San Antonio Spurs
Basketball Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Minnesota Timberwolves
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Playoffs Betting Preview: Spurs vs Wolves

The No. 2 seed San Antonio Spurs (62-20, 29-12 away) take on the No. 6 Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 26-15 at home) in Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The series is tied 1-1.

Spurs ATS Stand Out as a Great Wager

There’s an attractive line of -4.5 when it comes to the Spurs in their clash against the Wolves. The -106 that the favorites cover the spread has lots of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

7 Wins for Wolves in Past 10 H2H Games

San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves went head-to-head at Frost Bank Center two nights ago, with the Spurs recording a 133-95 victory.

Stephon Castle bagged 21 points for the Spurs, Victor Wembanyama had 19 points and 15 rebounds, while De'Aaron Fox registered 16 points. Anthony Edwards and Terrence Shannon both racked up 12 points for the Wolves, with Jaden McDaniels recording 12.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The past 10 H2H games have seen the Wolves land seven wins.

NBA Reg. Season W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs logo Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Timberwolves logo Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
View Full Standings

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks

Tackle San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, key player prop selections and a hand-picked same game parlay.

Game Prediction

The best betting angle could be Spurs on the spread. You can land odds of -106 that the favorites are able to cover the -4.5 line and they're more than capable in this NBA contest.

We keep a close eye on team news and our expert NBA handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Spurs vs Timberwolves stats:

  • The -4.5 line has been covered by Spurs in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • The -4.5 line has been covered by Spurs in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The -4.5 line has been covered by Spurs in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Spurs -4.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

Unlock the best welcome bonuses and free bet offers before you wager—check our updated betting promo code guide today.

Our Game Prediction
Spurs -4.5 @ -106 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 8, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 02:02, 08 May 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Naz Reid Over 6.5 Rebounds +112 BetMGM logo

Naz Reid (Wolves) has racked up Over 6.5 rebounds in 5 straight games. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the line, with odds of +112 currently available.

Latest Naz Reid Player Prop Odds


Stephon Castle Over 15.5 Points -120 BetMGM logo

Stephon Castle (Spurs) has scored an average of 20.8 points in the past 5 road games. This leads us nicely to back him to cover the Player Points line, with odds of -120 on offer for this bet.

Latest Stephon Castle Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Spurs -4.5
Totals Over 216.5
Player Rebounds Naz Reid Over 6.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Spurs -4.5, Over 216.5 and Naz Reid (Wolves) to record Over 6.5 rebounds.

A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Spurs Spurs logo 115 - 106 Timberwolves logo Timberwolves

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Spurs to record a 115-106 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Latest Odds Suggest Spurs Win

Sportsbooks’ favorites San Antonio Spurs are regarded as likeliest victors for this NBA game and the -192 about them triumphing means a 66% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Minnesota Timberwolves are least likely to win at +162.

The spread currently stands at 4.5 and the total points line is 216.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you're keen on Over 216.5, this selection is available at -110.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this popular basketball league and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds
Victor Wembanyama Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Victor Wembanyama is the market leader to land the most baskets. He is priced at -110 to score Over 26.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -123.

Player Points
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)
Over 26.5
-110
Under 26.5
-123
BetMGM Logo
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Over 22.5
-127
Under 22.5
-106
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Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 18.5
-127
Under 18.5
-108
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Stephon Castle (Spurs)
Over 6.5
-103
Under 6.5
-133
BetMGM Logo
De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)
Over 5.5
+110
Under 5.5
-149
BetMGM Logo
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
Over 4.5
+108
Under 4.5
-147
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 4.5
+116
Under 4.5
-159
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)
Over 12.5
-103
Under 12.5
-132
BetMGM Logo
Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)
Over 11.5
-114
Under 11.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
Over 6.5
-132
Under 6.5
-104
BetMGM Logo
Naz Reid (Timberwolves)
Over 6.5
+112
Under 6.5
-154
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Target Center
Target Center
Wolves Hold Edge in Recent Head-to-Head Matchups at Target Center

The Wolves have put together four straight wins at Target Center. They have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, putting up 113.90 points per matchup and giving up 107.80.

The Spurs have nine wins and one loss in the last 10 games on the road, averaging 125.00 points on offense and surrendering 107.20 on defense.

The Wolves defeated the Spurs 104-103 in their last meeting at Target Center. From their last 10 head-to-head matchups at Target Center, the Wolves have collected nine wins and the Spurs one.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O216.5 U216.5
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Home Stats 7-3 221.70 113.90 107.80 5 5
San Antonio Spurs logo San Antonio Spurs Away Stats 9-1 232.20 125.00 107.20 9 1
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O216.5 = Games Over 216.5 Points
  • U216.5 = Games Under 216.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

San Antonio Spurs logo San Antonio Spurs Stats
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Minnesota Timberwolves Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

San Antonio Spurs Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
De'Aaron Fox 7 33.66 127 42 18.1 6.0 1.7 3.3 0.4 1.1
Devin Vassell 7 32.49 87 19 12.4 2.7 1.9 5.6 1.0 1.4
Stephon Castle 7 30.9 137 39 19.6 5.6 2.0 4.1 0.3 0.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jaden McDaniels 8 33.96 135 22 16.9 2.8 0.3 6.1 0.8 0.5
Julius Randle 8 33.88 148 29 18.5 3.6 1.0 7.4 0.1 0.6
Rudy Gobert 8 33.26 58 22 7.3 2.8 - 10.5 1.0 1.5

Injuries & Suspensions

San Antonio Spurs Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous San Antonio Spurs Lineups

06 May NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 95-133 Spurs
04 May NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 104-102 Spurs
28 Apr NBA Playoffs
Trail Blazers 95-114 Spurs
26 Apr NBA Playoffs
Spurs 114-93 Trail Blazers
24 Apr NBA Playoffs
Spurs 120-108 Trail Blazers
21 Apr NBA Playoffs
Trail Blazers 106-103 Spurs
19 Apr NBA Playoffs
Trail Blazers 98-111 Spurs
12 Apr NBA
Nuggets 128-118 Spurs
10 Apr NBA
Mavericks 120-139 Spurs
08 Apr NBA
Trail Blazers 101-112 Spurs

Previous Minnesota Timberwolves Lineups

06 May NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 95-133 Spurs
04 May NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 104-102 Spurs
30 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 98-110 Timberwolves
27 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 113-125 Nuggets
25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Pelicans 126-132 Timberwolves
10 Apr NBA
Timberwolves 136-132 Rockets

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak