Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 May 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces
The Phoenix Mercury battle the Las Vegas Aces at Michelob Ultra Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, May 9.
We’re sweet on the Mercury putting up a fight against the Aces and that compels us to back the underdogs against the spread. You can get -115 when it comes to the +8.5 that is available.
Aces Have 9 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Clashes
Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury faced each other last time out, with the Aces clinching a 97-86 win. The Aces have seven straight wins against the Mercury. They have won 9 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
Aces
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
11
Mercury
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Picks
Get ahead of the game with our Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re confident that the Mercury can either win or suffer a narrow defeat in this WNBA showdown. That makes the underdogs at +8.5 the best play and -115 are available.
It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming WNBA action along with the current form of each franchise. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball picks.
Key Mercury vs Aces stats:
Mercury +8.5 Probability
The odds at the top basketball sportsbooks suggest our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this WNBA wager.
Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the betting line, you are able to get bigger odds although you will need to take a riskier wager.
Discover the best value in betting. Our expert guide lists today’s top free bets, promo codes and new customer bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
Chelsea Gray (Aces) is available at -106 to total Under 10.5 points. We’re expecting her to fall short of the Player Points line which makes an Unders bet really appealing.
Latest Chelsea Gray Player Prop Odds
Kahleah Copper (Mercury) can be backed to have Over 3.5 rebounds at +124. The best bet could be to go for a Player Rebounds wager as we think she will cover the total.
Latest Kahleah Copper Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Mercury +8.5, Over 167.5 and Chelsea Gray (Aces) to score Under 10.5 points.
The same game parlay option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
85
-
89
Aces
There’s every chance that this is going to be a close contest and we’ll have a play on the Aces enjoying a 89-85 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.
Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The sportsbooks have Las Vegas Aces at -357 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 78% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Phoenix Mercury are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +270.
The spread is currently 8.5, with the total points line at 167.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you’re going for Over 167.5, then the odds are -110.
The best betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most women's basketball matchups. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite A'ja Wilson is available at -119 to rack up Over 23.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -109 is available.
- WNBA: 11/10 2025 Aces 97 Mercury 86
- WNBA: 09/10 2025 Aces 90 Mercury 88
- WNBA: 05/10 2025 Mercury 78 Aces 91
- WNBA: 04/10 2025 Mercury 86 Aces 89
- WNBA: 22/08 2025 Mercury 61 Aces 83
- WNBA: 16/08 2025 Aces 86 Mercury 83
- WNBA: 30/06 2025 Aces 84 Mercury 81
- WNBA: 16/06 2025 Mercury 76 Aces 70
- WNBA: 01/09 2024 Aces 97 Mercury 79
- WNBA: 14/06 2024 Aces 103 Mercury 99
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Las Vegas Aces Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 165.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 162.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 167.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 167.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 82.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.60 pts and allowed 82.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 170.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 167.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 167.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 167.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.80 pts and allowed 82.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 89.50 pts and allowed 78.30 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Dream
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
2
Sky
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
3
Sun
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
4
Wings
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
5
Valkyries
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
6
Fever
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
|
7
Aces
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
8
Sparks
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
9
Lynx
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
10
Liberty
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
|
11
Mercury
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
12
Portland Fire
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
13
Storm
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
14
Toronto Tempo
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
15
Mystics
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | - |
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