North Dakota State vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: North Dakota State vs Michigan State

No. 14 North Dakota State Bison face No. 3 Michigan State Spartans in this NCAA Tournament First Round matchup at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, with tip-off scheduled for 15:05 on Thursday, March 19.

North Dakota State might be the underdogs but +16.5 looks too big on the spread. We’re keen to snap up the -115 that the betting line is covered against Michigan State.

The North Dakota State Bison (27-7, 1st in the Summit) are coming off a 70-62 home victory against the North Dakota Fighting Hawks.

The Michigan State Spartans (25-7, 2nd in the Big Ten) lost their last game, falling 88-84 at home to the UCLA Bruins in a close contest.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
North Dakota State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

View Full Standings

North Dakota State vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our North Dakota State vs Michigan State betting tips covers it all.

Game Prediction

North Dakota State can avoid a big loss in this NCAA Tournament contest, with bettors able to back the Bison against the spread. The underdogs should be able to cover +16.5 which have been made available at -115.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong college hoops expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our basketball picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key North Dakota State vs Michigan State stats:

• The +16.5 line has been covered by NDSU in 4 consecutive games.
• The +16.5 line has been covered by NDSU in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The +16.5 line has been covered by NDSU in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -16.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 6 consecutive games.
• The -16.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -16.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 14 of their last 20 games.

NDSU +16.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick delivering a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re searching for bigger odds when it comes to North Dakota State covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder. This allows you to load additional selections to your wager.

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Our Game Prediction

North Dakota State +16.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 18, 20:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jeremy Fears Jr. Over 9.5 Assists +109

Jeremy Fears Jr. (Michigan State) is available at +109 to register Over 9.5 assists. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Assists bet.

Latest Jeremy Fears Jr. Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-125

Under 17.5

-103

Assists

Over 9.5

+107

Under 9.5

-139

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

---

Jaxon Kohler Under 12.5 Points -108

Jaxon Kohler (Michigan State) can be wagered to register Under 12.5 points at -108. There could well be a failure on his part to cover the total and this looks pretty generous to us.

Latest Jaxon Kohler Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-100

Under 13.5

-130

Rebounds

Over 9.5

+112

Under 9.5

-145

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

NDSU 68 - 82 Michigan State

A 82-68 win for the Spartans is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

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North Dakota State vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of -2000 with the sportsbooks, Michigan State are regarded as 95% likely to win this college game. For those wanting to back North Dakota State, you will find +1000 about the underdogs.

The spread is 15.5 and the total points line is currently 143.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to back Over 143.5, it’s -115.

The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

NDSU

+1000

MSU

-2000

Point Spread

NDSU +15.5

-102

MSU -15.5

-120

Total Points

Under 143.5

-105

Over 143.5

-115

Jeremy Fears Jr. is favorite when it comes to hitting the most buckets. You can get -125 that he goes Over 17.5 points and -103 when it comes to Under.

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 17.5

-125

Under 17.5

-103

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 13.5

-100

Under 13.5

-130

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 12.5

-111

Under 12.5

-116

Carson Cooper (MSU)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Kur Teng (MSU)

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-132

Trevian Carson (NDSU)

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-116

Jordan Scott (MSU)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Noah Feddersen (NDSU)

Over 8.5

-111

Under 8.5

-116

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 9.5

+107

Under 9.5

-139

Jaxon Kohler (MSU)

Over 9.5

+112

Under 9.5

-145

Carson Cooper (MSU)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Coen Carr (MSU)

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-114

Jordan Scott (MSU)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-143

Jeremy Fears Jr. (MSU)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Dakota State Stats

Michigan State Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.30 pts and allowed 67.70 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.50 pts and allowed 77.20 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2026/20272025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Oregon	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Washington	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
UCLA	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
USC	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Rutgers	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Purdue	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Penn State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Ohio State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Indiana	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Northwestern	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Nebraska	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Minnesota	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Michigan	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Michigan State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Maryland	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Iowa	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Wisconsin	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

Summit	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Kansas City	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
North Dakota State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Omaha	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Oral Roberts	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
South Dakota	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
South Dakota State	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
St. Thomas	0-0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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