UCLA Bruins in a close contest.
| NCAAB Regular Season | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
North Dakota State
|
27-7 | 2745 | 2366 | 379 | 16-2 | 11-5 | 4W |
|
Michigan State
|
25-7 | 2526 | 2189 | 337 | 17-3 | 8-4 | 2L |
North Dakota State vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks
From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our North Dakota State vs Michigan State betting tips covers it all.
Game Prediction
North Dakota State can avoid a big loss in this NCAA Tournament contest, with bettors able to back the Bison against the spread. The underdogs should be able to cover +16.5 which have been made available at -115.
Sportsgambler.com brings strong college hoops expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our basketball picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.
Key North Dakota State vs Michigan State stats:
NDSU +16.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick delivering a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you’re searching for bigger odds when it comes to North Dakota State covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder. This allows you to load additional selections to your wager.
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Player Prop Picks
Jeremy Fears Jr. (Michigan State) is available at +109 to register Over 9.5 assists. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Assists bet.
Latest Jeremy Fears Jr. Player Prop Odds
Jaxon Kohler (Michigan State) can be wagered to register Under 12.5 points at -108. There could well be a failure on his part to cover the total and this looks pretty generous to us.
Latest Jaxon Kohler Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Take a same game parlay that incorporates North Dakota State to cover the +16.5 spread combined with Over 143.5. Add in Jeremy Fears Jr. (Michigan State) to get Over 9.5 assists.
There are many options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the available basketball lines and identify your favorite picks before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised wagering doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
68
-
82
Michigan State
A 82-68 win for the Spartans is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.
North Dakota State vs Michigan State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
At betting odds of -2000 with the sportsbooks, Michigan State are regarded as 95% likely to win this college game. For those wanting to back North Dakota State, you will find +1000 about the underdogs.
The spread is 15.5 and the total points line is currently 143.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to back Over 143.5, it’s -115.
The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.
Jeremy Fears Jr. is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -125 that he goes Over 17.5 points and -103 when it comes to Under.
For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
North Dakota State Stats
Michigan State Stats
- Game Totals: An average of 147.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Over 143.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.30 pts and allowed 67.70 pts in the last 10 games
NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season
| Big Ten | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan
|
31-3 | 2952 | 2353 | 599 | 19-2 | 12-1 | 1L |
Nebraska
|
26-6 | 2473 | 2119 | 354 | 19-3 | 7-3 | 1L |
|
Michigan State
|
25-7 | 2526 | 2189 | 337 | 17-3 | 8-4 | 2L |
Purdue
|
27-8 | 2858 | 2455 | 403 | 16-5 | 11-3 | 4W |
Illinois
|
24-8 | 2700 | 2234 | 466 | 15-6 | 9-2 | 1L |
Wisconsin
|
24-10 | 2822 | 2581 | 241 | 16-2 | 8-8 | 1L |
UCLA
|
23-11 | 2643 | 2414 | 229 | 18-3 | 5-8 | 1L |
Ohio State
|
21-12 | 2633 | 2402 | 231 | 15-5 | 6-7 | 1L |
Iowa
|
21-12 | 2482 | 2177 | 305 | 17-3 | 4-9 | 1L |
Indiana
|
18-14 | 2501 | 2309 | 192 | 15-6 | 3-8 | 2L |
USC
|
18-14 | 2515 | 2494 | 21 | 11-7 | 7-7 | 8L |
Washington
|
16-17 | 2545 | 2430 | 115 | 11-6 | 5-11 | 1L |
Minnesota
|
15-17 | 2241 | 2193 | 48 | 13-8 | 2-9 | 1L |
Northwestern
|
15-19 | 2487 | 2447 | 40 | 11-9 | 4-10 | 1L |
Rutgers
|
14-19 | 2329 | 2479 | -150 | 11-7 | 3-12 | 1L |
Oregon
|
12-20 | 2267 | 2366 | -99 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 1L |
Penn State
|
12-20 | 2358 | 2539 | -181 | 10-10 | 2-10 | 3L |
Maryland
|
12-21 | 2300 | 2527 | -227 | 9-8 | 3-13 | 1L |
| Summit | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
North Dakota State
|
27-7 | 2745 | 2366 | 379 | 16-2 | 11-5 | 4W |
St. Thomas
|
24-9 | 2728 | 2366 | 362 | 15-2 | 9-7 | 1L |
North Dakota
|
18-17 | 2680 | 2703 | -23 | 10-8 | 8-9 | 1L |
South Dakota
|
16-16 | 2547 | 2566 | -19 | 12-6 | 4-10 | 1L |
Omaha
|
16-17 | 2507 | 2522 | -15 | 10-4 | 6-13 | 1L |
Denver
|
15-17 | 2650 | 2650 | 0 | 9-5 | 6-12 | 2L |
South Dakota State
|
14-18 | 2413 | 2331 | 82 | 9-6 | 5-12 | 2L |
Oral Roberts
|
10-23 | 2420 | 2558 | -138 | 9-8 | 1-15 | 1L |
Kansas City
|
4-27 | 2149 | 2600 | -451 | 3-11 | 1-16 | 15L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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