Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Sep 2025
WNBA Betting Preview: Mercury vs Lynx
The Phoenix Mercury go up against the Minnesota Lynx in Game 2 of this WNBA semifinal series at Target Center, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Tuesday, September 23. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.
Lynx Look Capable of Covering the Line
The best betting angle could be the Lynx against the spread. You can land -106 that the market leaders are able to cover the -7.5 line and they are more than capable in their meeting with the Mercury.
Taking our side against the spread? Secure the best BetMGM promo code and see how the site rates in our expert review before placing your wager.
8 Lynx Wins in Last 10 H2H Matchups
Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury met two days ago, with Lynx coming away with a 82-69 win. The Lynx have won eight of the previous 10 H2H meetings.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
34 | 10 | 3787 | 3373 | 414 | 20-2 | 14-8 | 1W |
4
Mercury
|
27 | 17 | 3643 | 3525 | 118 | 15-7 | 12-10 | 3L |
Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks
Explore our best Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx picks, including our main match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Game Prediction
Our pick is for Lynx to cover the attractive -7.5 line in this WNBA matchup. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -106 is available.
Our basketball picks are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest WNBA team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.
Key Mercury vs Lynx stats:
Lynx -7.5 Probability
The top basketball sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.5% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts have this figure between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
Buying and selling points with a sportsbook gives you the opportunity to choose different lines. The former will mean shorter odds, while a sell leads to a bigger potential return.
Unlock top value before betting. Our guide lists the latest offers and welcome bonuses you won’t want to miss.
Best Bet
Lynx -7.5 @ -106
Player Prop Picks
Courtney Williams (Lynx) can be wagered to register Over 13.5 points at +104. We are happy to back Overs when it comes to her Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.
Latest Courtney Williams Player Prop Odds
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Kayla McBride (Lynx) is available at -208 to total Under 3.5 rebounds. There is plenty of juice when it comes to going under the Player Rebounds line and it looks a bet worth having.
Latest Kayla McBride Player Prop Odds
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Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Lynx -7.5. We’ve also gone for Under 159.5 and Courtney Williams (Lynx) to score Over 13.5 points.
The betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual game. It means that you can create a personalised basketball wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of selections.
Correct Score Prediction
72
-
82
Lynx
The Lynx can be wagered in lots of different ways and this includes the correct score lines. There’s the chance to back them to win 82-72 for a big potential return.
Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Books Make Lynx Big Favorites
Minnesota Lynx are regarded as having a 76% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -323. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +245 about Phoenix Mercury.
7 is where the spread lies, with total points being 159 right now. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you want to bet Under 159, there are odds of -108.
Consider every angle when placing your women's basketball bets. The best betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.
Napheesa Collier Favorite to Score the Most Points
The favorite to score most points is Napheesa Collier. You can get -101 that she scores Over 21.5 points or -128 that she goes Under.
Micro Betting
Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.
Last 5 & H2H
- WNBA: 21/09 2025 Mercury 69 Lynx 82
- WNBA: 16/07 2025 Mercury 66 Lynx 79
- WNBA: 09/07 2025 Lynx 71 Mercury 79
- WNBA: 04/06 2025 Mercury 65 Lynx 88
- WNBA: 31/05 2025 Lynx 74 Mercury 71
- WNBA: 26/09 2024 Mercury 88 Lynx 101
- WNBA: 22/09 2024 Mercury 95 Lynx 102
- WNBA: 29/08 2024 Lynx 89 Mercury 76
- WNBA: 23/06 2024 Mercury 60 Lynx 73
- WNBA: 08/06 2024 Lynx 80 Mercury 81
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Minnesota Lynx Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 156.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 161.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 159.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 159.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.60 pts and allowed 77.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.90 pts and allowed 80.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 159.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 159.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.60 pts and allowed 75.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.90 pts and allowed 78.10 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Lynx
|
34 | 10 | 3787 | 3373 | 414 | 20-2 | 14-8 | 1W |
2
Aces
|
30 | 14 | 3680 | 3552 | 128 | 17-5 | 13-9 | 16W |
3
Dream
|
30 | 14 | 3712 | 3378 | 334 | 16-6 | 14-8 | 6W |
|
4
Mercury
|
27 | 17 | 3643 | 3525 | 118 | 15-7 | 12-10 | 3L |
5
Liberty
|
27 | 17 | 3713 | 3534 | 179 | 17-5 | 10-12 | 3W |
6
Fever
|
24 | 20 | 3734 | 3586 | 148 | 13-9 | 11-11 | 3W |
7
Storm
|
23 | 21 | 3614 | 3524 | 90 | 10-12 | 13-9 | 1W |
8
Valkyries
|
23 | 21 | 3420 | 3359 | 61 | 14-8 | 9-13 | 3L |
9
Sparks
|
21 | 23 | 3769 | 3882 | -113 | 9-13 | 12-10 | 1L |
10
Mystics
|
16 | 28 | 3394 | 3589 | -195 | 10-12 | 6-16 | 10L |
11
Sun
|
11 | 33 | 3337 | 3782 | -445 | 7-15 | 4-18 | 2L |
12
Sky
|
10 | 34 | 3335 | 3777 | -442 | 6-16 | 4-18 | 4L |
13
Wings
|
10 | 34 | 3594 | 3871 | -277 | 6-16 | 4-18 | 1W |
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