Sam Houston vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Sam Houston vs Liberty

The Sam Houston Bearkats square off against the Liberty Flames, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, March 7.

The best wager could involve backing Sam Houston against the spread. There’s a generous +5.5 available at -115 that the underdogs cover the line against Liberty and that has to be our pick.

Sam Houston Bearkats lost on the road in their previous game. Delaware Fighting Blue Hens won 83-80.

Liberty Flames lost their last game, being beaten at home to Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 76-71.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Liberty beat Sam Houston in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 82-74 scoreline. Liberty have triumphed in their previous three matchups against Sam Houston. On the head-to-head front, it has been 4 wins out of 5.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	24-6	2353	2104	249	13-3	11-3	1L
Sam Houston	21-9	2500	2228	272	13-1	8-8	1L

View Full Standings

Sam Houston vs Liberty Prediction & Picks

The Sam Houston vs Liberty betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

The market might have underrated Sam Houston in this college matchup and -115 makes plenty of appeal considering the underdogs are +5.5 on the spread. Back them to cover the line.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible basketball predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key college hoops numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Sam Houston vs Liberty stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 6 consecutive games.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Sam Houston in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 5 consecutive games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Liberty in 7 of their last 10 games.

Sam Houston +5.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There’s the option to move the line for your point spread pick and this enables bettors to get bigger odds. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.

Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.

Our Game Prediction

Sam Houston +5.5 @ -115 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 6, 21:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sam Houston 75 - 77 Liberty

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Flames to register a 77-75 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Sam Houston vs Liberty Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Liberty are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -192 about them triumphing means a 66% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. At +158, Sam Houston are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

4.5 is the spread and 155.5 is the total points line. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. There’s the chance to back Under 155.5 at -110.

If you’re betting on college basketball, it’s a good idea to visit the best sportsbooks and browse the wide range of game lines and team props available. You’ll have the option to place wagers both pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Sam Houston

+158

Liberty

-192

Point Spread

Sam Houston +4.5

-106

Liberty -4.5

-114

Total Points

Under 155.5

-110

Over 155.5

-110

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Sam Houston Stats

Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 155.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 155.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.00 pts and allowed 74.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 77.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 155.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 155.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.50 pts and allowed 76.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.70 pts and allowed 72.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Liberty	24-6	2353	2104	249	13-3	11-3	1L
Sam Houston	21-9	2500	2228	272	13-1	8-8	1L
Western Kentucky	18-12	2383	2248	135	13-5	5-7	1L
Kennesaw State	18-12	2512	2288	224	14-3	4-9	1L
Louisiana Tech	17-13	2085	1966	119	14-3	3-10	1W
Middle Tennessee	16-14	2270	2186	84	12-5	4-9	4W
New Mexico State	14-15	2195	2095	100	10-6	4-9	1W
Jacksonville State	14-16	2198	2059	139	10-8	4-8	2L
Missouri State	14-16	2270	2217	53	11-6	3-10	1W
FIU	14-16	2416	2350	66	11-6	3-10	1L
UTEP	11-19	2088	2180	-92	9-7	2-12	1W
Delaware	10-20	2060	2212	-152	6-10	4-10	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages