Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Sep 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx

The Phoenix Mercury go up against the Minnesota Lynx in Game 2 of this WNBA semifinal series at Target Center, with tip-off scheduled for 19:30 on Tuesday, September 23. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

The best betting angle could be the Lynx against the spread. You can land -106 that the market leaders are able to cover the -7.5 line and they are more than capable in their meeting with the Mercury.

8 Lynx Wins in Last 10 H2H Matchups

Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury met two days ago, with Lynx coming away with a 82-69 win. The Lynx have won eight of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	22	6	2562	2319	243	10-4	12-2	7W
12  Mercury	10	18	2323	2423	-100	4-9	6-9	2W

View Full Standings

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction & Picks

Explore our best Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx picks, including our main match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

Our pick is for Lynx to cover the attractive -7.5 line in this WNBA matchup. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -106 is available.

Our basketball picks are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest WNBA team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.

Key Mercury vs Lynx stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Lynx in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Lynx in 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Lynx in 2 consecutive games against Mercury.

Lynx -7.5 Probability

The top basketball sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.5% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts have this figure between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Buying and selling points with a sportsbook gives you the opportunity to choose different lines. The former will mean shorter odds, while a sell leads to a bigger potential return.

Unlock top value before betting. Our guide lists the latest offers and welcome bonuses you won’t want to miss.

Our Game Prediction

Lynx -7.5 @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 23, 00:06). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Courtney Williams Over 13.5 Points +104

Courtney Williams (Lynx) can be wagered to register Over 13.5 points at +104. We are happy to back Overs when it comes to her Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.

Latest Courtney Williams Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-118

Assists

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-112

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-156

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Kayla McBride Under 3.5 Rebounds -208

Kayla McBride (Lynx) is available at -208 to total Under 3.5 rebounds. There is plenty of juice when it comes to going under the Player Rebounds line and it looks a bet worth having.

Latest Kayla McBride Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-115

Assists

Over 3.5

+122

Under 3.5

-159

Rebounds

Over 3.5

+158

Under 3.5

-208

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mercury 72 - 82 Lynx

The Lynx can be wagered in lots of different ways and this includes the correct score lines. There’s the chance to back them to win 82-72 for a big potential return.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Minnesota Lynx are regarded as having a 76% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -323. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +250 about Phoenix Mercury.

7.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 159.5 right now. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. If you want to bet Under 159.5, there are odds of -114.

Consider every angle when placing your women's basketball bets. The best betting sites offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Mercury

+250

Lynx

-323

Point Spread

Mercury +7.5

-115

Lynx -7.5

-105

Total Points

Under 159.5

-114

Over 159.5

-106

The favorite to score most points is Napheesa Collier. You can get -115 that she scores Over 21.5 points or -112 that she goes Under.

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 21.5

-115

Under 21.5

-112

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-123

Under 15.5

-105

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-100

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-115

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-111

Under 14.5

-116

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-118

Natisha Hiedeman (Lynx)

Over 9.5

+110

Under 9.5

-143

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-102

Under 8.5

-127

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-119

Under 7.5

-109

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 7.5

-110

Under 7.5

-118

Bridget Carleton (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-108

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-118

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-112

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 3.5

+122

Under 3.5

-159

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-127

Natisha Hiedeman (Lynx)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+128

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-159

Under 8.5

+122

Napheesa Collier (Lynx)

Over 7.5

-127

Under 7.5

-102

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-141

Under 5.5

+109

Courtney Williams (Lynx)

Over 5.5

+120

Under 5.5

-156

DeWanna Bonner (Mercury)

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+120

Alanna Smith (Lynx)

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-115

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+132

Under 3.5

-172

Kayla McBride (Lynx)

Over 3.5

+158

Under 3.5

-208

Bridget Carleton (Lynx)

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-106

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Minnesota Lynx Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 173.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 163.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 169.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.10 pts and allowed 88.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.80 pts and allowed 85.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 170.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 171.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 169.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.00 pts and allowed 82.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 91.50 pts and allowed 80.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 202620252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	22	6	2562	2319	243	10-4	12-2	7W
2  Valkyries	19	8	2211	2062	149	11-4	8-4	1L
3  Aces	18	8	2366	2245	121	7-5	11-3	1L
4  Wings	18	9	2436	2327	109	8-4	10-5	1W
5  Fever	17	10	2578	2419	159	11-5	6-5	3W
6  Dream	16	10	2323	2217	106	9-4	7-6	3W
7  Liberty	15	12	2390	2327	63	8-5	7-7	2W
8  Mystics	14	12	2100	2161	-61	6-6	8-6	2W
9  Fire	11	16	2304	2446	-142	6-7	5-9	2L
10  Tempo	10	16	2301	2416	-115	6-10	4-6	3L
11  Sparks	10	16	2295	2427	-132	5-8	5-8	5L
12  Mercury	10	18	2323	2423	-100	4-9	6-9	2W
13  Sky	9	18	2363	2423	-60	5-7	4-11	2L
14  Sun	7	20	2160	2351	-191	4-10	3-10	2L
15  Storm	6	23	2375	2524	-149	4-10	2-13	6L

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